Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2009 - 2010 - 2011
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State Rank #5
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #1
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
Chesterton Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 41.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 86.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
30  Katelyn Devries 11 19:05
40  Erica Wirsing 12 19:17
46  Tiffany Fortney 10 19:19
99  Lauren Bigger 11 19:48
Patricia Joll 11 20:15
Sara Greenawald 9 21:02
Michaela Gazdich 9 21:18




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 6.7 234 5.1 12.4 13.0 11.1 11.8 11.0 9.4 7.4 5.6 4.4 3.6 2.2 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.5 62 52.7 41.2 6.0 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 22 100.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 100.0 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katelyn Devries 100% 28.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.5 2.1 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.8 3.0 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.9 98.7%
Erica Wirsing 100% 40.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 91.9%
Tiffany Fortney 100% 42.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 90.0%
Lauren Bigger 100% 77.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.3%
Patricia Joll 100% 111.4 0.5%
Sara Greenawald 100% 152.9 0.0%
Michaela Gazdich 100% 163.8 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katelyn Devries 100% 6.0 0.1 3.6 7.8 11.8 13.6 13.7 13.0 11.1 8.0 5.7 3.9 2.8 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Erica Wirsing 100% 9.0 0.5 1.5 3.1 5.2 7.9 9.4 10.9 11.2 10.1 9.6 8.2 6.5 4.6 3.0 2.4 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Tiffany Fortney 100% 9.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.5 4.3 6.8 8.6 9.5 11.5 10.7 10.1 8.4 7.0 5.1 4.2 3.1 2.0 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Lauren Bigger 100% 19.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.9 1.9 2.8 3.6 5.1 5.8 6.4 7.0 6.7 6.4 6.0 6.1 5.3 5.3 4.4 4.0 99.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katelyn Devries 100% 1.9 17.6 35.5 26.4 12.7 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Erica Wirsing 100% 3.5 3.1 11.4 22.5 27.4 22.8 8.1 3.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tiffany Fortney 100% 3.7 2.4 8.9 19.1 27.9 25.9 10.0 3.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lauren Bigger 100% 7.3 0.2 0.8 3.9 18.4 20.4 18.3 13.6 9.2 6.2 3.8 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katelyn Devries 1.0 49.0 30.6 13.6 5.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Erica Wirsing 2.5 10.2 24.2 31.5 24.3 7.6 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Tiffany Fortney 2.7 8.1 20.6 30.1 29.1 9.4 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lauren Bigger 5.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 5.0 27.7 30.4 18.3 9.0 4.3 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0