Northridge
Boys - Girls
2005 - 2006 - 2007
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State Rank #6
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 5th place at State Finals
State Champion 3.7%
Top 5 at State Finals 57.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.4%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
30  Hannah Miller 11 19:20
53  Karissa Cominator 11 19:37
57  Jessie Lafree 12 19:38
72  Aimee Gingerich 12 19:46
76  Hanna Mercer 10 19:50
99  Megan Miller 12 20:00
Allie Pladson 9 20:16
Angela Arvoy 12 21:13




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 5.1 162 3.7 7.8 11.8 15.4 18.4 17.9 15.1 5.8 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.1 39 94.7 4.6 0.7 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 21 98.8 1.2
Sectionals 100% 1.0 23 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Miller 100% 30.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.3 2.8 94.5%
Karissa Cominator 100% 48.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.0 60.5%
Jessie Lafree 100% 50.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.7 57.6%
Aimee Gingerich 100% 58.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 36.2%
Hanna Mercer 100% 63.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 24.8%
Megan Miller 100% 76.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1%
Allie Pladson 100% 95.5 0.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Miller 100% 7.2 0.1 1.1 7.0 9.2 9.8 10.1 10.4 9.6 8.7 7.3 6.5 5.1 3.8 3.3 2.4 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Karissa Cominator 100% 13.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.6 3.6 4.9 5.4 6.2 6.6 7.2 7.2 7.0 6.6 6.2 5.9 5.2 4.1 3.4 3.2 2.6 2.2 1.5 1.2 99.9%
Jessie Lafree 100% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.2 3.2 4.1 5.5 6.0 6.6 6.8 7.1 6.8 6.7 6.2 5.7 5.7 4.7 3.6 3.3 2.9 2.1 1.6 1.6 99.9%
Aimee Gingerich 100% 17.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.3 3.4 3.8 4.8 5.5 5.6 6.2 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.1 5.7 4.9 4.7 3.9 3.6 3.1 99.2%
Hanna Mercer 100% 19.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.6 3.3 3.8 4.6 5.1 5.5 5.9 6.1 6.4 5.9 5.8 5.8 4.9 4.5 3.9 98.2%
Megan Miller 100% 24.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.5 2.1 2.6 3.2 3.9 4.3 4.8 5.4 5.4 6.0 5.4 5.4 90.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Miller 100% 1.8 26.4 31.2 18.0 9.7 6.4 3.3 2.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Karissa Cominator 100% 5.0 2.1 7.5 12.2 14.6 13.3 12.1 10.4 8.3 6.2 4.9 3.5 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Jessie Lafree 100% 5.4 2.1 6.0 11.1 13.3 13.1 12.2 10.7 9.2 7.0 5.3 3.9 3.2 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Aimee Gingerich 100% 7.3 0.5 2.1 4.9 7.0 9.6 10.5 11.5 11.6 9.8 9.0 7.9 6.2 4.7 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Hanna Mercer 100% 8.6 0.2 0.9 2.4 4.6 6.3 8.4 9.9 10.7 11.1 9.8 9.9 8.7 7.5 4.9 3.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Megan Miller 100% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 2.8 4.4 6.0 7.9 10.2 9.4 11.8 13.3 12.1 9.4 5.7 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hannah Miller 1.0 53.7 23.0 11.8 6.3 2.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Karissa Cominator 3.7 5.7 15.0 17.5 17.1 15.2 11.4 8.5 5.4 2.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Jessie Lafree 4.0 4.2 13.5 16.0 17.2 15.0 12.9 9.7 6.0 3.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Aimee Gingerich 5.6 1.1 4.9 8.6 12.1 14.1 15.6 15.1 12.6 8.8 4.5 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
Hanna Mercer 6.5 0.6 2.9 4.5 7.9 12.0 14.0 15.7 16.2 12.6 7.6 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
Megan Miller 8.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.7 6.7 10.2 15.4 20.4 18.9 12.4 6.2 2.9 0.4 0.1