Avon
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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State Rank #2
Carmel Semi-State Rank #2
Ben Davis Regional Rank #1
South Putnam Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 3.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 97.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
2  Taylor Nicholson 10 18:09
20  Malyka Abramson 12 18:46
42  Kelsie Mothersead 12 19:11
43  Courtney Kerr 12 19:12
56  Kate Bernicke 10 19:20
96  Lauren Heeger 12 19:41
Alissa Lustgarten 12 20:53
Amanda Grothen 11 21:01
Elyse Rhoades 11 21:05
Takayla Carlton 11 21:40
Anay DeLaCruz 9 21:47
Megan Hill 12 22:15
DateRace Rating
09/02 Hendricks County Championships 124
09/13 Ben Davis Invitational 145
09/20 Flashrock Invitational (Champ) 85
09/20 Flashrock Invitational (JV)
09/27 Ted Fox Invitational 240
10/04 Hoosier Crossroads Conference 131
10/11 South Putnam Sectional 232
10/18 Ben Davis Regional 133
10/25 Carmel Semi-State 117
11/01 State Finals 130
11/16 NXN Midwest 255




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 2.6 122 3.8 57.1 22.9 9.4 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.0 75 4.1 93.9 1.8 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 26 98.4 1.6
Sectionals 100% 1.0 19 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Nicholson 100% 2.7 1.6 34.5 19.4 11.9 8.1 6.0 3.9 3.0 2.6 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Malyka Abramson 100% 20.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 1.6 1.7 2.2 2.7 2.6 2.8 3.2 3.1 2.9 3.4 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.7 3.4 3.4 3.2 2.9 99.9%
Kelsie Mothersead 100% 45.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.1 93.9%
Courtney Kerr 100% 47.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.0 93.0%
Kate Bernicke 100% 56.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 83.6%
Lauren Heeger 100% 86.0 0.0 38.3%
Alissa Lustgarten 100% 179.2 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Nicholson 100% 1.1 46.7 22.5 11.0 6.5 4.6 2.7 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Malyka Abramson 100% 10.2 0.1 1.6 3.0 4.3 4.8 5.9 6.6 7.1 7.6 7.9 8.5 7.6 7.2 6.2 5.4 4.6 3.4 2.3 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 100.0%
Kelsie Mothersead 100% 19.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 2.1 2.4 3.0 3.8 4.4 5.5 6.5 6.3 7.5 6.8 6.1 5.8 5.2 4.8 4.5 100.0%
Courtney Kerr 100% 20.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.5 2.1 3.2 3.5 4.5 5.3 6.2 6.5 6.5 6.8 6.2 5.7 5.7 5.1 4.5 100.0%
Kate Bernicke 100% 23.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.5 2.3 2.7 3.8 4.1 4.8 5.5 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.8 100.0%
Lauren Heeger 100% 35.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.6 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Nicholson 100% 1.0 91.5 7.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Malyka Abramson 100% 2.6 0.5 29.7 31.1 25.5 8.1 3.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kelsie Mothersead 100% 5.9 0.7 3.0 8.9 19.7 20.4 17.6 12.9 8.1 4.3 2.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Courtney Kerr 100% 6.0 0.4 2.6 8.6 17.8 19.9 17.5 13.7 9.8 4.6 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kate Bernicke 100% 7.4 0.1 0.8 2.7 7.9 13.4 18.1 16.8 16.7 10.1 6.4 3.4 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Lauren Heeger 100% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.0 5.7 8.5 15.0 15.0 14.3 13.1 10.6 8.1 4.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Nicholson 1.0 94.9 5.0 0.1
Malyka Abramson 2.1 0.6 45.4 48.4 4.7 0.8 0.1
Kelsie Mothersead 4.1 1.1 8.4 36.8 31.4 17.5 3.7 0.9 0.2 0.0
Courtney Kerr 4.3 0.8 7.1 33.6 33.2 19.3 4.7 1.0 0.3 0.0
Kate Bernicke 5.2 0.2 2.2 14.0 24.2 42.2 12.6 3.4 1.0 0.2
Lauren Heeger 7.0 0.3 1.5 7.5 42.2 26.7 15.7 5.9 0.3 0.0