Elkhart Christian Academy
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #128
New Haven Semi-State Rank #37
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #12
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #12
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 1.9%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Ox Bow Meet Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 9/1 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,064 981 1,106 1,106 1,045 1,015
Team Adjusted Rating 981 1,106 1,106 1,045 1,015
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Ox Bow Meet Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
349  Maddie Morehead 12 20:47 20:54 20:47 20:48 20:26 20:49 20:48 21:02
665  Bridget Deardorff 10 21:51 21:27 21:33 21:55 21:56 21:55 22:05
1,256  Lily Reynolds 11 23:12 23:02 23:47 23:13 23:12 22:59
1,361  Inna Fox 11 23:23 23:01 23:46 23:45 23:35 22:52
Keely Cox 9 24:38 25:10 24:59 25:11 24:04 24:12
Bryden Deardorff 11 24:44 23:46 24:44 25:04 24:29 25:09
Ari Barben 11 26:45 25:05 26:04 27:09 27:45 26:57




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 1.9% 9.8 228 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5
Sectionals 100% 7.2 190 1.9 30.9 32.0 20.9 10.9 3.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Morehead 99.9% 72.7 99.9% 99.9%
Bridget Deardorff 20.2% 109.7 20.2% 20.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Morehead 100% 21.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.9 2.4 3.1 3.9 4.7 5.8 7.2 9.2 9.7 10.9 10.7 10.3 100.0% 100.0%
Bridget Deardorff 99.6% 39.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.6% 99.6%
Lily Reynolds 3.5% 70.8 1.7% 1.9%
Inna Fox 2.2% 74.8 0.3% 0.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Maddie Morehead 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.5 2.2 3.9 5.3 7.2 9.8 12.8 16.1 15.8 18.3 4.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bridget Deardorff 21.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.6 4.9 6.9 8.8 9.9 10.3 9.9 9.8 8.4 7.2
Lily Reynolds 44.8
Inna Fox 47.3