Northridge
Boys - Girls
2003 - 2004 - 2005
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State Rank #5
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 5th place at State Finals
State Champion 2.3%
Top 5 at State Finals 49.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 98.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
5  Megan Jackson 11 18:36
32  Jessie Lafree 10 19:22
47  Aimee Gingerich 10 19:38
Lynn Pezzanite 11 20:07
Katie Ritchie 20:09
Stephanie Swendsen 11 20:11
Vanessa Lantzer 11 20:34
Aubree Draper 12 20:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 5.6 178 2.3 5.9 10.9 14.5 15.8 15.5 12.6 10.6 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.4 60 68.0 29.1 2.8 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 27 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 20 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Jackson 100% 5.1 2.2 7.6 12.7 13.9 12.7 10.4 8.7 6.6 5.2 4.1 3.3 2.5 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Jessie Lafree 100% 32.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.9 95.4%
Aimee Gingerich 100% 47.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 72.2%
Lynn Pezzanite 100% 82.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1%
Katie Ritchie 100% 85.2 0.0 5.6%
Stephanie Swendsen 100% 87.5 0.0 4.6%
Vanessa Lantzer 100% 110.5 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Jackson 100% 2.5 3.4 15.8 57.5 17.4 5.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jessie Lafree 100% 6.9 0.0 4.7 11.0 20.3 15.7 12.0 9.3 6.7 5.0 3.6 3.1 2.1 1.7 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Aimee Gingerich 100% 11.4 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.2 7.3 8.7 8.5 8.5 8.1 7.1 6.7 6.0 5.3 4.6 3.7 3.4 2.8 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.0 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Jackson 100% 1.5 6.6 92.8 0.6 0.0 100.0%
Jessie Lafree 100% 2.9 0.1 54.4 28.9 11.8 3.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Aimee Gingerich 100% 4.5 8.3 27.1 31.3 19.6 9.9 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Jackson 1.5 7.0 92.9 0.1
Jessie Lafree 2.6 0.1 84.8 14.8 0.3 0.0
Aimee Gingerich 3.4 14.8 78.6 5.6 0.9 0.1 0.0