Elkhart Central
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #98
New Haven Semi-State Rank #28
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #10
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational NIC Stomp Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC/NLC Conferences Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/13 8/19 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 892 923 1,085 899 919 944 878 876 856
Team Adjusted Rating 834 1,085 899 919 907 878 876 856
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational NIC Stomp Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC/NLC Conferences Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
383  Lauren Dibley 10 20:59 20:37 23:15 21:07 21:05 20:59 21:07 20:44 20:42 20:58
596  Emma Romero 12 21:36 21:36 22:08 21:28 21:42 21:42 21:23 22:06 21:14 21:48
776  Hadley Malloy 11 22:05 22:13 23:24 21:54 22:11 21:54 21:58 21:42 22:23
1,133  Margo Southern 11 22:56 23:02 23:00 22:57 23:14 22:40 23:01 22:51
1,212  Antonia Hiland 10 23:04 22:19 22:03 23:18 23:10 23:18 23:24 22:54
1,329  Johntella Higgins 10 23:20 24:27 24:59 23:17 22:49 23:04
Irie Roll 9 23:33 25:32 25:03 24:08 24:08 23:41 23:31 24:01 23:09
Alexa Pfister 9 24:51 26:05 25:58 25:40 24:10 24:20
Kortney Buckley 11 25:15 25:27 24:15 25:59 25:22 25:02
Kali Hartman 10 25:26 24:49 24:59 26:23 25:37 25:18




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 8.6 207 0.1 0.8 12.7 31.9 33.6 21.1
Sectionals 100% 4.7 133 0.1 1.1 46.3 31.6 20.2 0.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Dibley 92.9% 81.4 92.9% 92.9%
Emma Romero 19.6% 108.3 19.6% 19.6%
Hadley Malloy 0.2% 118.8 0.3% 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Dibley 100% 22.9 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.5 2.6 3.1 4.8 5.8 8.2 7.5 7.4 7.9 7.3 5.7 100.0%
Emma Romero 100% 38.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.0 100.0%
Hadley Malloy 100% 49.7 98.3%
Margo Southern 100% 68.6 24.3%
Antonia Hiland 100% 72.5 12.3%
Johntella Higgins 100% 78.8 2.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Dibley 11.5 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.7 5.2 13.6 18.0 16.6 12.3 9.0 7.4 5.1 3.7 2.6 1.6 0.5
Emma Romero 19.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.9 3.1 5.0 6.6 8.7 11.3 11.7 14.5 15.0 9.6 5.8 2.6 1.6
Hadley Malloy 23.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 1.0 2.0 3.8 5.6 11.2 14.3 15.3 14.4
Margo Southern 36.9 0.1 0.2
Antonia Hiland 40.2 0.1
Johntella Higgins 45.8 0.1