Lapel
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #194
New Haven Semi-State Rank #52
Delta Regional Rank #8
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 99.9%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Landes Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Madison County Delta Eagle Invitational Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/24 9/1 9/3 9/10 9/20 9/24 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,355 1,350 1,378 1,383 1,353 1,307 1,325 1,354 1,331
Team Adjusted Rating 1,350 1,378 1,383 1,353 1,307 1,325 1,354 1,331
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup Landes Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Madison County Delta Eagle Invitational Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
801  Noelle Loller 10 22:13 22:50 22:47 22:35 22:13 21:38 22:00 21:58 22:21 21:58 22:31
978  Lauren Smith 10 22:34 23:19 22:47 22:58 22:38 22:28 22:20 22:19 22:22 22:45
Keara Shelton 11 24:12 24:02 23:30 23:45 25:01 24:19 23:44 24:11 25:10 24:10
Kara Lutz 10 24:26 24:53 24:19 24:03 24:26 25:27 24:15 24:55 24:02 24:17
Baylee Everitt 11 26:29 26:54 26:38 27:11 26:32 26:42 27:24 26:06 26:02 26:06
Paige Rich 10 27:13 26:43 26:06 26:51 27:14 28:35 27:18 27:31
Sophia Cline 11 27:14 26:53 26:55 27:25 27:02 27:07 26:50 27:35 27:19 27:54
Sydney Rusche 10 27:51 26:17 26:50 26:50 28:41 27:42 29:13 28:22
Tonya Riffey 11 29:23 26:50 27:25 29:33 28:40 30:30 32:08




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 99.9% 7.7 201 10.7 23.8 53.8 10.2 1.3
Sectionals 100% 4.1 145 86.7 13.2 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Noelle Loller 99.0% 131.6 99.0% 99.0%
Lauren Smith 80.6% 144.5 80.6% 80.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Noelle Loller 100% 21.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.4 4.0 5.8 8.7 10.2 9.9 10.2 9.0 7.6 6.5 100.0% 100.0%
Lauren Smith 100% 28.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.9 2.8 3.5 4.6 5.5 6.6 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Noelle Loller 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.3 6.6 12.3 14.5 14.0 12.9 10.0 8.3 5.5 4.3 2.6 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.3
Lauren Smith 19.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.8 4.8 6.5 8.2 10.0 11.1 10.8 11.0 9.0 6.8 5.8 4.8