All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Triton Early Bird Invitational |
Taylor University Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
New Prairie Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Marion County Championship |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Ben Davis Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/14 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
467 |
675 |
463 |
523 |
568 |
453 |
453 |
495 |
469 |
493 |
556 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
675 |
463 |
523 |
547 |
453 |
452 |
495 |
469 |
437 |
487 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Triton Early Bird Invitational |
Taylor University Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
New Prairie Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Marion County Championship |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Ben Davis Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| 63 |
Nia Taylor |
11 |
19:24 |
20:21 |
19:24 |
19:08 |
19:25 |
19:04 |
19:26 |
19:20 |
19:06 |
19:32 |
20:08 |
| 182 |
Sophia Thibault |
11 |
20:10 |
20:23 |
20:10 |
20:32 |
20:29 |
19:56 |
19:54 |
20:23 |
20:20 |
19:49 |
20:15 |
| 214 |
Jessica Velez |
9 |
20:22 |
21:41 |
20:37 |
20:50 |
21:12 |
20:52 |
20:23 |
20:56 |
20:46 |
20:17 |
20:08 |
| 499 |
Cara Karmolinski |
9 |
21:18 |
22:50 |
21:24 |
21:42 |
21:37 |
21:23 |
21:10 |
21:10 |
21:06 |
21:00 |
21:14 |
| 679 |
Abigail Beiter |
12 |
21:49 |
21:42 |
21:26 |
22:13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 779 |
Kennedy Kiger |
9 |
22:05 |
25:03 |
22:31 |
21:56 |
22:16 |
21:24 |
21:50 |
21:47 |
21:45 |
|
23:40 |
| 1,018 |
Ella Garvin |
9 |
22:40 |
23:20 |
22:19 |
21:50 |
22:26 |
22:20 |
22:39 |
22:12 |
23:48 |
23:30 |
22:58 |
| 1,089 |
Kristina Copher |
9 |
22:51 |
|
22:16 |
22:43 |
22:56 |
|
22:03 |
22:32 |
24:15 |
22:46 |
23:41 |
| 1,136 |
Lexus Tanner |
9 |
22:56 |
|
22:32 |
22:54 |
22:10 |
23:43 |
22:56 |
23:09 |
|
|
|
| 1,211 |
Janna Johns |
12 |
23:04 |
23:00 |
22:14 |
23:08 |
22:47 |
|
22:28 |
23:30 |
|
24:38 |
|
|
Sarah Beiter |
10 |
23:38 |
25:06 |
24:00 |
23:18 |
23:29 |
|
23:33 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
10.3 |
325 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
29.4 |
34.1 |
20.8 |
10.2 |
3.7 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.5 |
101 |
|
|
57.2 |
35.3 |
7.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
60 |
|
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nia Taylor |
31.4% |
51.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
31.4% |
31.4% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nia Taylor |
100% |
29.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sophia Thibault |
100% |
62.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jessica Velez |
100% |
71.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Cara Karmolinski |
100% |
119.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
86.1% |
| Kennedy Kiger |
100% |
147.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.6% |
| Ella Garvin |
100% |
160.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Kristina Copher |
100% |
163.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nia Taylor |
100% |
8.0 |
|
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
5.9 |
9.6 |
13.8 |
17.3 |
21.4 |
13.4 |
8.5 |
4.0 |
1.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sophia Thibault |
100% |
14.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
7.8 |
10.8 |
13.8 |
12.6 |
9.3 |
10.5 |
8.5 |
5.5 |
6.1 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Jessica Velez |
100% |
18.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.0 |
3.5 |
5.8 |
8.2 |
9.0 |
9.2 |
9.5 |
10.2 |
9.9 |
8.1 |
6.6 |
5.6 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Cara Karmolinski |
100% |
33.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Kennedy Kiger |
100% |
44.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ella Garvin |
100% |
50.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kristina Copher |
100% |
52.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nia Taylor |
4.3 |
1.3 |
3.8 |
9.7 |
26.2 |
30.7 |
13.9 |
12.5 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sophia Thibault |
8.7 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.6 |
2.8 |
7.0 |
21.9 |
24.6 |
18.6 |
15.2 |
6.5 |
2.3 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jessica Velez |
10.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.5 |
1.4 |
5.6 |
13.4 |
20.7 |
18.6 |
22.7 |
11.8 |
4.1 |
1.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cara Karmolinski |
15.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.1 |
6.4 |
19.6 |
53.4 |
14.0 |
4.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kennedy Kiger |
18.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
8.9 |
22.6 |
62.0 |
5.5 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
| Ella Garvin |
20.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
2.7 |
43.1 |
29.5 |
15.6 |
6.2 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
| Kristina Copher |
21.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
13.7 |
30.6 |
28.2 |
16.1 |
7.2 |
2.7 |
|
