Pendleton Heights
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #22
New Haven Semi-State Rank #5
Delta Regional Rank #1
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 20th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 1.9%
Advance to State Finals 84.3%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Marion Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Yorktown Invitational Madison County Hoosier Heritage Conference Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/24 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/17 9/20 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 336 847 350 308 346 307 1,164 381 439 426 377 334 357
Team Adjusted Rating 328 350 308 346 307 336 381 439 426 377 334 357
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Marion Invitational Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Yorktown Invitational Madison County Hoosier Heritage Conference Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
23  Faith Baer 12 18:51 20:01 19:11 19:33 19:42 19:52 19:49 19:55 19:34 19:38 18:43
116  Alli McCarty 12 19:49 19:44 19:28 20:00 19:46 20:05 20:31 20:18 20:15 19:41 19:41
168  Emma Hall 12 20:07 20:02 20:09 19:53 19:46 20:14 20:12 20:23 20:05 20:00 20:19
211  Christina Magers 11 20:21 20:11 20:13 20:29 20:11 20:21 21:08 20:35 20:19 20:25 20:12
457  Syd Parker 11 21:11 20:59 20:54 21:17 20:38 21:22 21:06 21:30 21:16 20:52 22:02
585  Grace Baer 11 21:38 21:04 21:45 21:48 20:56 21:09 21:08 21:38 21:25 22:55 21:58 22:26
625  Erin Manchess 12 21:44 21:46 21:33 22:36 22:23 21:59 21:35 21:47 21:35 21:34 21:30 21:41
736  Riley Hays 10 22:02 22:02 21:59 21:51 22:21 22:11 21:56
875  Megan Porter 9 22:23 22:10 22:39
1,113  Kama Clevenger 12 22:51 22:54 22:38 23:13 24:09 22:54 22:34 22:33
1,275  Sarah Dudley 11 23:15 23:20 23:17 23:18 23:35 23:07 23:33 22:51
1,341  Elizabeth Welpott 10 23:21 23:37 22:33 23:15 25:11 23:17 23:52 22:42
Kylah Stout 9 23:46 23:28 23:23 23:35 24:13 23:55 24:48 23:20
Savannah Wilson 12 24:28 24:45 23:32 23:57 24:19 24:16 25:01 25:30




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 84.3% 18.0 427 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 2.3 3.0 4.4 5.8 7.1 8.8 9.1 9.6 9.9 8.8 7.3 3.9 1.2
Semi-State 100% 5.1 181 0.0 4.6 34.1 28.6 17.0 9.6 5.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 24 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 18 100.0 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Faith Baer 100.0% 25.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.1 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 99.7% 100.0%
Alli McCarty 84.6% 100.3 1.9% 25.6%
Emma Hall 84.3% 126.6 0.0% 4.0%
Christina Magers 84.3% 144.2 0.0% 0.5%
Syd Parker 84.3% 189.6 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Baer 84.3% 198.7 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Manchess 84.3% 200.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Faith Baer 100% 7.9 0.0 0.8 2.8 4.7 6.7 9.5 12.9 14.6 13.2 10.6 8.7 5.6 3.9 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Alli McCarty 100% 31.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.3 2.8 2.5 2.9 2.9 3.2 3.5 100.0%
Emma Hall 100% 43.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 100.0%
Christina Magers 100% 52.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Syd Parker 100% 89.7 100.0%
Grace Baer 100% 107.0 100.0%
Erin Manchess 100% 111.6 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Faith Baer 100% 1.0 99.9 0.1 100.0%
Alli McCarty 100% 1.9 56.9 33.5 7.8 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Emma Hall 100% 3.4 6.8 26.8 40.6 17.0 5.8 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Christina Magers 100% 4.7 0.7 4.8 17.1 39.3 19.5 10.3 4.5 2.4 1.3 0.1 100.0%
Syd Parker 100% 10.4 0.0 0.8 2.2 5.9 9.5 15.7 36.0 15.7 7.3 3.5 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Grace Baer 100% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.9 13.7 15.4 14.7 13.8 11.2 8.5 6.7 4.0 2.5 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Erin Manchess 100% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.7 7.5 11.1 12.4 13.1 12.6 11.3 10.0 6.8 4.5 3.1 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Faith Baer 1.0 100.0 0.0
Alli McCarty 1.6 0.0 86.1 12.5 1.2 0.1
Emma Hall 2.6 12.0 66.5 18.1 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0
Christina Magers 3.5 1.2 16.2 63.6 12.0 4.6 2.4 0.0 0.0
Syd Parker 7.4 0.0 6.3 10.5 16.0 44.6 16.3 4.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Grace Baer 9.9 0.1 0.5 1.3 4.7 22.0 25.2 20.7 13.5 6.3 3.0 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Erin Manchess 10.6 0.1 0.5 2.5 11.6 20.0 24.1 19.0 10.6 5.8 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0