Penn
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #9
New Haven Semi-State Rank #3
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Riley Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 9.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 57.5%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Manchester Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 9/3 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 237 243 200 975 304 217 191 357 555 332 273 257
Team Adjusted Rating 243 200 237 258 217 191 302 233 273 273 257
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Manchester Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
19  Lauren Frank 11 18:44 18:54 19:00 19:17 18:40 18:48 19:38 19:27 18:59 18:36
68  Emma Jankowski 12 19:29 18:40 18:52 19:28 19:09 20:21 19:59 19:31
124  Lorena Daugherty 12 19:52 19:55 19:21 19:53 19:52 19:35 20:05 20:01 20:02
131  Ellie Jankowski 10 19:54 19:41 19:43 19:50 19:31 19:42 19:53 20:08 20:05 20:23
183  Dani Spring 11 20:12 21:24 20:40 20:23 20:11 19:50 20:07 20:08 20:07
313  Elli Mott 12 20:41 21:23 20:36 20:47 20:35 20:43 20:06 20:42 21:08
341  Hannah Selis 12 20:45 20:59 20:22 20:35 20:58 20:33 20:37 20:56 20:47 21:12
379  Stella Dimarzio 10 20:55 20:53 20:52 20:35 20:42 21:09 21:06 21:10 20:49
393  Riley Keppler 9 20:59 21:00 20:47 20:36 21:01 20:37 20:56 21:26 21:29
500  Sybil Kurian 11 21:21 21:37 21:45 21:12 21:06 21:24 21:15 21:25
666  Ashlyn Johnson 9 21:51 22:07 21:29 21:50 22:37 21:44 21:58 21:35
702  Aislynn Alkire 9 21:57 22:08 22:08 21:58 21:49 22:08 21:49 21:52
1,117  Anne Loughran 10 22:51 22:31 21:51 22:16 23:00 23:17 23:36
1,174  Kendra Laidig 11 23:00 22:35 23:16
1,193  Alex Blosser 12 23:02 23:12 23:20 23:30 22:24 22:49 23:08
Gwynyth Gates 9 23:34 24:07 23:23 23:25 23:24 23:26 23:57
Paige Barnes 9 23:41 24:22 23:55 24:09 23:37 23:08 23:30
Adriana Juarez 9 23:43 23:59 23:37 23:54 23:13 23:35 24:13
Payton Holland 11 23:51 24:16 23:46 23:44
Olivia Boverhuis 9 23:54 23:57 23:41 24:01 23:39 24:09 23:59
Emma Halicki 9 24:16 24:55 23:40 23:43 24:03 25:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.9% 10.1 311 0.1 0.8 2.9 5.9 7.9 9.5 9.6 10.7 10.1 9.4 8.4 6.5 5.2 3.9 2.8 2.1 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 3.1 120 0.3 7.5 81.4 8.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 27 92.4 7.7
Sectionals 100% 1.0 17 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Frank 100.0% 20.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.6 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.5 4.0 3.3 3.3 3.9 3.6 3.4 2.9 3.0 2.9 87.5% 100.0%
Emma Jankowski 99.9% 72.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0% 71.0%
Lorena Daugherty 99.9% 109.1 0.0% 19.4%
Ellie Jankowski 99.9% 110.6 0.0% 16.7%
Dani Spring 99.9% 135.7 0.0% 2.2%
Elli Mott 99.9% 169.1 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Selis 99.9% 173.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Frank 100% 6.6 0.1 2.2 5.8 8.6 11.2 13.2 15.0 13.3 10.5 7.8 5.0 3.4 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Emma Jankowski 100% 18.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.7 4.0 4.8 6.0 6.3 6.7 6.6 6.1 5.5 5.5 4.7 4.1 4.4 3.8 3.4 100.0%
Lorena Daugherty 100% 33.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.6 2.5 2.3 2.7 2.5 3.3 100.0%
Ellie Jankowski 100% 34.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.3 2.7 100.0%
Dani Spring 100% 46.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 100.0%
Elli Mott 100% 67.2 99.9%
Hannah Selis 100% 70.7 99.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Frank 100% 1.0 98.3 1.7 0.1 100.0%
Emma Jankowski 100% 2.2 0.1 44.7 29.8 13.4 5.8 3.0 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lorena Daugherty 100% 5.6 1.8 9.2 15.7 15.4 13.8 11.7 8.9 6.9 4.9 3.6 2.7 2.1 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Ellie Jankowski 100% 5.9 1.2 7.0 13.8 16.3 13.6 12.5 9.1 7.2 5.7 4.0 3.3 1.8 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Dani Spring 100% 11.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.7 4.8 6.1 7.9 8.8 9.5 9.1 8.6 7.9 7.2 6.3 5.1 4.4 3.5 2.6 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Elli Mott 100% 20.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.0 3.9 5.1 5.8 7.3 8.2 9.1 9.3 9.6 9.4 8.3 6.5 100.0%
Hannah Selis 100% 21.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.4 5.0 5.7 6.8 8.4 9.4 10.2 9.7 10.1 9.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Frank 1.0 100.0 0.1
Emma Jankowski 1.6 0.1 85.4 11.2 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
Lorena Daugherty 3.3 5.5 35.8 31.6 15.5 7.0 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0
Ellie Jankowski 3.4 4.1 31.5 32.5 17.3 9.1 4.2 1.3 0.1 0.0
Dani Spring 5.7 0.1 2.2 7.3 24.0 23.8 21.4 17.3 3.5 0.5 0.1
Elli Mott 8.8 0.4 2.4 5.9 14.0 33.1 28.6 11.8 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Hannah Selis 9.3 0.2 1.4 3.6 9.5 25.6 34.6 18.4 4.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0