Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2002 - 2003 - 2004
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State Rank #1
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #1
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
Chesterton Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 80.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
6  Racheal Marchand 12 18:21
14  Lauren Hardesty 9 18:56
30  Julie Martz 12 19:23
31  Amanda Hardesty 9 19:27
45  Lisa Floran 11 19:39
49  Erica Johnson 11 19:43
56  Andrea Kent 10 19:48
90  Sabrina Pope 10 20:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.3 88 80.1 12.6 4.0 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.1 35 92.4 7.6
Regionals 100% 1.2 31 81.1 18.9
Sectionals 100% 1.3 31 74.2 25.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Racheal Marchand 100% 4.9 6.6 10.0 11.1 11.9 11.7 11.0 10.5 9.1 6.2 4.2 3.0 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lauren Hardesty 100% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.5 2.5 3.8 5.0 5.9 6.7 7.9 7.8 7.3 7.2 6.2 5.5 5.0 4.0 3.5 2.9 2.7 2.3 1.8 99.7%
Julie Martz 100% 30.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.3 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.3 3.6 3.4 83.2%
Amanda Hardesty 100% 34.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.1 73.1%
Lisa Floran 100% 45.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.1 38.3%
Erica Johnson 100% 49.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 28.3%
Andrea Kent 100% 55.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 17.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Racheal Marchand 100% 1.0 81.2 11.2 5.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lauren Hardesty 100% 4.0 0.4 16.8 14.7 18.5 17.6 11.9 7.2 4.9 2.8 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Julie Martz 100% 10.3 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.9 5.7 7.3 8.5 9.4 9.5 8.4 8.0 7.5 6.6 5.6 4.3 3.3 2.4 1.9 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 99.5%
Amanda Hardesty 100% 11.8 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.5 3.8 5.3 6.3 7.3 8.0 8.7 8.4 7.9 7.0 6.6 5.8 4.8 3.7 3.0 2.4 1.6 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.5 99.0%
Lisa Floran 100% 16.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.9 2.3 3.3 4.4 5.2 6.0 6.7 6.6 6.9 7.1 7.2 6.5 5.9 5.0 4.1 4.0 3.1 3.0 91.1%
Erica Johnson 100% 18.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.1 3.0 3.7 4.5 5.1 6.0 7.1 6.8 7.2 6.7 6.1 6.0 5.5 5.0 4.2 3.3 85.9%
Andrea Kent 100% 20.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.9 3.4 4.3 5.3 5.9 6.1 6.9 6.5 6.4 6.6 5.6 5.5 5.0 74.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Racheal Marchand 100% 1.0 81.6 11.7 5.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Lauren Hardesty 100% 3.5 0.4 19.1 17.4 26.5 16.8 9.7 5.2 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Julie Martz 100% 8.0 0.3 1.4 3.0 8.1 11.2 12.6 13.8 15.0 12.8 9.2 6.1 3.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Amanda Hardesty 100% 9.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 4.5 7.5 10.1 12.0 14.2 14.2 13.0 9.8 5.9 3.8 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Lisa Floran 100% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.5 3.2 4.4 6.5 9.8 13.0 15.2 14.9 12.9 8.8 5.1 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 99.9%
Erica Johnson 100% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.7 3.0 4.9 7.1 10.4 13.6 15.7 15.6 12.6 8.0 4.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.7%
Andrea Kent 100% 13.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 1.5 2.1 4.4 6.5 10.3 14.5 17.1 16.9 12.6 8.2 3.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 99.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Racheal Marchand 1.0 82.3 11.2 5.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
Lauren Hardesty 3.4 0.4 19.5 17.7 27.9 17.0 9.6 5.1 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Julie Martz 7.4 0.3 1.5 3.4 9.1 12.9 16.2 17.0 17.1 11.3 6.4 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Amanda Hardesty 8.2 0.1 0.7 2.0 5.7 9.2 13.2 15.6 17.1 16.8 10.4 5.8 2.5 0.9 0.2
Lisa Floran 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.9 6.4 10.8 15.8 19.1 18.0 13.7 6.7 2.5 0.1 0.0
Erica Johnson 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.3 7.3 12.3 17.4 21.4 19.1 10.1 4.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Andrea Kent 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.2 3.9 7.4 12.0 18.6 25.7 19.1 8.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0