Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2007 - 2008 - 2009
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State Rank #6
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #3
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #2
Carmel Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 50.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 92.6%
Advance to State Finals 95.1%
Advance to Semi-State 99.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
34  Helen Willman 9 19:15
57  Tiffany Cange 11 19:33
68  Meg Bowles 11 19:41
82  Jalynne Foley 11 19:49
105  Taylor Bowles 12 19:59
121  Alex Kacer 11 20:04
Stephanie Runyon 12 20:40




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 95.1% 5.5 204 0.1 11.5 12.8 13.8 12.6 12.3 10.7 8.9 6.3 3.7 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 99.5% 3.4 119 0.2 33.9 26.3 17.2 11.2 6.2 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.6 92 0.1 58.1 24.9 11.8 4.6 0.5 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.3 68 0.2 66.7 33.0 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Helen Willman 95.3% 32.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.5 2.3 2.8 4.7% 46.6%
Tiffany Cange 95.1% 49.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.0% 9.5%
Meg Bowles 95.1% 56.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0% 3.1%
Jalynne Foley 95.1% 65.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0% 0.7%
Taylor Bowles 95.1% 77.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.1%
Alex Kacer 95.1% 84.6 0.0% 0.0%
Stephanie Runyon 95.1% 129.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Helen Willman 99.6% 15.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.4 2.1 3.1 3.8 4.4 4.9 5.9 5.9 6.6 6.3 6.9 6.2 5.9 5.6 5.2 4.2 3.6 2.9 2.4 1.9 15.4% 82.9%
Tiffany Cange 99.5% 23.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.0 2.4 3.1 3.5 3.8 4.8 5.0 5.3 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.1 0.0% 36.2%
Meg Bowles 99.5% 28.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.5 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.1 4.3 0.0% 17.4%
Jalynne Foley 99.5% 33.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 2.4 2.6 2.6 3.0 0.0% 6.0%
Taylor Bowles 99.5% 41.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.0% 1.4%
Alex Kacer 99.5% 46.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.0% 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Helen Willman 100% 11.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.4 2.2 3.8 5.7 6.8 8.4 8.5 9.4 9.8 9.3 8.9 7.2 5.8 3.9 2.7 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 99.0%
Tiffany Cange 100% 16.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.3 4.3 5.8 7.3 9.1 9.6 9.8 9.2 7.5 6.5 5.3 3.8 3.0 2.5 1.8 85.2%
Meg Bowles 100% 19.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.2 2.0 3.2 3.9 5.3 6.4 8.2 8.2 8.8 8.7 7.3 6.0 5.3 4.8 3.8 65.9%
Jalynne Foley 100% 22.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.5 2.3 3.5 4.7 5.6 6.5 7.8 7.8 7.5 6.8 6.3 5.4 41.1%
Taylor Bowles 100% 26.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 2.1 3.0 3.7 4.5 5.0 5.8 6.4 6.5 15.6%
Alex Kacer 100% 29.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.5 4.3 4.6 4.9 7.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Helen Willman 7.2 0.7 1.5 2.3 4.5 9.6 13.4 14.8 13.7 12.0 9.5 7.2 4.6 3.0 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tiffany Cange 11.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.4 4.0 6.5 8.5 11.1 11.3 12.4 11.1 9.0 7.0 5.2 3.5 2.4 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Meg Bowles 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.5 4.0 5.5 8.1 9.8 11.1 11.4 11.0 9.6 7.1 5.5 4.2 3.0 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.1
Jalynne Foley 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.6 3.8 5.4 7.1 9.3 10.2 10.8 10.2 9.9 7.5 6.7 5.0 3.8 2.5 1.3 0.8
Taylor Bowles 18.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.8 3.9 5.5 7.1 8.9 10.2 10.8 10.9 9.9 8.6 7.4 5.0 3.2
Alex Kacer 20.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.2 6.3 8.1 9.9 10.5 11.3 11.7 10.6 9.2 5.4