IN CC Stats

Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank	#15
New Prairie Semi-State Rank	#4
New Prairie Regional Rank	#2
Chesterton Sectional Rank	#2
Most Likely Finish	12th place at State Finals

State Champion	0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals	3.6%
Top 10 at State Finals	26.9%
Advance to State Finals	99.8%
Advance to Semi-State	100.0%
Advance to Regional	100.0%

Rank	Name	Grade	Rating
12	Logan Ferngren	10	18:36
95	Julia Arnold	9	19:39
116	Elena Kipp	10	19:50
146	Alena Tonne	12	19:57
235	Samantha Cavanaugh	12	20:25
256	Natalie Gruszka	12	20:32
276	Emma Fitzgerald	9	20:36
278	Esther Allen	10	20:38
306	Bridget McGrath	10	20:44
403	Ellie Joll	12	21:05
529	Shelby Kucharyski	12	21:24
534	Tarin Snider	9	21:25
587	Isabella Iussig	10	21:35
604	Elizabeth Brown	12	21:38
	Sydnye Nosbusch	12	22:21

Date	Race	Rating
08/29	Rudy Skorupa Invitational	282
09/05	Lyons Township Invitational
09/12	Wildcat Classic (JV)	564
09/19	New Prairie Invitational	269
10/03	Duneland Athletic Conference	279
10/10	Chesterton Sectional	271
10/17	New Prairie Regional	289
10/24	New Prairie Semi-State	255
10/31	State Finals	272

IHSAA Tournament Simulation

Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.

Team Results

	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Avg Score	Finishing Place
	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Avg Score	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
State Finals	99.8%	13.2	336		0.2	0.5	1.2	1.8	2.5	3.6	4.8	5.8	6.7	7.6	8.7	8.5	8.7	8.4	8.2	7.1	5.9	4.0	2.8	1.8	0.9	0.4	0.1
Semi-State	100%	3.6	130	3.9	13.0	26.6	32.1	21.9	2.4	0.2	0.0	0.0
Regionals	100%	1.9	48	12.7	84.2	3.1	0.0
Sectionals	100%	1.9	46	13.6	83.1	3.4	0.0

Individual Results

Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.

State Meet	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
State Meet	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																									Indv No Team	Indv
Logan Ferngren	100%	14.4	0.1	0.8	1.6	2.6	3.0	3.7	4.1	4.6	4.6	4.9	4.6	4.4	5.0	4.6	4.3	4.2	4.4	4.0	3.8	3.3	2.9	2.8	2.8	2.1	2.1	100.0%	100.0%
Julia Arnold	99.8%	89.8																						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	52.8%
Elena Kipp	99.8%	108.0																								0.0		0.0%	27.7%
Alena Tonne	99.8%	118.8																										0.0%	15.1%
Samantha Cavanaugh	99.8%	156.2																										0.0%	0.4%
Natalie Gruszka	99.8%	165.6																										0.0%	0.1%
Emma Fitzgerald	99.8%	171.3																										0.0%	0.0%

Semi-State	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
Semi-State	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																									Indv No Team	Indv
Logan Ferngren	100%	2.3	8.9	34.1	24.0	15.0	8.4	4.8	2.3	1.3	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0						100.0%
Julia Arnold	100%	23.7				0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.1	1.7	1.8	2.2	2.1	2.6	2.6	2.9	3.1	3.2	3.2	3.9	4.0	4.0	3.8	3.9	3.7	3.9		100.0%
Elena Kipp	100%	31.1					0.0	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.6	1.1	1.0	1.2	1.4	1.2	1.7	1.9	2.0	2.3	2.6	2.7	3.1	3.4		100.0%
Alena Tonne	100%	35.8						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.9	1.1	0.9	1.2	1.5	1.6	1.8	2.0		100.0%
Samantha Cavanaugh	100%	56.7																	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1	0.0		100.0%
Natalie Gruszka	100%	63.3																								0.0	0.0		100.0%
Emma Fitzgerald	100%	67.1																							0.0		0.0		100.0%

Regionals	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	Indv No Team	Indv
Regionals	Advances to Round	Avg Finish	Finishing Place																									Indv No Team	Indv
Logan Ferngren	100%	1.0	96.9	2.2	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0																					100.0%
Julia Arnold	100%	6.8		6.6	7.3	8.0	9.3	10.0	11.3	10.5	9.3	8.4	6.0	4.8	3.3	2.2	1.2	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0		100.0%
Elena Kipp	100%	9.7		1.4	2.6	3.3	3.9	5.4	7.0	8.8	10.2	10.6	10.0	9.0	8.1	6.5	4.8	3.6	2.0	1.6	0.7	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		100.0%
Alena Tonne	100%	11.8		0.3	0.9	1.3	2.3	2.8	4.0	5.3	7.1	8.6	9.4	10.2	10.1	9.7	8.0	6.4	5.4	3.3	2.0	1.4	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1		100.0%
Samantha Cavanaugh	100%	19.3			0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.9	1.5	2.0	3.3	4.9	6.4	7.9	9.2	10.0	9.8	8.9	7.5	6.3	4.6	4.2		100.0%
Natalie Gruszka	100%	21.4					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.7	2.3	3.8	4.8	5.5	7.7	8.9	9.6	8.7	8.3	7.1	6.3		100.0%
Emma Fitzgerald	100%	23.0							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.7	1.4	1.9	3.3	4.6	5.8	6.6	8.0	8.9	8.2	7.9	7.9		100.0%

Sectionals	Avg Finish	Finishing Place
Sectionals	Avg Finish	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25
Logan Ferngren	1.0	97.0	2.1	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.1
Julia Arnold	6.8		6.6	7.4	7.9	9.3	10.3	11.0	11.8	10.5	8.6	6.4	4.5	2.7	1.5	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
Elena Kipp	9.4		1.4	2.5	3.5	4.5	5.9	7.7	9.4	10.5	11.5	11.3	10.2	8.3	5.8	3.8	2.1	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
Alena Tonne	11.2		0.3	0.8	1.5	2.2	3.1	4.2	6.3	7.9	10.0	11.4	12.8	11.7	10.1	7.9	4.5	2.6	1.4	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1		0.0
Samantha Cavanaugh	17.2			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.2	2.2	3.8	6.1	8.1	11.4	13.4	12.3	10.9	7.5	7.1	4.9	3.7	2.6	1.5
Natalie Gruszka	19.0								0.1	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.8	2.7	4.7	6.7	9.5	11.1	11.7	11.3	8.8	7.7	6.7	5.3	4.0
Emma Fitzgerald	20.1						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.9	3.0	5.1	6.6	9.2	11.2	10.8	10.1	8.9	8.5	6.8	5.2