Adams
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #54
New Haven Semi-State Rank #14
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #4
Riley Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 12th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 98.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating NIC Stomp South Bend City Meet Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 9/1 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 630 960 854 885 840 715 611 636 668 580
Team Adjusted Rating 781 854 738 665 715 611 636 668 580
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NIC Stomp South Bend City Meet Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
195  Lane McDonald 11 20:16 21:18 20:14 20:06 20:12 20:29 20:21
385  Olivia Wheeler 10 20:56 21:10 21:30 21:02 20:54 20:54 20:57 20:47 20:59 20:46
508  Niki Hakimzadeh 11 21:23 27:02 22:59 22:48 22:10 22:24 21:45 21:51 21:46 21:04
580  Adiyah Williams 10 21:37 21:44 22:17 22:12 21:44 22:02 21:29 21:36 21:33 21:18
719  Maddie Mishack 9 21:58 22:22 22:19 22:16 21:42 22:02 21:34 21:50 22:08 21:57
1,088  Ana Marie Broden 12 22:48 23:13 22:36 22:14 23:16 23:05 22:28 23:18 22:40 22:36
1,202  Kate O'Brien 10 23:04 23:21 23:05 23:28 23:22 23:09 23:01 23:37 23:13 22:43
Jazmin Hernandez 12 24:04 24:22 23:54 23:54 24:14
Sydney Evans 10 24:27 23:49 24:47 24:39 24:25
Eamin Lynch 9 24:30 25:49 25:01 24:15 24:21 24:14
Ellie Mustillo 9 24:52 24:47 25:25 25:17 23:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 98.5% 13.1 346 0.0 1.0 4.0 13.6 20.1 19.5 17.1 13.4 6.7 2.4 0.7
Regionals 100% 4.0 127 7.0 84.1 7.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.0 66 97.3 2.3 0.3 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lane McDonald 1.4% 116.7 1.4% 1.4%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lane McDonald 100% 49.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Olivia Wheeler 99.7% 79.6 83.2% 98.5%
Niki Hakimzadeh 98.6% 96.5 10.3% 75.9%
Adiyah Williams 98.5% 106.2 1.3% 47.7%
Maddie Mishack 98.5% 121.5 0.0% 10.6%
Ana Marie Broden 98.5% 154.0 0.0% 0.0%
Kate O'Brien 98.5% 161.6 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lane McDonald 100% 12.2 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.3 3.4 4.5 5.8 6.4 7.4 8.2 8.0 8.1 7.2 7.1 6.3 5.4 4.3 4.1 3.2 2.3 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.3 100.0%
Olivia Wheeler 100% 24.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.7 3.2 4.7 6.0 7.4 9.8 11.5 13.8 100.0%
Niki Hakimzadeh 100% 28.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 2.0 4.0 100.0%
Adiyah Williams 100% 33.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 100.0%
Maddie Mishack 100% 42.3 100.0%
Ana Marie Broden 100% 68.8 100.0%
Kate O'Brien 100% 74.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lane McDonald 6.2 1.1 4.6 7.5 13.1 19.0 22.0 20.0 8.0 4.6 0.2 0.0
Olivia Wheeler 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 4.0 13.9 18.2 46.8 11.0 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Niki Hakimzadeh 12.4 0.1 0.4 1.7 6.4 31.0 23.6 14.7 9.6 5.5 3.0 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Adiyah Williams 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 6.4 15.3 18.6 15.6 12.2 9.7 7.0 5.3 3.4 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.2
Maddie Mishack 19.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.1 5.9 8.4 9.9 9.9 10.8 10.7 9.7 8.2 7.2 5.7 4.3
Ana Marie Broden 30.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.9 3.5
Kate O'Brien 34.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5