Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #35
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #9
New Prairie Regional Rank #4
Chesterton Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 4.5%
Advance to Semi-State 98.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
130  Kara Krol 9 19:54
247  Rachel Hoffman 10 20:27
338  Sarah Schimpf 9 20:51
353  Cara Sullivan 11 20:55
399  Julia Lecy 10 21:03
469  Elizabeth Canright 10 21:15
528  Lindsey Nielsen 11 21:24
631  Kylie Mercier 10 21:42
Julia Wahl 11 22:18
Carmen Cruz 10 22:36
DateRace Rating
08/22 Northern Indiana Conference Stomp 494
08/25 Jack Bransford Classic 440
09/05 Artesian Classic 545
09/12 Bob Thomas Invitational 438
09/19 New Prairie Invitational 490
10/03 Duneland Athletic Conference 484
10/10 Chesterton Sectional 584
10/17 New Prairie Regional 496
10/24 New Prairie Semi-State 430




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 4.5% 23.2 545 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.5
Semi-State 98.7% 9.8 282 0.0 0.1 4.4 11.0 14.7 16.2 15.6 13.5 12.6 9.1 1.3 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 4.2 114 0.1 9.7 62.2 26.7 1.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.2 105 0.1 9.2 60.0 30.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kara Krol 23.5% 96.5 19.9% 21.9%
Rachel Hoffman 4.5% 135.2 0.0% 0.1%
Sarah Schimpf 4.5% 168.0 0.0% 0.0%
Cara Sullivan 4.5% 170.5 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Lecy 4.5% 181.7 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Canright 4.5% 191.4 0.0% 0.0%
Lindsey Nielsen 4.5% 196.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kara Krol 100% 33.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.1 2.6 2.8 100.0% 100.0%
Rachel Hoffman 100% 59.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Sarah Schimpf 99.8% 81.5 81.1% 99.3%
Cara Sullivan 99.7% 84.9 77.2% 98.9%
Julia Lecy 99.2% 94.5 40.2% 96.2%
Elizabeth Canright 99.0% 107.6 17.3% 87.4%
Lindsey Nielsen 98.8% 117.1 3.1% 74.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kara Krol 100% 10.7 0.0 1.2 1.4 2.8 3.4 4.3 5.9 7.3 8.1 8.6 9.3 10.0 8.6 7.5 6.8 5.1 3.7 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Rachel Hoffman 100% 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.9 3.0 4.1 5.2 6.4 8.1 8.7 8.6 8.9 8.2 7.1 6.6 5.4 100.0%
Sarah Schimpf 100% 27.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.9 3.3 4.7 5.4 6.2 100.0%
Cara Sullivan 100% 29.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.8 3.4 4.8 5.2 100.0%
Julia Lecy 100% 32.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.4 100.0%
Elizabeth Canright 100% 36.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 100.0%
Lindsey Nielsen 100% 39.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kara Krol 10.3 1.2 1.7 2.5 3.6 4.8 6.1 7.5 9.1 10.6 10.0 10.9 9.6 8.2 5.6 3.9 2.0 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Rachel Hoffman 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.2 2.0 3.3 5.1 7.3 9.2 11.3 11.7 10.2 9.9 8.2 6.3 4.8 4.1 2.2
Sarah Schimpf 23.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.7 2.7 3.7 5.2 6.5 8.7 9.7 11.2 12.2
Cara Sullivan 24.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.6 3.9 5.6 7.1 8.7 9.6 12.1
Julia Lecy 26.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.4 2.1 3.1 4.7 5.9 8.3
Elizabeth Canright 29.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 3.1
Lindsey Nielsen 31.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.2