Fishers
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #8
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #5
Noblesville Regional Rank #4
Noblesville Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 5th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 24.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 76.3%
Advance to State Finals 91.4%
Advance to Semi-State 91.5%
Advance to Regional 91.7%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Hamilton County Championships THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 224 247 683 234 250 184 572 293 212 245 209 245
Team Adjusted Rating 243 224 217 244 184 224 270 212 222 209 219
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Hamilton County Championships THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
30  Miya Wai 10 18:58 19:22 18:56 19:15 18:26 18:57 19:04 18:55 18:57 18:58
86  Tessa Kraft 10 19:36 20:13 20:21 19:59 19:40 20:19 19:33 19:33 19:28 19:28
90  Abby Carter 9 19:37 20:24 19:32 19:44 19:52 20:35 19:41 19:40 19:41 19:29
120  Tori Kalman 9 19:50 19:51
139  Kamya Lapsley 11 19:56 19:28 19:54 19:30 20:04 19:46 20:30 19:43 20:34
146  Corinne Yorkman 9 19:58 19:31 20:19 19:49 19:34 19:58 19:36 19:55 20:16 20:46
158  Corinne O'Leary 11 20:04 20:02 21:11 20:46 20:07 20:34 20:27 19:53 19:46 20:05
194  Liz Rogers 11 20:16 19:50 20:01 20:24 19:37 20:36 20:24 20:14 20:29
206  Lilia Bodnar 9 20:20 20:20 20:15 20:06 19:56 20:24 20:49
386  Debbie Shera 10 20:57 21:09 20:45 21:08 20:37 21:08 20:54
431  Margaret Saul 10 21:05 21:02 20:55 20:31 20:43 21:31 21:47
542  Kara Natzel 10 21:30 21:04 21:19 21:24 21:54 21:25 21:51
543  Natalie Segura 10 21:30 22:09 24:01 21:37 21:30 21:22 21:14 20:51
561  Elinor Carmona 10 21:33 21:48 20:52 21:39 21:50 21:42 21:49 21:14
608  Emma Julien 9 21:41 21:32 22:09 21:55 22:18 22:00 21:18 21:05
615  Erin Johnson 10 21:43 21:28 22:13 22:16 21:59 21:17 21:30
618  Sawyer Osmun 11 21:43 21:58 21:39 21:35 21:15 21:58 22:09 21:41
634  Abby Celentano 11 21:45 21:22 21:17 21:30 22:02 23:20 21:37 21:47
636  Caroline Riebe 10 21:46 21:43 22:40 22:09 21:48 21:06 21:43
706  Mia Contino 9 21:57 21:33 21:48 22:17 22:14 22:19 21:57 21:42
715  Haley Thomas 11 21:58 22:06 22:02 21:41 21:48 22:25 22:03 21:55
840  Haley Jordan 9 22:20 22:15 21:35 21:55 22:49 23:29 22:06 22:26
941  Ellie Hevesy 9 22:31 21:55 22:41 22:39 22:13 22:38 22:43
1,083  Charis Greiwe 11 22:48 22:42 22:54 22:42 23:16 22:58 22:24
1,102  Arianna Kelley 9 22:50 23:12 23:22 23:06 22:45 22:48 22:01
1,246  Clarissa Ricks 11 23:10 23:33 24:54 22:12 23:56 21:59 23:16
1,267  Shannon Luce 9 23:14 23:02 23:12 23:06 23:42
1,288  Emily Sorg 9 23:16 23:33 23:25 22:50 24:18 22:27
1,312  Emily Pulos 11 23:18 23:10 23:02 24:14 23:12
McKeiyane Connors 11 23:31 23:34 23:17 23:44
Claire Schnefke 10 23:32 24:18 23:36 23:06 23:23 23:40
Neva Carter 10 23:33 23:45 23:39 23:48 23:13
Lily Betner 10 23:36 23:38
Cora Mizimakoski 10 23:47 24:01 23:00 23:26 23:53 23:26 26:13
Olivia Strobel 11 23:49 24:06 24:13 23:39 24:03 23:31 23:45
Arianna Noble 12 23:50 23:25 24:29 24:14 23:25
Kerrigan Rush 9 24:11 24:13 24:55 25:02 24:39 23:38 23:15
Natalia Turben 11 24:39 24:37 25:20 24:47 26:27 23:33 24:23




