Boys
-
Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2012
-
2013 -
2014
These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
Regional Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
| School | Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score | Min Score | Max Score |
Finishing Place |
|---|
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
|---|
| Penn |
100.0% |
1.0 |
25 |
15 |
53 |
98.9 |
1.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Northridge |
100.0% |
2.0 |
51 |
26 |
101 |
1.1 |
98.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Wawasee |
100.0% |
3.4 |
116 |
58 |
201 |
|
0.1 |
71.6 |
18.6 |
6.6 |
2.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Concord |
98.7% |
4.7 |
140 |
72 |
216 |
|
|
15.9 |
34.7 |
24.5 |
13.5 |
6.3 |
2.4 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
| Mishawaka |
100.0% |
5.2 |
147 |
87 |
229 |
|
|
7.8 |
26.0 |
30.7 |
20.1 |
9.3 |
4.5 |
1.5 |
0.2 |
| Adams |
100.0% |
5.9 |
158 |
90 |
233 |
|
|
3.6 |
14.8 |
22.0 |
27.3 |
16.5 |
10.2 |
4.6 |
1.1 |
| Fairfield |
71.7% |
7.2 |
175 |
97 |
243 |
|
|
0.5 |
2.9 |
6.4 |
11.9 |
17.2 |
16.7 |
12.6 |
3.5 |
| Elkhart Memorial |
90.2% |
7.5 |
178 |
108 |
242 |
|
|
0.2 |
1.3 |
4.4 |
11.9 |
25.0 |
29.1 |
15.0 |
3.4 |
| Goshen |
39.5% |
7.6 |
181 |
108 |
248 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
5.5 |
8.3 |
10.4 |
8.9 |
3.2 |
| St. Joseph's |
100.0% |
8.4 |
194 |
110 |
276 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
2.8 |
6.3 |
13.2 |
18.9 |
33.8 |
23.9 |
| Riley |
100.0% |
9.4 |
213 |
130 |
276 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
3.7 |
7.7 |
22.5 |
64.5 |
| Runner | School | Rating | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
|---|
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
| Maddie Woods |
Penn |
18:20 |
100.0% |
1.0 |
89.0 |
10.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Brooke Moore |
Elkhart Memorial |
18:47 |
100.0% |
1.7 |
10.7 |
56.9 |
27.9 |
3.6 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Danielle Frank |
Penn |
18:57 |
100.0% |
2.3 |
0.3 |
31.5 |
61.0 |
6.1 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emma Jankowski |
Penn |
19:26 |
100.0% |
4.0 |
|
0.4 |
4.2 |
44.2 |
27.8 |
10.9 |
5.6 |
4.5 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Kayla Casaletto |
Elkhart Christian Academy |
19:32 |
100.0% |
4.7 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
5.3 |
27.7 |
23.7 |
18.6 |
9.7 |
7.0 |
5.1 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lauren Pottschmidt |
Penn |
19:42 |
100.0% |
5.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
6.0 |
20.9 |
25.5 |
13.7 |
12.0 |
13.2 |
4.7 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| McKenzie Love |
Northridge |
19:48 |
100.0% |
6.9 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
5.1 |
9.9 |
15.3 |
21.7 |
19.4 |
14.3 |
6.1 |
3.5 |
1.7 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
| Olivia Golden |
Northridge |
19:49 |
100.0% |
7.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
4.3 |
9.4 |
15.0 |
20.7 |
18.8 |
14.9 |
7.5 |
4.0 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Morgan Blyly |
Northridge |
19:53 |
100.0% |
7.7 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
2.9 |
5.6 |
10.8 |
16.8 |
20.0 |
19.3 |
10.4 |
6.1 |
3.1 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
