Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2005 - 2006 - 2007
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State Rank #3
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #3
Noblesville Regional Rank #3
Carmel Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 3rd place at State Finals
State Champion 13.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 80.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 92.9%
Advance to State Finals 92.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
24  Taylor Bowles 10 19:18
36  Jalynne Foley 9 19:24
40  Tiffany Cange 9 19:29
44  Meg Bowles 9 19:32
59  Erica Watson 12 19:42
Erin Warning 12 20:10
Alex Kacer 9 20:18




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 92.9% 3.4 128 13.1 18.7 20.9 16.1 11.9 7.5 3.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
Semi-State 100% 3.2 105 13.1 21.6 25.5 21.5 11.3 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.6 52 6.3 29.7 64.1
Sectionals 100% 2.5 53 7.3 30.5 62.2 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Bowles 93.2% 27.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.8 2.3 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.6 4.1% 43.7%
Jalynne Foley 93.0% 33.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.5 1.0% 26.2%
Tiffany Cange 92.9% 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.8 1.8 0.0% 15.0%
Meg Bowles 92.9% 41.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.3 0.0% 11.8%
Erica Watson 92.9% 52.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0% 2.9%
Erin Warning 92.9% 87.5 0.0 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Kacer 92.9% 96.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Bowles 100% 16.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.6 3.6 4.3 4.9 5.4 5.4 6.1 6.2 6.0 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.4 3.1 2.3 99.3%
Jalynne Foley 100% 19.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.6 3.2 3.9 4.5 5.0 5.0 5.2 4.8 4.9 4.6 4.9 4.5 4.4 4.0 3.6 98.1%
Tiffany Cange 100% 23.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.8 1.9 2.5 2.6 3.1 4.1 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.3 4.6 4.3 95.1%
Meg Bowles 100% 24.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.3 3.0 3.1 3.5 3.9 3.7 4.3 4.7 4.4 4.4 4.6 4.3 93.2%
Erica Watson 100% 31.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.6 2.1 2.6 2.8 3.5 3.4 3.5 76.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Bowles 100% 7.2 0.3 0.8 2.4 4.9 8.8 14.4 15.7 15.4 11.5 8.9 6.4 4.5 3.0 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
Jalynne Foley 100% 8.7 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.9 4.2 7.4 11.5 13.4 13.8 12.4 10.5 8.7 6.0 4.2 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.7%
Tiffany Cange 100% 10.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.1 4.1 7.6 10.0 12.0 12.8 12.5 11.0 9.3 7.4 4.9 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.0%
Meg Bowles 100% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.0 5.5 7.9 10.2 12.0 12.8 12.3 10.9 9.2 6.8 4.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 92.7%
Erica Watson 100% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.7 6.1 8.9 11.5 12.8 14.5 15.1 11.2 6.4 3.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 75.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Bowles 7.2 0.3 0.8 2.3 4.9 8.5 14.4 15.7 15.0 12.1 8.8 6.3 4.6 2.9 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0
Jalynne Foley 8.7 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 4.4 7.7 11.6 13.4 13.5 12.0 10.3 8.1 5.5 4.7 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tiffany Cange 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.3 4.3 6.6 9.9 12.1 13.1 12.7 11.4 9.4 7.1 5.0 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Meg Bowles 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 3.3 5.4 8.2 9.8 12.8 12.8 11.6 11.0 8.7 6.7 4.1 1.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Erica Watson 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.2 4.3 5.5 8.8 11.8 12.8 13.1 14.3 11.6 6.6 3.5 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0