Lowell
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #16
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #3
Crown Point Regional Rank #1
Crown Point Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 15th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 8.8%
Advance to State Finals 86.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Dave Walker Invitational Crown Point Invitational Lions Pride Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Hobart Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conference Crown Point Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/22 8/25 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 9/27 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 297 NEI 248 NEI 273 336 460 298 298 310 281 348
Team Adjusted Rating NEI 248 NEI 273 336 358 298 283 310 281 348
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Dave Walker Invitational Crown Point Invitational Lions Pride Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Hobart Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conference Crown Point Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
8  Jordyn Boyer 10 18:27 NEI 18:18 NEI 18:48 18:17 18:36 18:26 18:29 18:47 18:37
75  Annalise James 10 19:32 NEI 19:08 NEI 19:14 19:38 20:05 19:33 19:42 19:47 19:35 19:25
129  Brooke Hayden 9 19:54 NEI 19:43 NEI 19:46 20:24 20:33 20:05 19:49 19:41 19:36 20:27
231  Olivia McCauley 9 20:27 NEI 20:21 20:24 20:29 20:45 20:15 20:43 20:09 21:30
396  Jessie Mescal 11 21:00 NEI 20:39 NEI 21:15 21:22 21:01 20:58 21:11 20:57 21:00 21:02
415  Claire Mitsch 10 21:03 NEI 20:55 NEI 21:02 21:57 21:02 21:06 20:43 21:40 21:23 20:57
423  Alexia Bibakis 9 21:04 NEI 21:01 NEI 20:49 21:16 20:54 21:24 20:42 20:56 21:24 21:17
813  Hayley Jenkins 10 22:15 NEI 22:47 NEI 21:41 21:32 22:46 NEI 21:32
Morgan Blank 9 23:47 NEI 23:56 23:31 23:25 25:14 NEI
Emily Smith 10 23:57 24:07 25:06 23:23 24:13 NEI




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 86.9% 14.8 379 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.4 3.8 5.4 7.0 8.8 10.1 10.9 9.3 8.3 6.5 5.0 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
Semi-State 100% 4.3 153 5.6 12.0 20.9 20.5 16.0 12.0 7.5 3.8 1.6 0.2
Regionals 100% 1.6 63 57.7 27.4 10.8 4.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.2 34 84.5 15.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jordyn Boyer 100% 10.0 0.6 2.5 4.3 5.6 5.9 6.1 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.1 5.5 5.3 4.7 4.4 3.8 3.2 2.9 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Annalise James 90.0% 74.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.8% 66.2%
Brooke Hayden 87.0% 108.4 1.1% 19.3%
Olivia McCauley 86.9% 152.2 0.0% 0.2%
Jessie Mescal 86.9% 183.3 0.0% 0.0%
Claire Mitsch 86.9% 185.5 0.0% 0.0%
Alexia Bibakis 86.9% 186.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jordyn Boyer 100% 1.6 33.5 28.0 17.6 9.3 5.4 2.9 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Annalise James 100% 16.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 2.2 3.0 4.2 6.0 6.3 7.0 7.7 7.0 7.1 6.2 5.7 5.4 4.5 4.3 3.3 3.3 2.7 100.0%
Brooke Hayden 100% 26.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.5 4.2 4.1 4.6 4.6 4.9 100.0%
Olivia McCauley 100% 55.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Jessie Mescal 100% 94.8 99.9%
Claire Mitsch 100% 98.8 99.9%
Alexia Bibakis 100% 100.0 99.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jordyn Boyer 100% 1.1 43.6 46.5 7.8 1.7 0.5 100.0%
Annalise James 100% 5.9 0.0 1.9 5.6 14.0 30.7 18.8 11.4 7.3 4.8 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Brooke Hayden 100% 9.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.7 10.9 12.6 12.4 12.6 12.0 11.5 8.5 5.2 3.6 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Olivia McCauley 100% 17.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.7 3.1 4.7 6.7 8.0 8.0 9.0 9.0 8.8 8.3 7.6 6.6 5.4 3.9 2.7 100.0%
Jessie Mescal 100% 27.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.7 3.4 4.6 6.2 7.2 100.0%
Claire Mitsch 100% 28.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.4 3.4 4.9 5.8 100.0%
Alexia Bibakis 100% 28.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.2 4.4 5.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jordyn Boyer 1.0 91.4 7.4 1.2 0.0
Annalise James 3.5 4.4 16.2 58.8 15.1 3.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Brooke Hayden 5.1 0.1 1.0 7.5 37.8 27.7 14.3 6.5 2.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
Olivia McCauley 9.4 0.4 3.1 9.1 15.8 15.3 15.8 17.7 12.8 6.4 2.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jessie Mescal 14.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.3 7.4 12.0 16.9 16.5 14.0 10.9 7.7 5.1 2.6 0.8
Claire Mitsch 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.5 9.6 14.2 16.0 16.2 12.7 9.9 7.5 4.2 1.2 0.0
Alexia Bibakis 15.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.9 4.2 8.6 12.5 15.6 16.2 14.3 10.7 8.3 4.9 1.4 0.0