All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Bloomington North Early Bird |
Mustang Invitational |
Columbus North Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Clay City Invitational |
Crawford County Invitational |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Monroe County Meet |
Western Indiana Conference |
Bedford North Lawr. Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/29 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/12 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/26 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
418 |
474 |
420 |
417 |
409 |
|
481 |
441 |
418 |
445 |
543 |
446 |
452 |
425 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
474 |
420 |
417 |
409 |
|
481 |
441 |
418 |
445 |
447 |
446 |
452 |
425 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Bloomington North Early Bird |
Mustang Invitational |
Columbus North Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Clay City Invitational |
Crawford County Invitational |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Monroe County Meet |
Western Indiana Conference |
Bedford North Lawr. Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 7 |
Annalyssa Crain |
9 |
18:27 |
18:42 |
18:13 |
18:42 |
18:26 |
NEI |
18:26 |
18:26 |
18:17 |
18:20 |
18:13 |
18:24 |
18:42 |
18:37 |
| 78 |
Sarah Foster |
9 |
19:32 |
19:09 |
19:25 |
19:44 |
19:31 |
NEI |
19:45 |
19:38 |
19:50 |
20:13 |
19:59 |
19:29 |
19:35 |
19:24 |
| 151 |
Kaylee Meyer |
11 |
20:02 |
21:07 |
20:35 |
20:36 |
20:29 |
NEI |
21:01 |
20:38 |
20:18 |
19:53 |
20:23 |
20:35 |
19:48 |
20:10 |
| 435 |
Paige Abel |
11 |
21:09 |
21:23 |
21:40 |
21:17 |
21:08 |
NEI |
21:10 |
21:01 |
20:44 |
21:06 |
21:11 |
21:11 |
21:03 |
21:14 |
| 839 |
Olivia Werner |
9 |
22:13 |
22:11 |
21:31 |
21:28 |
21:49 |
|
22:19 |
22:16 |
22:19 |
22:24 |
|
22:19 |
23:17 |
22:14 |
| 1,250 |
Bailey White |
11 |
23:10 |
|
23:09 |
23:31 |
23:02 |
|
23:40 |
22:32 |
22:44 |
22:41 |
23:49 |
23:04 |
22:57 |
24:32 |
|
Mikayla Deckard |
12 |
24:23 |
24:12 |
23:33 |
24:28 |
|
|
24:34 |
24:17 |
24:13 |
23:55 |
23:55 |
24:49 |
25:06 |
25:40 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
19.9 |
455 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
3.5 |
7.5 |
10.8 |
14.2 |
18.0 |
16.2 |
13.4 |
9.8 |
3.2 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
5.6 |
174 |
|
|
0.3 |
6.4 |
26.7 |
64.0 |
2.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.0 |
77 |
|
1.2 |
98.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.0 |
59 |
|
3.9 |
96.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Annalyssa Crain |
100% |
7.8 |
1.3 |
4.3 |
6.5 |
7.7 |
9.1 |
8.5 |
7.1 |
7.3 |
5.1 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Sarah Foster |
100% |
75.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
90.2% |
| Kaylee Meyer |
100% |
121.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
27.7% |
| Paige Abel |
100% |
192.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Olivia Werner |
100% |
205.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Bailey White |
100% |
206.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Mikayla Deckard |
100% |
207.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Annalyssa Crain |
100% |
1.0 |
75.7 |
15.2 |
5.7 |
2.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sarah Foster |
100% |
13.8 |
|
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.2 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
5.8 |
5.1 |
6.1 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
3.1 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Kaylee Meyer |
100% |
30.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Paige Abel |
100% |
71.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
| Olivia Werner |
100% |
109.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
29.0% |
| Bailey White |
100% |
137.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Annalyssa Crain |
100% |
1.0 |
82.9 |
12.2 |
4.4 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sarah Foster |
100% |
5.8 |
|
1.4 |
3.7 |
13.9 |
16.1 |
18.5 |
15.0 |
10.1 |
8.2 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kaylee Meyer |
100% |
12.4 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
3.2 |
5.5 |
6.5 |
9.0 |
9.9 |
9.1 |
10.4 |
9.6 |
8.5 |
8.1 |
7.0 |
4.7 |
3.1 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Paige Abel |
100% |
26.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
3.7 |
5.7 |
7.9 |
11.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Olivia Werner |
100% |
35.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bailey White |
100% |
49.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Annalyssa Crain |
1.0 |
84.5 |
10.5 |
4.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sarah Foster |
5.6 |
|
1.2 |
3.1 |
13.8 |
19.1 |
21.2 |
17.2 |
11.5 |
6.3 |
3.1 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kaylee Meyer |
10.5 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
5.8 |
9.6 |
11.7 |
13.3 |
12.8 |
14.8 |
12.4 |
8.4 |
5.9 |
2.0 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Paige Abel |
17.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
3.7 |
12.5 |
36.4 |
40.8 |
4.6 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
| Olivia Werner |
21.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
8.7 |
31.7 |
29.7 |
20.7 |
8.9 |
0.2 |
| Bailey White |
24.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.2 |
8.4 |
46.4 |
|
