All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Valpo Jamboree |
Lions Pride Invitational |
IWU Wildcat Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
Chesterton Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
Date | |
8/23 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
Team Rating |
237 |
NEI |
NEI |
287 |
245 |
938 |
276 |
239 |
231 |
252 |
231 |
Team Adjusted Rating | |
NEI |
NEI |
287 |
245 |
237 |
276 |
239 |
231 |
252 |
231 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valpo Jamboree |
Lions Pride Invitational |
IWU Wildcat Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
Chesterton Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
22 |
Ava Gilliana |
9 |
18:49 |
|
NEI |
18:58 |
18:35 |
|
18:43 |
19:00 |
18:53 |
18:53 |
18:54 |
27 |
Logan Ferngren |
11 |
18:56 |
|
NEI |
19:06 |
19:03 |
|
19:16 |
19:05 |
18:45 |
19:00 |
18:48 |
79 |
Julia Arnold |
10 |
19:34 |
|
NEI |
20:10 |
19:41 |
|
20:12 |
19:55 |
19:39 |
19:44 |
19:26 |
171 |
Elena Kipp |
11 |
20:08 |
|
NEI |
20:22 |
20:04 |
|
20:05 |
20:02 |
20:07 |
20:13 |
20:07 |
297 |
Hannah Shepherd |
9 |
20:38 |
|
NEI |
20:47 |
21:22 |
|
20:47 |
20:17 |
20:33 |
20:41 |
20:40 |
400 |
Nicole Brandy |
9 |
21:00 |
|
NEI |
20:58 |
20:47 |
|
20:56 |
21:01 |
|
21:50 |
20:52 |
426 |
Isabella Iussig |
12 |
21:05 |
NEI |
|
21:03 |
22:36 |
22:06 |
21:25 |
21:35 |
21:18 |
21:23 |
20:56 |
662 |
Esther Allen |
11 |
21:50 |
NEI |
|
21:08 |
21:34 |
22:12 |
22:33 |
|
|
|
|
678 |
Tarin Snider |
10 |
21:53 |
NEI |
|
21:29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
701 |
Adrianna McFadden |
10 |
21:57 |
NEI |
|
22:08 |
21:36 |
22:39 |
21:30 |
|
|
|
|
714 |
Emma Fitzgerald |
10 |
21:58 |
|
NEI |
21:41 |
21:49 |
22:39 |
21:42 |
|
|
|
|
718 |
Kristyn Hoffman |
9 |
21:58 |
|
|
22:14 |
22:41 |
22:33 |
21:28 |
|
21:29 |
|
|
773 |
Kylie Ireland |
10 |
22:09 |
|
|
23:01 |
21:58 |
22:08 |
21:57 |
|
|
|
|
784 |
Bridget McGrath |
11 |
22:10 |
|
|
21:35 |
21:23 |
23:12 |
22:37 |
|
|
|
|
824 |
Mary Warner |
11 |
22:17 |
NEI |
|
22:14 |
22:27 |
22:29 |
21:57 |
|
|
|
|
974 |
Ezzlee Faitz |
11 |
22:34 |
|
|
22:21 |
22:15 |
23:10 |
22:43 |
|
|
|
|
1,100 |
Megan Dalton |
11 |
22:50 |
|
|
22:48 |
23:28 |
|
22:31 |
|
|
|
|
1,215 |
Diane McGovern |
11 |
23:05 |
|
|
23:16 |
22:44 |
23:54 |
22:52 |
|
|
|
|
1,322 |
Abby Steele |
10 |
23:19 |
|
|
23:06 |
23:05 |
23:49 |
23:29 |
|
|
|
|
1,357 |
Ruth Stamp |
9 |
23:23 |
|
|
23:35 |
23:12 |
23:14 |
23:36 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lilly O'Shea |
9 |
23:39 |
|
|
23:48 |
23:13 |
|
23:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
Julia Fink |
11 |
23:44 |
|
|
23:34 |
24:16 |
23:36 |
23:41 |
|
|
|
|
|
Corinne Ritzi |
10 |
23:53 |
|
|
23:18 |
23:29 |
24:59 |
24:08 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
State Finals |
99.3% |
10.4 |
315 |
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
4.0 |
5.9 |
7.9 |
10.5 |
11.3 |
11.9 |
11.0 |
9.5 |
8.0 |
6.5 |
4.0 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
Semi-State |
100% |
2.0 |
114 |
44.8 |
29.5 |
14.2 |
6.5 |
3.1 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
1.2 |
40 |
85.2 |
14.1 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.2 |
34 |
81.2 |
17.8 |
1.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Ava Gilliana |
100.0% |
24.4 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
3.8 |
98.6% |
99.9% |
Logan Ferngren |
99.9% |
31.6 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
87.7% |
99.5% |
Julia Arnold |
99.3% |
80.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0% |
61.2% |
Elena Kipp |
99.3% |
131.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
4.4% |
Hannah Shepherd |
99.3% |
166.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Nicole Brandy |
99.3% |
184.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Isabella Iussig |
99.3% |
187.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Ava Gilliana |
100% |
4.7 |
3.0 |
7.0 |
12.1 |
16.8 |
15.9 |
13.0 |
10.1 |
7.6 |
5.4 |
3.4 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Logan Ferngren |
100% |
6.4 |
0.9 |
2.5 |
5.6 |
9.3 |
11.7 |
14.0 |
13.4 |
11.5 |
9.2 |
7.0 |
4.9 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
Julia Arnold |
100% |
17.3 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
3.7 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
6.5 |
6.6 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
Elena Kipp |
100% |
36.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
Hannah Shepherd |
100% |
69.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
99.5% |
Nicole Brandy |
100% |
95.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
89.7% |
Isabella Iussig |
100% |
100.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
84.0% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Ava Gilliana |
100% |
1.6 |
21.5 |
51.2 |
25.1 |
2.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Logan Ferngren |
100% |
2.2 |
7.1 |
29.8 |
56.1 |
5.9 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Julia Arnold |
100% |
4.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
29.3 |
26.3 |
20.9 |
11.6 |
5.6 |
2.7 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Elena Kipp |
100% |
10.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
3.3 |
8.3 |
11.9 |
13.2 |
11.9 |
9.9 |
8.3 |
6.8 |
5.9 |
4.7 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Hannah Shepherd |
100% |
20.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.9 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
7.0 |
7.4 |
7.4 |
7.1 |
5.7 |
|
100.0% |
Nicole Brandy |
100% |
27.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
4.0 |
4.5 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
|
100.0% |
Isabella Iussig |
100% |
29.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Ava Gilliana |
1.6 |
20.6 |
53.0 |
26.1 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Logan Ferngren |
2.2 |
7.2 |
30.2 |
61.0 |
1.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Julia Arnold |
3.7 |
|
0.0 |
1.0 |
66.6 |
20.5 |
7.3 |
2.5 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Elena Kipp |
7.7 |
|
|
|
0.5 |
9.7 |
15.4 |
16.4 |
12.1 |
10.4 |
8.7 |
6.8 |
5.2 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
Hannah Shepherd |
16.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
7.3 |
8.0 |
8.5 |
8.8 |
8.7 |
8.5 |
8.0 |
6.3 |
4.8 |
2.9 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
Nicole Brandy |
22.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
5.8 |
7.9 |
9.5 |
10.7 |
11.9 |
11.2 |
9.0 |
Isabella Iussig |
23.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
4.0 |
5.6 |
7.5 |
9.7 |
11.6 |
12.2 |
11.7 |
|