Northridge
Boys - Girls
2007 - 2008 - 2009
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State Rank #9
New Haven Semi-State Rank #2
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 17.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 81.2%
Advance to State Finals 99.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
25  Skylair Hilton 10 19:07
58  Allie Pladson 11 19:33
62  Hanna Mercer 12 19:37
Megan Hammel 12 20:06
Emily Mercer 12 20:26
Autumn Elliott 10 20:54
Leah Riffell 11 21:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.6% 8.2 254 0.0 1.8 3.5 5.3 7.1 8.9 11.6 13.5 14.9 14.6 7.6 4.7 2.8 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.2 106 15.1 64.3 13.9 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 41 98.7 1.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 35 98.4 1.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skylair Hilton 99.7% 27.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.2 25.0% 92.8%
Allie Pladson 99.6% 50.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0% 36.6%
Hanna Mercer 99.6% 54.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0% 27.8%
Megan Hammel 99.6% 88.2 0.0% 0.5%
Emily Mercer 99.6% 113.5 0.0% 0.0%
Autumn Elliott 99.6% 143.9 0.0% 0.0%
Leah Riffell 99.6% 174.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skylair Hilton 100% 6.4 5.6 7.4 8.2 8.6 8.5 8.8 8.2 8.0 6.9 5.7 4.8 4.2 3.1 3.0 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Allie Pladson 100% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.6 3.9 4.5 4.5 4.8 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.2 4.7 4.9 4.3 4.4 3.7 3.3 3.1 97.0%
Hanna Mercer 100% 19.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.4 3.2 3.1 4.0 4.2 4.5 4.5 4.6 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.9 5.2 4.4 3.9 3.6 94.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skylair Hilton 100% 2.4 19.9 22.0 20.0 13.8 9.0 6.0 3.9 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Allie Pladson 100% 8.0 0.2 1.6 3.7 5.8 7.9 10.0 10.0 10.7 10.5 10.3 9.1 6.7 5.0 3.3 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Hanna Mercer 100% 9.1 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.0 5.8 7.4 8.9 9.8 10.4 10.4 9.9 9.1 7.1 5.1 3.6 2.4 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Skylair Hilton 2.0 22.3 28.1 29.8 14.6 4.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Allie Pladson 4.8 0.3 2.0 7.0 18.7 26.4 22.7 14.8 5.5 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
Hanna Mercer 5.4 0.2 1.1 4.2 12.5 22.1 25.5 20.4 9.3 3.0 1.4 0.3 0.1