Northfield
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #143
New Haven Semi-State Rank #43
Marion Regional Rank #9
Marion Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 57.9%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Warsaw Classic Northfield Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Three Rivers Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/23 8/27 9/10 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,140 1,093 1,038 1,046 1,215 1,099 1,158 1,132
Team Adjusted Rating 1,093 1,038 1,046 1,207 1,099 1,158 1,132
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Warsaw Classic Northfield Invitational Tippecanoe Valley Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Three Rivers Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
414  Alyssa McKillip 9 21:03 21:52 20:35 20:57 21:04 20:48 21:14 21:00 21:10
1,060  Natasha Leland 11 22:44 22:12 22:20 22:36 23:16 22:46 23:05 22:34
1,367  Attie Schuler 11 23:23 23:32 23:36 23:08 23:37 23:30 23:18 23:18
Liz Moore 10 23:31 23:07 23:34 23:38 23:51 23:25 23:29 23:31
Catherine Tracy 12 24:10 23:17 23:07 22:54 24:30 25:18 24:31
Michelle Hunt 11 24:22 24:25 23:29 24:15 24:25 24:49
Bailey Burcroff 10 24:31 25:01 24:21 25:18 24:40 23:36 24:04 25:17
Abbey Ross 10 24:32 24:03 23:57 24:20 25:32 24:03 24:43 24:53




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 57.9% 8.9 207 0.0 0.7 6.4 48.8 1.9
Sectionals 100% 5.2 137 3.6 15.9 38.3 42.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa McKillip 100.0% 84.1 100.0% 100.0%
Natasha Leland 0.8% 139.7 0.8% 0.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa McKillip 100% 14.2 0.3 0.8 1.8 4.1 6.8 9.5 11.4 12.6 13.4 11.7 10.1 7.2 4.9 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Natasha Leland 100% 47.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Attie Schuler 95.6% 64.6 89.5% 91.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa McKillip 7.0 0.0 5.1 10.3 15.0 19.2 18.4 15.1 10.5 4.1 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Natasha Leland 24.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.2 3.5 4.8 6.4 8.9 10.1 12.0
Attie Schuler 31.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5