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 91.4% 7.6 267 0.4 3.0 7.7 13.6 13.5 12.5 10.2 8.7 6.7 5.4 3.8 2.3 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 91.5% 4.1 134 6.3 26.3 24.2 22.3 12.4 0.1
Regionals 91.7% 3.0 86 35.9 26.6 19.4 9.6 0.2
Sectionals 100% 3.4 90 31.5 25.2 22.7 12.3 8.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miya Wai 99.3% 32.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.6 92.2% 97.9%
Tessa Kraft 91.9% 80.9 0.0 0.0 5.4% 32.9%
Abby Carter 91.8% 82.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4% 32.9%
Tori Kalman 91.4% 104.0 0.2% 10.0%
Kamya Lapsley 91.4% 113.0 0.1% 5.0%
Corinne Yorkman 91.4% 115.7 0.0% 3.6%
Corinne O'Leary 91.4% 124.1 0.0% 1.8%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miya Wai 100% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 2.3 2.9 4.0 5.4 6.5 7.1 7.8 8.3 8.4 7.5 7.2 5.9 5.3 4.5 3.1 2.7 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Tessa Kraft 99.4% 31.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.4 3.5 3.8 93.4% 98.8%
Abby Carter 99.4% 31.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.4 3.2 3.4 3.7 3.8 93.1% 98.7%
Tori Kalman 96.9% 42.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.9 63.1% 90.6%
Kamya Lapsley 95.1% 46.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 41.9% 83.2%
Corinne Yorkman 94.4% 48.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 33.9% 80.4%
Corinne O'Leary 93.3% 53.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 20.7% 69.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miya Wai 100% 9.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.1 6.6 9.0 11.4 15.1 16.5 15.7 8.8 4.9 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Tessa Kraft 100% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.5 6.8 7.6 8.0 8.0 7.5 8.0 6.7 6.0 5.3 4.5 4.2 3.5 3.2 100.0% 100.0%
Abby Carter 100% 17.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.0 3.9 6.6 7.6 8.6 8.2 7.4 7.2 6.0 6.0 5.0 4.9 4.4 3.9 3.0 100.0% 100.0%
Tori Kalman 100% 24.3 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.7 2.7 3.3 3.7 4.2 5.0 5.3 5.0 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.1 100.0% 100.0%
Kamya Lapsley 100% 27.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.6 100.0% 100.0%
Corinne Yorkman 100% 28.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.3 4.4 4.5 100.0% 100.0%
Corinne O'Leary 100% 32.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.2 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miya Wai 9.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.7 3.4 6.4 9.2 11.9 14.7 16.9 15.3 9.3 4.9 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Tessa Kraft 16.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.9 5.0 6.7 8.4 9.4 9.3 9.0 8.2 7.9 6.9 5.3 4.9 4.0 3.0 2.3
Abby Carter 17.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.2 6.4 8.3 8.9 9.1 8.4 8.2 7.5 6.8 6.4 4.9 4.4 3.7 2.6
Tori Kalman 22.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.9 3.0 3.9 4.6 5.2 6.2 6.7 6.8 7.5 7.2 6.8 6.6
Kamya Lapsley 24.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.2 2.9 3.4 4.1 4.6 5.4 6.2 6.5 6.8 7.1
Corinne Yorkman 25.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.6 3.2 4.1 5.0 5.0 6.1 7.0 7.4
Corinne O'Leary 27.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.7 2.5 3.2 3.6 4.4 5.2 6.2