Carmel
Boys - Girls
2009 - 2010 - 2011
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State Rank #1
Carmel Semi-State Rank #1
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 98.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 100.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
3  Renee Wellman 11 18:24
5  Sarah Bennett 11 18:31
6  Alex Chitwood 12 18:38
17  Allison Jacobsen 11 18:54
21  Gina Genco 9 18:59
26  Kelcy Welch 9 19:05
35  Lauren Kahre 11 19:14
56  Aya Tomozawa 11 19:26
68  Ellen Schmitz 10 19:33
89  Nicole Thinnes 11 19:45
118  Brigette Bastardo 12 19:57




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.0 49 98.2 1.8 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.0 30 98.1 1.8 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 26 99.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 22 100.0 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Wellman 100% 3.5 10.2 17.7 15.6 12.2 9.7 7.2 5.7 4.4 3.6 3.0 2.2 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.9%
Sarah Bennett 100% 5.5 3.6 8.7 11.8 11.1 9.9 8.8 7.5 6.2 5.0 4.6 3.9 2.8 2.5 2.4 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 99.5%
Alex Chitwood 100% 8.7 0.9 3.1 5.0 7.1 7.6 8.0 7.1 6.9 6.2 6.0 5.1 4.4 4.0 3.8 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.2 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.9 98.0%
Allison Jacobsen 100% 19.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.5 3.1 3.4 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.9 4.0 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.0 2.7 79.7%
Gina Genco 100% 23.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.6 2.4 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.1 68.7%
Kelcy Welch 100% 27.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.0 2.8 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.3 52.1%
Lauren Kahre 100% 37.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.1 26.3%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Wellman 100% 1.4 40.1 23.5 13.3 8.1 5.2 3.4 2.3 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sarah Bennett 100% 2.6 16.8 22.7 17.5 12.4 8.5 6.3 4.7 3.3 2.4 1.9 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Alex Chitwood 100% 4.3 6.0 10.7 16.2 13.9 11.1 9.0 7.7 6.0 4.9 3.8 2.9 2.2 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Allison Jacobsen 100% 9.9 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.6 5.7 7.0 7.0 7.9 8.0 7.4 7.0 6.6 5.8 5.2 4.5 4.2 3.5 2.6 2.3 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.6 96.9%
Gina Genco 100% 12.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.1 3.1 4.3 5.3 5.7 6.5 7.1 7.0 7.2 6.7 6.5 6.0 5.2 4.5 3.9 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.0 1.4 1.3 1.0 93.6%
Kelcy Welch 100% 14.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.3 2.9 3.8 4.5 5.0 5.6 6.2 6.0 6.8 6.2 6.2 5.9 5.2 4.9 4.2 3.6 3.4 2.7 2.3 1.9 86.1%
Lauren Kahre 100% 19.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.5 2.2 2.7 3.3 4.2 4.6 4.8 5.8 6.0 6.6 5.4 5.8 5.7 4.9 4.7 4.0 3.6 66.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Wellman 100% 1.2 45.7 24.5 13.6 7.2 4.1 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sarah Bennett 100% 2.2 19.1 27.1 19.9 12.9 8.4 5.3 3.3 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Alex Chitwood 100% 3.5 6.4 13.7 20.6 16.9 12.9 9.8 7.5 5.2 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Allison Jacobsen 100% 7.6 0.1 1.0 3.2 7.3 9.0 10.9 11.8 11.5 10.9 9.8 7.5 5.7 3.9 2.6 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Gina Genco 100% 9.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.3 5.9 7.2 9.8 10.8 11.7 11.5 9.9 7.7 6.1 4.6 3.4 2.2 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.5%
Kelcy Welch 100% 10.6 0.1 0.3 1.5 3.2 4.2 6.1 8.2 9.0 10.4 11.1 10.1 8.9 7.2 5.8 4.4 3.5 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 98.7%
Lauren Kahre 100% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.2 4.4 6.3 7.9 9.7 11.1 10.2 9.4 8.0 6.7 6.2 4.1 3.0 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.3 95.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Wellman 1.0 49.7 25.4 13.2 6.4 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Sarah Bennett 1.9 21.2 30.7 21.8 12.4 7.5 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alex Chitwood 3.1 6.9 16.7 25.5 19.6 14.0 8.8 4.3 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Allison Jacobsen 6.2 0.2 1.1 4.3 10.5 14.4 16.4 16.2 13.6 9.9 6.0 3.6 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Gina Genco 7.2 0.1 0.4 1.7 5.9 10.0 13.0 15.8 15.2 14.1 9.6 6.1 3.7 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kelcy Welch 8.4 0.1 0.8 2.4 4.9 7.7 12.0 15.6 15.2 14.0 10.4 7.0 4.5 2.8 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Lauren Kahre 10.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.6 4.8 8.3 11.7 14.9 15.1 13.3 10.0 7.3 5.6 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1