Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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State Rank #29
New Haven Semi-State Rank #7
West Noble Regional Rank #4
Northrop Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 31.1%
Advance to Semi-State 99.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
37  Marina Konow 12 19:03
132  Michaela Harrison 12 19:54
Anna Greene 11 20:23
Hannah Martin 9 21:06
Erin Adair 11 21:24
Alaina Stellwagen 9 21:53
Brianna Baughman 9 22:11
Kayla Stellwagen 11 22:35
DateRace Rating
08/24 Bishop Luers Invitational
08/31 DeKalb Classic 367
09/14 Bruin Invitational 470
09/21 New Prairie Invitational 487
09/28 Culver Invitational (Elite) 418
10/05 Summit Athletic Conference
10/15 Northrop Sectional 436
10/19 West Noble Regional 417
10/26 New Haven Semi-State 416




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 31.1% 18.3 448 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 2.0 2.5 3.4 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.1 2.6 0.7 0.1
Semi-State 99.7% 6.9 215 1.1 3.8 8.3 17.8 41.3 20.2 6.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.7 102 9.2 21.3 61.9 7.4 0.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.9 97 23.5 67.4 8.9 0.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marina Konow 95.8% 34.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.4 2.3 93.9% 95.6%
Michaela Harrison 31.9% 89.0 1.2% 4.9%
Anna Greene 31.1% 126.6 0.0% 0.1%
Hannah Martin 31.1% 173.4 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Adair 31.1% 186.7 0.0% 0.0%
Alaina Stellwagen 31.1% 198.6 0.0% 0.0%
Brianna Baughman 31.1% 202.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marina Konow 100% 9.4 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.4 4.8 7.4 8.6 9.5 9.6 9.2 7.6 7.2 5.8 5.3 3.8 3.2 2.9 2.2 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Michaela Harrison 99.8% 34.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.4 40.6% 95.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marina Konow 100% 3.6 5.3 19.5 16.7 14.5 12.3 8.7 7.2 5.2 3.7 2.6 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Michaela Harrison 100% 17.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.5 3.1 4.1 4.8 5.5 6.4 7.2 8.0 8.4 8.6 8.4 8.3 6.6 4.9 3.2 1.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marina Konow 2.3 24.5 20.9 16.2 12.3 9.3 6.5 4.2 2.6 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
Michaela Harrison 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.0 3.9 5.6 7.3 9.0 10.9 12.5 14.2 14.4 7.2 3.9 2.3 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0