Columbus East
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #120
Brown County Semi-State Rank #23
Brown County Regional Rank #4
Brown County Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 89.5%
Advance to Regional 99.6%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Rushville Invitational Columbus North Invite Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Brown County Sectional Hoosier Hills Conference Brown County Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/8 10/15 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,039 902 1,014 939 1,149 968 1,076 1,036 1,140
Team Adjusted Rating 902 1,014 939 1,149 968 1,076 1,036 1,115
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Rushville Invitational Columbus North Invite Ben Davis Invitational Flashrock Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Brown County Sectional Hoosier Hills Conference Brown County Regional Brown County Semi-State
724  Emma Mensendiek 12 21:59 21:40 21:41 21:25 22:25 21:26 22:04 22:07 22:04 22:40
752  Kristen Lyons 11 22:05 21:54 22:22 21:22 22:06 21:37 22:22 22:02 22:09 22:24
1,042  Ashley Novreske 9 22:42 22:08 22:36 22:25 23:10 22:47 22:32 22:37 23:42
1,204  Amanda Pottorff 10 23:04 22:31 22:47 22:53 23:31 23:07 23:06 23:05 23:18
1,290  Hannah Harris 9 23:16 22:36 23:14 23:22 23:43 22:58 23:39 23:13
Lindsey Morgan 12 24:06 25:05 24:35 24:23 24:13 24:23 23:35
Lizzy Frazier 11 24:10 23:19 24:19 23:45 24:22 24:16 24:32 24:20 24:04
Megan Whipple 10 25:10 24:35 25:43 25:41 24:55
Madisen Ping 10 25:27 25:30 24:53 25:32 26:30 25:41 25:34 24:57
Marisela Miranda 9 25:55 26:41 26:15 26:53 25:19 26:05 24:21




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 89.5% 18.6 464 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.9 7.5 24.9 30.7 21.6
Regionals 99.6% 4.0 143 39.7 31.8 18.0 7.7 2.0 0.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.5 119 64.4 25.7 9.5 0.4 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma Mensendiek 98.7% 104.2 88.0% 97.1%
Kristen Lyons 97.6% 108.2 77.5% 94.0%
Ashley Novreske 89.7% 133.6 1.3% 28.2%
Amanda Pottorff 89.5% 145.5 0.0% 3.8%
Hannah Harris 89.5% 151.6 0.0% 0.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma Mensendiek 100% 21.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.5 5.2 7.8 13.0 17.7 16.9 11.5 7.8 5.0 100.0% 100.0%
Kristen Lyons 100% 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.9 5.0 8.8 13.5 17.2 14.6 9.8 7.6 100.0% 100.0%
Ashley Novreske 100% 32.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.6 2.4 3.3 100.0% 100.0%
Amanda Pottorff 99.8% 42.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 57.5% 97.3%
Hannah Harris 99.8% 46.8 0.0 0.0 42.5% 89.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma Mensendiek 14.9 0.2 3.1 12.9 36.0 22.8 10.1 6.0 3.8 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
Kristen Lyons 15.6 0.1 1.5 7.3 23.0 30.4 14.0 9.0 6.1 3.4 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.3
Ashley Novreske 22.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 4.4 5.3 6.4 7.1 8.4 9.3 9.3 9.3 8.2
Amanda Pottorff 29.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.9 3.0 3.7 4.9
Hannah Harris 33.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.5