Carmel
Boys - Girls
2005 - 2006 - 2007
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State Rank #2
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #2
Noblesville Regional Rank #2
Carmel Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 25.6%
Top 5 at State Finals 91.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 97.4%
Advance to State Finals 97.4%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
11  Kayla McCurdy 10 18:49
15  Kelly McCurdy 10 18:57
43  Lauren Waterman 11 19:31
52  Bridget Blair 12 19:37
66  Kristen Schulz 10 19:44
Lindsey Brown 9 20:18
Caren Charles 11 20:23




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 97.4% 2.7 113 25.6 25.6 19.6 13.4 7.4 4.0 1.5 0.3 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.5 91 26.8 28.5 22.2 14.1 5.7 1.9 0.6 0.2
Regionals 100% 2.1 45 19.2 48.7 32.1
Sectionals 100% 2.1 45 20.2 46.4 33.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kayla McCurdy 99.0% 11.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 3.5 4.6 5.3 5.7 6.2 6.9 6.9 6.6 6.3 5.4 5.3 4.8 3.9 3.7 2.9 2.9 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.4 1.2 0.9 61.6% 96.0%
Kelly McCurdy 98.3% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.7 3.6 4.1 4.3 5.1 5.2 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.0 5.2 4.8 4.4 3.6 3.7 2.9 3.0 2.3 2.4 2.0 35.0% 89.1%
Lauren Waterman 97.4% 41.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.7 0.0% 15.1%
Bridget Blair 97.4% 47.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.0% 7.7%
Kristen Schulz 97.4% 56.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.0% 2.7%
Lindsey Brown 97.4% 96.9 0.0% 0.0%
Caren Charles 97.4% 103.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kayla McCurdy 100% 6.0 4.4 6.4 8.5 9.6 11.1 10.4 9.8 9.3 7.6 5.8 4.1 3.5 2.3 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kelly McCurdy 100% 8.2 1.3 2.8 4.4 5.6 7.3 7.9 9.3 9.6 8.9 7.9 6.9 5.6 5.0 3.9 2.9 2.4 1.7 1.7 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Lauren Waterman 100% 23.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.9 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.3 94.0%
Bridget Blair 100% 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.5 2.8 2.7 3.2 3.1 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 86.0%
Kristen Schulz 100% 32.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.5 2.9 71.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kayla McCurdy 100% 3.0 9.0 14.6 26.7 24.2 13.2 6.3 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kelly McCurdy 100% 4.0 3.1 7.4 15.2 25.1 21.9 11.9 6.5 3.4 2.4 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Lauren Waterman 100% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.9 5.8 7.9 9.3 9.8 10.5 10.4 10.9 11.2 9.6 6.3 3.4 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 93.2%
Bridget Blair 100% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 4.8 6.3 7.1 8.2 9.3 10.9 12.9 12.6 10.5 7.0 3.9 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 84.9%
Kristen Schulz 100% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.6 3.9 5.0 7.0 8.4 11.1 14.2 15.9 13.2 7.5 4.2 2.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 68.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kayla McCurdy 3.0 9.3 13.9 26.6 23.6 13.9 6.3 2.8 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kelly McCurdy 4.0 3.3 7.3 16.1 24.3 22.3 12.0 6.3 3.5 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Lauren Waterman 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 5.4 8.5 9.6 9.9 10.2 9.9 10.4 10.9 9.3 6.4 3.5 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bridget Blair 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.6 4.9 6.0 7.6 7.9 9.4 10.6 11.8 13.5 9.9 6.8 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Kristen Schulz 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 2.6 4.2 5.1 6.4 8.1 10.7 13.3 15.1 12.7 8.5 4.8 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0