Avon
Boys - Girls
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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State Rank #2
Carmel Semi-State Rank #2
Ben Davis Regional Rank #1
South Putnam Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 71.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.9%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
2  Malyka Abramson 11 18:07
7  Taylor Nicholson 9 18:21
25  Courtney Kerr 11 18:50
69  Kelsie Mothersead 11 19:31
85  Kate Bernicke 9 19:39
90  Lauren Heeger 11 19:41
Alissa Lustgarten 11 20:44
Fiona Kelly 12 20:51
Amanda Grothen 10 21:02
Takayla Carlton 10 21:07
DateRace Rating
08/31 Franklin Invitational 106
09/07 Harrison (WL) Invitational 121
09/14 Ben Davis Invitational 132
09/21 Flashrock Invitational 179
09/28 Ted Fox Memorial Invitational
10/05 Hoosier Crossroads Conference 157
10/08 Hendricks County Meet 168
10/15 South Putnam Sectional
10/19 Ben Davis Regional 169
10/26 Carmel Semi-State 180
11/02 State Finals 148




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.9% 4.5 169 0.2 12.7 18.0 20.5 20.3 14.0 8.6 4.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.8 95 0.2 36.4 50.1 10.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 27 90.9 9.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 19 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Malyka Abramson 100% 2.7 18.5 20.4 15.9 12.0 8.9 6.4 4.2 3.3 2.6 2.0 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Taylor Nicholson 100% 6.6 2.2 5.7 8.6 10.0 9.5 9.2 8.5 7.6 5.7 5.1 4.4 3.8 2.6 2.4 2.5 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Kelsie Mothersead 99.9% 67.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0% 63.9%
Kate Bernicke 99.9% 79.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 45.2%
Lauren Heeger 99.9% 83.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 39.6%
Alissa Lustgarten 99.9% 160.8 0.0% 0.0%
Fiona Kelly 99.9% 168.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Malyka Abramson 100% 1.7 26.8 33.0 18.6 9.4 5.0 2.8 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Taylor Nicholson 100% 3.7 3.3 12.2 21.8 18.3 13.1 9.0 6.0 4.8 3.4 3.1 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kelsie Mothersead 100% 27.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.6 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.8 4.6 100.0%
Kate Bernicke 100% 32.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.3 2.3 2.9 2.9 3.4 100.0%
Lauren Heeger 100% 34.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.8 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Malyka Abramson 100% 1.0 83.6 16.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Taylor Nicholson 100% 1.4 16.1 81.2 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Kelsie Mothersead 100% 6.8 3.5 6.9 8.6 12.9 23.2 18.4 12.2 7.3 3.4 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kate Bernicke 100% 8.1 1.0 2.6 3.9 7.2 13.9 18.8 20.0 13.3 8.8 5.1 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Lauren Heeger 100% 8.5 0.5 1.8 3.2 5.3 11.4 16.9 20.1 15.6 10.1 7.3 3.9 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Malyka Abramson 1.0 83.7 16.2 0.1
Taylor Nicholson 1.4 16.1 82.7 1.2
Kelsie Mothersead 3.9 10.6 42.8 26.1 14.8 5.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Kate Bernicke 4.9 3.5 19.0 29.9 29.6 16.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
Lauren Heeger 5.3 2.2 13.7 25.3 34.0 21.7 2.3 0.8 0.1