All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Gavit Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conference |
Gavit Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
731 |
631 |
|
655 |
762 |
721 |
756 |
740 |
769 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
631 |
|
655 |
719 |
721 |
756 |
740 |
769 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Gavit Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conference |
Gavit Sectional |
Crown Point Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| 177 |
Ciera Lee |
11 |
20:08 |
20:02 |
|
19:44 |
19:58 |
19:38 |
20:16 |
20:06 |
20:13 |
21:08 |
| 189 |
Grace Aurand |
10 |
20:12 |
19:51 |
|
20:04 |
20:09 |
20:16 |
20:15 |
20:25 |
20:04 |
20:25 |
| 835 |
Lauren Urevig |
12 |
22:13 |
21:50 |
|
22:08 |
|
21:51 |
22:08 |
22:37 |
22:34 |
|
| 981 |
Marley Salinas |
12 |
22:36 |
22:18 |
|
22:47 |
22:23 |
22:54 |
23:19 |
22:06 |
22:56 |
|
| 987 |
Skylar Guffey |
12 |
22:36 |
21:56 |
|
22:01 |
22:47 |
23:23 |
22:30 |
22:56 |
22:36 |
|
| 1,140 |
Kayla Polen |
11 |
22:57 |
|
|
22:21 |
22:56 |
22:46 |
23:07 |
22:44 |
23:51 |
|
|
Kasey Cusik |
9 |
24:22 |
|
24:40 |
|
24:36 |
|
24:15 |
24:24 |
24:16 |
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.3 |
158 |
|
|
|
0.4 |
14.1 |
40.8 |
42.7 |
2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.0 |
77 |
|
0.1 |
99.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ciera Lee |
7.8% |
111.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.8% |
7.8% |
| Grace Aurand |
4.1% |
118.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.1% |
4.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ciera Lee |
100% |
39.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Grace Aurand |
100% |
43.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Lauren Urevig |
1.3% |
141.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.3% |
1.3% |
| Marley Salinas |
0.1% |
151.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Skylar Guffey |
0.1% |
147.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ciera Lee |
100% |
11.5 |
|
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
5.3 |
6.5 |
8.8 |
8.1 |
9.7 |
10.1 |
8.4 |
8.0 |
6.3 |
5.1 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
2.9 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Grace Aurand |
100% |
12.9 |
|
|
|
0.6 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
5.7 |
6.9 |
8.3 |
9.4 |
9.7 |
8.8 |
7.9 |
6.8 |
7.4 |
5.0 |
4.6 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Lauren Urevig |
100% |
45.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Marley Salinas |
100% |
50.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Skylar Guffey |
100% |
50.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kayla Polen |
100% |
55.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ciera Lee |
2.5 |
19.0 |
19.8 |
21.3 |
15.3 |
10.8 |
5.7 |
4.3 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Grace Aurand |
3.3 |
10.5 |
16.3 |
18.0 |
18.6 |
14.4 |
9.4 |
6.1 |
3.4 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lauren Urevig |
20.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.5 |
4.3 |
7.3 |
18.0 |
34.9 |
16.2 |
8.3 |
5.2 |
2.1 |
| Marley Salinas |
23.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
5.5 |
15.0 |
18.2 |
15.6 |
12.9 |
| Skylar Guffey |
23.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
5.4 |
13.6 |
16.1 |
16.4 |
14.5 |
| Kayla Polen |
27.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.2 |
4.9 |
7.8 |
|
