Carmel
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #1
Carmel Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 91.5%
Top 5 at State Finals 100.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
1  Sarah Leinheiser 11 17:40
9  Stacy Morozov 12 18:31
15  Maddie Dalton 10 18:39
23  Christina Geisler 11 18:47
78  Megan Kress 12 19:31
85  Rachel Anderson 11 19:34
101  Daphne Boom 11 19:43
113  Alyssa Easton 10 19:49
120  Samantha Miller 12 19:52
157  Corrine Miller 10 20:03
203  Eva Brungard 9 20:18
222  Elizabeth Borlik 11 20:22
250  Anna Morozov 10 20:29
253  Emily Ashburn 11 20:31
320  Celia McGhiey 12 20:48
325  Kenzi Wilson 11 20:49
375  Izza Khurram 9 20:59
387  Haleigh Overshiner 12 21:01
440  Emma Wright 9 21:11
446  Hannah Klineman 12 21:12
583  Olivia Shafer 10 21:34
650  Mea McCormack 9 21:45
694  Megan Kueber 10 21:52
698  Remi Meeker 11 21:52
711  Adell Urtel 9 21:54
749  Molly McGuire 12 22:00
Jena Arnett 10 22:02
Brittany Langland 11 22:02
Sydney Foxworthy 10 22:03
Alyson Pickering 9 22:06
Kristen Selvio 10 22:24
Ellison Willard 12 25:11
Gabby Seal 11 25:22
DateRace Rating
09/01 Hamilton County 61
09/05 Terre Haute Savings Bank Invitational 127
09/12 Eagle Classic 123
09/19 Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational 96
09/26 Culver Invitational 110
09/26 Metro Interscholastic Conference 352
10/10 Noblesville Sectional 184
10/17 Noblesville Regional 168
10/24 Carmel Semi-State 81
10/31 State Finals 80
11/28 Foot Locker Midwest Regional 106
12/05 NXN Finals
11/25 NXN Midwest Regional 77




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.1 84 91.5 7.2 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.0 43 99.5 0.6
Regionals 100% 1.0 30 99.7 0.3
Sectionals 100% 1.0 23 100.0 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Leinheiser 100% 1.0 80.6 12.2 4.0 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Stacy Morozov 100% 11.6 1.7 2.9 3.5 4.7 5.0 5.2 5.9 6.5 6.0 5.3 5.3 5.0 4.8 4.4 4.1 3.6 3.4 3.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.3 100.0%
Maddie Dalton 100% 16.1 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.8 3.8 4.6 4.5 5.0 4.8 4.4 4.5 4.9 3.6 4.5 3.6 3.2 3.5 2.9 2.7 2.6 99.9%
Christina Geisler 100% 22.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.6 4.5 3.8 4.1 3.7 3.6 99.7%
Megan Kress 100% 74.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 52.3%
Rachel Anderson 100% 79.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 44.4%
Daphne Boom 100% 97.2 0.0 0.0 22.8%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Leinheiser 100% 1.0 88.5 9.4 1.7 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Stacy Morozov 100% 5.5 0.0 4.5 9.8 13.2 15.2 15.2 12.7 9.8 7.2 4.7 3.1 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Maddie Dalton 100% 7.1 1.6 3.8 7.1 10.0 12.0 13.7 12.6 11.1 9.3 6.5 4.2 2.9 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Christina Geisler 100% 9.3 0.3 1.1 2.1 3.8 6.2 9.1 11.0 12.5 12.5 10.5 8.4 6.2 4.7 3.2 2.4 1.7 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Megan Kress 100% 25.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.2 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.5 4.1 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.4 5.9 99.9%
Rachel Anderson 100% 27.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.5 4.1 4.1 4.4 4.9 99.8%
Daphne Boom 100% 33.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.6 3.0 99.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Leinheiser 100% 1.0 91.5 8.4 0.1 100.0%
Stacy Morozov 100% 3.0 0.0 10.7 39.0 25.4 13.3 6.2 2.9 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Maddie Dalton 100% 4.1 3.7 17.4 27.1 22.7 13.9 7.8 3.5 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Christina Geisler 100% 5.4 0.7 5.2 12.3 22.9 22.5 14.8 9.5 5.1 3.0 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Megan Kress 100% 15.4 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.4 4.3 5.9 6.3 7.2 8.3 8.3 8.5 7.8 8.2 6.8 5.7 5.1 3.5 2.4 1.8 1.4 100.0%
Rachel Anderson 100% 16.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.3 4.4 5.6 6.4 7.5 7.6 8.2 7.8 8.3 7.8 6.9 5.8 4.6 3.7 2.3 1.9 100.0%
Daphne Boom 100% 19.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 2.0 2.7 3.7 4.4 5.2 6.5 7.9 8.6 8.6 8.2 7.6 6.8 5.9 4.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Leinheiser 1.0 99.8 0.2
Stacy Morozov 2.1 0.0 47.9 28.9 14.1 6.0 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maddie Dalton 2.9 19.6 32.9 24.6 13.8 5.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Christina Geisler 4.1 5.4 13.0 28.5 27.2 14.5 5.8 3.0 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Megan Kress 11.8 0.0 0.4 2.2 5.2 6.8 7.9 10.0 10.1 9.9 10.2 9.0 7.6 6.3 4.7 3.4 2.6 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
Rachel Anderson 12.7 0.2 1.4 3.5 5.2 6.7 7.6 8.7 9.7 9.8 9.7 9.4 7.9 6.4 4.7 3.6 2.3 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.2
Daphne Boom 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 2.1 3.3 4.4 5.8 7.2 8.7 9.5 10.4 10.8 9.7 7.6 5.6 4.3 2.9 1.9 1.1 0.8