Boys - Girls
Noblesville Regional
2000 - 2001 - 2002



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Michelle Rafferty 12 Carmel 18:19 #3  
2  Ashley Urick 12 Carmel 18:39 #6  
3  Katie Harrington 10 Carmel 18:48 #11  
4  Magin Kebert 10 Carmel 19:10 #24  
5  Kendall Diveley 12 Westfield 19:15 #26  
6  Candice Granger Carmel 19:50 #54  
7  Courtney Ellabarger 12 Carmel 19:53 #59  
8  Leslie Dillon 12 Hamilton Southeastern 19:53 #60  
9  Aubrey Smith 10 Noblesville 19:56 #64  
10  Jaime Calhoun 12 Carmel 19:59 #68  
11  Bailey Diveley 10 Westfield 20:10 #88  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  Carmel Carmel 127 #1  

Other unranked teams:
Westfield Carmel 467
Hamilton Southeastern Pendleton Heights 523
Noblesville Carmel 758



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Carmel 100.0% 1.0 17 15 25 100.0
Westfield 100.0% 2.3 64 43 87 72.8 27.0 0.2
Hamilton Southeastern 100.0% 2.8 71 53 91 27.2 69.7 3.1
Noblesville 100.0% 4.0 89 69 110 0.0 3.3 96.7


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Michelle Rafferty Carmel 18:19 100.0% 1.0 90.5 8.4 1.0 0.1
Ashley Urick Carmel 18:39 100.0% 1.7 7.2 62.7 26.9 3.1 0.2 0.0
Katie Harrington Carmel 18:48 100.0% 2.4 1.9 25.4 59.7 11.5 1.5 0.1
Magin Kebert Carmel 19:10 100.0% 3.8 0.5 5.2 54.8 36.1 2.8 0.5 0.1
Kendall Diveley Westfield 19:15 100.0% 4.2 0.3 3.0 7.2 29.4 48.4 7.4 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.2
Candice Granger Carmel 19:50 100.0% 7.0 0.1 3.6 23.4 22.5 20.5 15.2 9.9 4.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Courtney Ellabarger Carmel 19:53 100.0% 7.4 0.1 2.7 16.5 21.5 21.3 17.5 13.5 6.1 0.7 0.1
Leslie Dillon Hamilton Southeastern 19:53 100.0% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.8 21.2 17.8 15.6 16.1 14.9 9.3 0.6 0.0
Aubrey Smith Noblesville 19:56 100.0% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.7 16.9 15.9 14.6 16.4 18.7 12.9 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Jaime Calhoun Carmel 19:59 100.0% 8.5 0.0 0.7 7.1 12.7 18.2 22.0 21.6 15.2 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Bailey Diveley Westfield 20:10 100.0% 10.0 0.0 0.3 4.7 6.6 8.3 11.7 19.3 41.2 6.0 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1