Wawasee
Boys - Girls
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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State Rank #70
New Haven Semi-State Rank #18
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #5
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 16th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 37.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Marion Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 9/3 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 744 785 844 719 716 723 747
Team Adjusted Rating 785 844 719 716 723 747
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Marion Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
234  Elizabeth Zorn 12 20:28 20:30 20:25 20:37 20:25 20:28 20:27
239  McKenzie Smith 10 20:29 20:34 20:36 20:47 20:12 20:23 20:31
765  Aubrey Kuhn 11 22:07 22:00 22:22 22:05 22:04 22:04 22:10
929  Valeria Pizana 9 22:30 22:39 22:53 22:16 22:29 22:11 22:42
1,004  Lila Gregory 9 22:37 23:24 23:35 22:03 22:26 22:42 22:23
1,271  Katie Haines 9 23:14 23:18 23:04 23:17 23:07 23:26
1,339  Bailey Schroeder 12 23:21 23:08 23:47 22:50 23:22 23:02 24:26
Reagan Atwood 11 23:57 23:52 23:47 24:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 37.9% 15.7 386 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.2 3.9 7.3 11.9 7.8 3.8
Regionals 100.0% 6.1 169 0.0 3.8 34.1 26.6 20.2 11.2 3.6 0.5
Sectionals 100% 3.5 116 0.1 58.7 36.5 4.7 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elizabeth Zorn 0.2% 128.5 0.2% 0.2%
McKenzie Smith 0.1% 131.5 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elizabeth Zorn 100% 57.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
McKenzie Smith 100% 57.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Aubrey Kuhn 38.5% 121.7 1.0% 4.3%
Valeria Pizana 37.9% 137.4 0.0% 0.1%
Lila Gregory 37.9% 143.3 0.0% 0.0%
Katie Haines 37.9% 162.9 0.0% 0.0%
Bailey Schroeder 37.9% 165.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elizabeth Zorn 100% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.7 3.4 4.2 5.1 6.4 7.3 8.0 8.3 8.2 8.1 7.5 6.6 5.6 4.7 3.6 2.3 1.7 100.0% 100.0%
McKenzie Smith 100% 16.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.5 2.9 4.1 5.0 6.2 7.1 7.5 8.1 7.6 8.4 7.9 7.3 6.2 4.9 3.9 2.8 2.0 100.0% 100.0%
Aubrey Kuhn 100.0% 46.8 0.0 0.0% 91.4%
Valeria Pizana 100.0% 59.4 0.0% 56.2%
Lila Gregory 100.0% 63.6 0.0% 40.1%
Katie Haines 100.0% 78.5 0.0% 1.3%
Bailey Schroeder 100.0% 80.8 0.0% 0.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elizabeth Zorn 8.5 0.1 0.9 2.0 3.6 6.2 9.0 11.2 11.4 12.4 12.2 10.2 8.3 6.1 3.9 2.4 0.3 0.0
McKenzie Smith 8.7 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.7 5.6 8.1 9.8 11.7 12.8 12.1 11.6 8.9 6.0 4.2 2.5 0.3 0.1
Aubrey Kuhn 25.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.7 3.6 4.6 6.1 7.2 8.7 9.2
Valeria Pizana 33.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.4 2.0
Lila Gregory 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8
Katie Haines 45.3
Bailey Schroeder 46.7