Western
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #68
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #20
Culver Academies Regional Rank #4
Logansport Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 94.2%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Logansport Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 719 912 764 786 707 711 748 686 727 746
Team Adjusted Rating 831 764 786 707 711 748 686 727 746
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Logansport Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
343  Natalie Nicholson 10 20:46 21:37 20:45 20:25 20:42 20:37 20:22 20:53 20:41 21:19
579  Emma Marley 10 21:37 21:13 21:53 21:30 21:29 21:45 21:40 22:02 21:26
582  Olivia Lushin 9 21:38 22:23 22:00 22:33 22:05 21:34 21:43 21:06 21:09 21:56
593  Hannah Lushin 9 21:39 22:58 23:37 23:06 22:40 22:13 22:05 21:46 21:56 21:19
769  Megan Hampshire 10 22:08 22:05 22:05 21:38 21:24 21:45 22:22 22:14 22:29 22:42
778  Allison McMinn 12 22:10 21:55 22:28 22:23 21:52 22:27 22:17 21:50 22:07 22:12
1,027  Logan Buck 11 22:40 23:10 23:58 22:58 22:58 22:23 22:29 22:12 22:32 22:43
1,160  Bronwyn Getts 11 22:58 23:33 23:02 22:59 22:36 22:48 23:14
Erica Babb 10 23:42 24:16 23:31 23:49 23:38 23:36
Jennah Worthington 10 23:49 24:35 24:08 23:53 23:41 23:20
Jama Claxton 12 24:09 24:16 23:30 24:00 24:31 24:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 94.2% 18.2 453 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.7 7.3 15.1 22.7 26.4 18.3
Regionals 100% 3.5 123 21.9 29.8 30.6 11.9 4.6 1.1 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.7 66 42.0 43.7 13.8 0.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Natalie Nicholson 99.9% 78.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.9% 98.5%
Emma Marley 94.3% 131.6 2.1% 24.3%
Olivia Lushin 94.3% 131.9 1.6% 23.2%
Hannah Lushin 94.3% 133.0 1.7% 21.2%
Megan Hampshire 94.2% 147.8 0.0% 0.9%
Allison McMinn 94.2% 148.6 0.0% 0.8%
Logan Buck 94.2% 159.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Natalie Nicholson 100% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.8 2.6 3.6 5.2 6.2 7.2 7.9 8.8 9.1 8.2 7.9 7.7 6.8 5.5 4.2 2.8 1.8 1.0 100.0%
Emma Marley 100% 28.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.8 4.4 6.8 100.0%
Olivia Lushin 100% 28.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.8 4.1 5.8 100.0%
Hannah Lushin 100% 29.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.1 3.8 5.6 100.0%
Megan Hampshire 100% 38.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Allison McMinn 100% 38.9 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Logan Buck 100% 49.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Natalie Nicholson 5.2 0.0 7.5 15.2 23.5 21.6 15.3 9.6 4.9 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Emma Marley 12.7 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.7 7.8 11.6 12.8 13.7 11.7 9.5 8.1 6.1 4.4 3.2 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Olivia Lushin 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.9 4.3 7.3 11.0 13.0 12.6 11.7 10.7 8.1 6.1 4.7 3.1 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1
Hannah Lushin 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 3.4 6.2 9.8 12.4 12.4 12.8 10.8 8.7 7.1 5.0 3.8 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0
Megan Hampshire 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.2 2.9 4.8 6.6 8.6 9.7 11.3 12.1 12.0 10.5 8.9 5.9
Allison McMinn 20.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.7 5.7 7.3 8.9 10.9 12.7 13.2 12.3 9.9 6.4
Logan Buck 25.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.5 4.7 8.6 15.1