Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #44
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #11
New Prairie Regional Rank #4
Chesterton Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.1%
Advance to Semi-State 98.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational MacNider Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 505 479 481 463 546 NEI 529 502 447 544
Team Adjusted Rating 479 479 463 546 NEI 529 502 447 544
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational MacNider Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State
177  Shelby Bullock 10 20:10 19:58 19:58 20:10 20:18 NEI 21:11 20:16 20:02 20:11
199  Kara Krol 10 20:18 20:47 20:12 20:15 21:01 NEI 20:05 20:14 19:52 20:39
212  Cara Sullivan 12 20:21 20:52 20:31 20:14 20:22 NEI 20:15 20:25 20:19 20:36
540  Lindsey Nielsen 12 21:30 21:17 22:07 21:10 21:38 NEI 21:21 21:33 21:20 21:25
581  Meghan Hull 9 21:38 22:05 21:36 NEI 21:30 21:30 21:15 21:56
637  Rachel Hoffman 11 21:46 20:58 21:12 21:34 21:29 NEI 21:46 22:34
657  Sarah Schimpf 10 21:50 21:01 21:52 21:25 NEI 22:18 22:04
710  Rebecca White 10 21:57 21:48 21:40 21:47 21:36 NEI 22:22 22:50 21:58
964  Kylie Mercier 11 22:32 23:17 23:39 22:28 22:42 NEI 22:17 22:11 22:12
1,079  Elizabeth Canright 11 22:47 22:16 22:38 22:58 23:06 NEI 22:33
1,144  Madeline Moss 10 22:56 21:52 22:35 23:01 22:54 NEI 23:30
1,201  Tara Kenney 12 23:04 23:10 23:33 22:56 23:22 NEI 22:55
1,224  Makayla Barbour 10 23:06 24:24 22:59 23:41 NEI 22:57
1,364  Peyton Westphal 9 23:23 23:28 24:06 23:09 23:54 NEI 23:11
1,382  Libby Boster 9 23:25 23:38 24:32 23:34 24:01 NEI 22:53
1,410  Julia Lecy 11 23:30 22:33 22:56 24:06 23:54
Madison Estill 11 23:31 23:13 23:29 23:51
Gabby Rhed 11 24:15 23:12 25:12 24:18 24:28 24:07




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.1% 21.6 485 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 98.7% 11.0 297 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 5.5 18.4 51.1 13.3 5.1 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 4.0 112 0.1 4.4 87.1 7.0 1.3 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.9 90 0.2 6.0 93.6 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Bullock 3.3% 113.0 3.1% 3.2%
Kara Krol 1.0% 122.0 0.9% 0.9%
Cara Sullivan 0.6% 118.5 0.5% 0.5%
Lindsey Nielsen 0.1% 181.5 0.0% 0.0%
Meghan Hull 0.1% 190.7 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Hoffman 0.1% 194.0 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Schimpf 0.1% 192.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Bullock 100% 37.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.7 1.9 100.0% 100.0%
Kara Krol 100% 44.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Cara Sullivan 100% 48.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 100.0% 100.0%
Lindsey Nielsen 98.7% 125.9 0.8% 33.0%
Meghan Hull 98.7% 132.3 0.0% 18.8%
Rachel Hoffman 98.7% 138.2 0.0% 8.6%
Sarah Schimpf 98.7% 140.3 0.0% 5.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Bullock 100% 10.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.6 6.1 9.6 11.8 12.0 10.4 9.6 7.8 6.3 4.9 4.5 3.5 2.4 2.0 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Kara Krol 100% 12.9 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.5 4.2 6.2 8.0 9.5 9.9 9.3 8.5 7.8 6.3 5.8 4.4 3.7 3.1 3.1 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.8 100.0%
Cara Sullivan 100% 13.9 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.0 4.8 6.4 8.0 8.7 9.1 8.3 7.8 7.4 6.1 5.4 5.0 4.3 3.9 2.6 2.1 1.6 1.3 100.0%
Lindsey Nielsen 100% 38.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 100.0%
Meghan Hull 100% 42.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Rachel Hoffman 100% 45.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sarah Schimpf 100% 46.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Bullock 8.2 0.0 1.8 6.6 11.4 13.5 14.4 13.1 9.2 7.7 5.8 4.7 3.4 2.8 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Kara Krol 10.0 0.4 2.1 5.2 8.4 10.9 11.4 11.2 9.3 8.3 7.1 6.1 5.2 4.2 3.3 2.5 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1
Cara Sullivan 11.0 0.2 1.6 3.6 6.4 8.6 10.0 10.4 9.6 8.5 8.0 7.1 6.4 4.9 4.3 3.7 2.6 1.8 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0
Lindsey Nielsen 28.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.3 3.4 5.1
Meghan Hull 29.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.7
Rachel Hoffman 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8
Sarah Schimpf 31.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6