Concord
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #43
New Haven Semi-State Rank #11
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #3
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.7%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Marion Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 503 545 532 478 604 520 470 569 555
Team Adjusted Rating 545 532 478 604 520 470 569 555
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Marion Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
157  Summer Cooper 9 20:02 21:11 20:50 20:16 21:33 20:30 20:02 20:31 19:44
256  Ally Smith 12 20:32 19:41 20:03 19:43 20:24 21:01 20:41 20:44 21:24
366  Jana Fisher 11 20:52 21:07 21:32 20:58 20:18 20:50 20:49 21:00 20:40
374  Alexa Porter 10 20:53 20:26 20:36 20:56 21:28 20:48 20:42 21:07 21:03
602  Sydney Simon 9 21:40 22:15 21:29 21:32 22:02 21:19 21:14 21:54 21:57
677  Lauren Craig 11 21:53 22:09 21:42
955  Regan Landis 10 22:32 22:43 22:21 22:15 22:51 22:20 22:13 22:46 22:54
1,228  Mckenna Lee 10 23:06 23:14 23:20 23:08 24:03 22:56 22:47 22:46 23:17
Paola Martinez 9 23:38 23:51 23:50 23:14 23:13 24:16
Elyse Miranda 9 23:47 23:53 23:24 24:30 23:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.7% 22.1 515 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Semi-State 100% 9.9 281 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 4.7 29.8 42.3 14.0 4.6 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.1 96 1.2 91.8 7.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.0 60 1.4 98.5 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Summer Cooper 7.5% 101.0 6.8% 7.2%
Ally Smith 0.7% 126.3 0.0% 0.0%
Jana Fisher 0.7% 154.3 0.0% 0.0%
Alexa Porter 0.7% 157.2 0.0% 0.0%
Sydney Simon 0.7% 190.3 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Craig 0.7% 196.8 0.0% 0.0%
Regan Landis 0.7% 203.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Summer Cooper 100% 40.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.4 100.0%
Ally Smith 100% 61.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jana Fisher 100% 76.3 99.3%
Alexa Porter 100% 77.1 99.0%
Sydney Simon 100% 108.7 39.0%
Lauren Craig 100% 118.0 15.7%
Regan Landis 100% 144.5 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Summer Cooper 100% 8.1 1.4 3.9 6.3 8.2 9.5 9.9 10.1 9.9 8.3 7.4 6.4 4.9 4.1 2.7 2.1 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ally Smith 100% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.3 3.2 3.9 4.9 5.7 6.6 7.3 8.3 9.1 8.9 8.4 7.7 7.0 5.8 3.6 1.9 100.0%
Jana Fisher 100% 23.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.6 3.3 4.6 6.0 7.5 9.4 11.7 13.6 13.7 100.0%
Alexa Porter 100% 23.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.9 2.4 3.1 4.1 5.1 7.4 9.0 11.1 13.5 13.8 100.0%
Sydney Simon 100% 34.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 99.8%
Lauren Craig 100% 39.9 0.0 0.0 98.3%
Regan Landis 100% 60.7 50.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Summer Cooper 3.6 4.3 15.2 19.7 18.7 15.3 10.4 6.7 4.3 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Ally Smith 9.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.1 5.8 9.1 10.5 12.0 12.3 13.3 13.8 9.8 4.5 1.5 0.2 0.1
Jana Fisher 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.9 2.6 4.8 7.3 11.0 17.2 23.8 21.7 5.6 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Alexa Porter 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.4 4.2 6.7 10.0 15.9 23.1 24.9 7.0 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0
Sydney Simon 19.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 8.0 12.0 13.4 14.0 12.6 10.7 8.5 5.9 4.4 3.2
Lauren Craig 22.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.6 5.4 8.2 9.4 10.4 11.1 10.5 9.0 7.2
Regan Landis 34.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.7