All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Huntington North Invitational |
DeKalb Classic |
Marion Invitational |
Bruin Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
NE8 Conference |
West Noble Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
551 |
498 |
639 |
562 |
|
540 |
573 |
507 |
665 |
587 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
498 |
524 |
562 |
|
540 |
573 |
507 |
665 |
555 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Huntington North Invitational |
DeKalb Classic |
Marion Invitational |
Bruin Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
NE8 Conference |
West Noble Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 2 |
Tyler Schwartz |
12 |
17:58 |
17:37 |
18:09 |
17:57 |
|
17:19 |
18:02 |
18:08 |
18:02 |
17:59 |
18:14 |
18:25 |
| 27 |
Lauren Beckmann |
12 |
18:55 |
18:19 |
18:47 |
19:16 |
|
18:44 |
19:07 |
18:55 |
19:47 |
19:14 |
19:09 |
18:47 |
| 464 |
Sarah Fetter |
11 |
21:14 |
20:35 |
|
21:24 |
|
21:09 |
20:58 |
20:52 |
22:33 |
21:22 |
|
|
| 875 |
Jillian Peel |
11 |
22:18 |
22:18 |
22:14 |
22:15 |
|
22:24 |
22:45 |
22:28 |
22:08 |
22:06 |
|
|
| 1,043 |
Penelope Swift |
9 |
22:43 |
22:45 |
23:09 |
22:42 |
|
22:40 |
22:48 |
22:10 |
22:56 |
|
|
|
| 1,168 |
Riley Winebrenner |
9 |
23:00 |
22:56 |
22:23 |
22:39 |
|
22:50 |
23:21 |
23:15 |
23:01 |
23:15 |
|
|
|
Hailey Poff |
11 |
24:16 |
23:23 |
24:00 |
24:17 |
|
24:03 |
24:34 |
24:54 |
|
|
|
|
|
Autumn Runge |
10 |
24:21 |
24:14 |
23:41 |
24:19 |
24:13 |
|
25:26 |
24:12 |
24:30 |
|
|
|
|
Beke Roth |
11 |
24:40 |
23:37 |
24:20 |
24:44 |
24:49 |
|
24:37 |
24:45 |
|
25:07 |
|
|
|
Aby Carey |
11 |
25:29 |
23:51 |
24:58 |
|
25:25 |
|
28:06 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.0 |
155 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.0 |
98.2 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
65 |
|
96.7 |
3.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tyler Schwartz |
100% |
1.5 |
32.9 |
31.4 |
16.7 |
6.9 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Lauren Beckmann |
99.7% |
26.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tyler Schwartz |
100% |
1.0 |
79.5 |
15.3 |
3.6 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Lauren Beckmann |
100% |
7.1 |
|
1.3 |
2.3 |
6.3 |
10.4 |
13.2 |
15.8 |
14.1 |
10.9 |
7.2 |
5.6 |
4.6 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Sarah Fetter |
40.5% |
91.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40.5% |
40.5% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tyler Schwartz |
100% |
1.0 |
86.5 |
11.3 |
2.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Lauren Beckmann |
100% |
4.5 |
|
3.2 |
11.4 |
21.1 |
28.3 |
16.4 |
9.1 |
4.5 |
3.6 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sarah Fetter |
100% |
42.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Jillian Peel |
100% |
63.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Penelope Swift |
100% |
69.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Riley Winebrenner |
100% |
73.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tyler Schwartz |
1.0 |
96.1 |
3.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lauren Beckmann |
2.4 |
|
19.4 |
78.0 |
2.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sarah Fetter |
11.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
5.6 |
8.8 |
12.9 |
11.8 |
13.0 |
10.9 |
10.0 |
9.4 |
6.7 |
5.2 |
3.1 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Jillian Peel |
21.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.9 |
11.1 |
11.5 |
13.3 |
13.7 |
12.8 |
11.4 |
8.5 |
| Penelope Swift |
26.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
7.9 |
9.8 |
| Riley Winebrenner |
29.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
|
