All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Warsaw Classic |
Manchester Invitational |
Tippecanoe Valley Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Three Rivers Conference |
Culver Academies Sectional |
Culver Academies Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/22 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
581 |
629 |
|
651 |
606 |
481 |
729 |
575 |
715 |
659 |
650 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
501 |
|
651 |
606 |
481 |
589 |
575 |
577 |
659 |
650 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Warsaw Classic |
Manchester Invitational |
Tippecanoe Valley Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Three Rivers Conference |
Culver Academies Sectional |
Culver Academies Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| 142 |
Kelsey Tyler |
12 |
19:55 |
19:27 |
|
19:24 |
19:22 |
19:40 |
|
19:49 |
|
20:54 |
21:17 |
| 310 |
Mallory Hiatt |
10 |
20:43 |
|
|
20:51 |
20:51 |
20:16 |
20:27 |
20:48 |
20:51 |
21:01 |
20:45 |
| 324 |
Sarah Rohr |
11 |
20:46 |
21:11 |
|
21:08 |
20:29 |
20:12 |
20:48 |
20:33 |
21:04 |
21:14 |
20:32 |
| 680 |
Lexi Kelly |
9 |
21:49 |
22:51 |
|
22:40 |
22:21 |
21:16 |
21:52 |
22:08 |
21:20 |
21:57 |
21:49 |
| 763 |
Daphne Nolen |
9 |
22:03 |
24:08 |
23:14 |
24:03 |
22:57 |
22:28 |
22:27 |
21:51 |
22:02 |
21:41 |
22:23 |
| 929 |
Ava Cannedy |
10 |
22:26 |
22:20 |
|
22:14 |
22:27 |
21:57 |
22:22 |
22:38 |
22:24 |
23:30 |
22:15 |
| 1,255 |
Rachel Ricketts |
10 |
23:11 |
19:55 |
|
23:44 |
23:07 |
22:17 |
22:32 |
|
23:26 |
23:59 |
24:33 |
|
Paige Bode |
10 |
23:46 |
23:39 |
|
23:04 |
24:10 |
22:51 |
23:21 |
24:16 |
24:54 |
|
|
|
Evelyn Goodman |
10 |
24:42 |
25:43 |
24:18 |
24:48 |
24:02 |
26:07 |
25:08 |
23:38 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
13.5 |
341 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.7 |
1.9 |
3.8 |
5.5 |
7.5 |
12.0 |
18.3 |
18.0 |
12.0 |
10.0 |
6.3 |
4.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.0 |
75 |
8.8 |
80.5 |
10.6 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.9 |
51 |
8.2 |
91.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kelsey Tyler |
25.6% |
98.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.6% |
25.6% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kelsey Tyler |
100% |
31.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Mallory Hiatt |
100% |
71.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sarah Rohr |
100% |
75.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
| Lexi Kelly |
100% |
134.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
42.0% |
| Daphne Nolen |
100% |
142.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16.8% |
| Ava Cannedy |
100% |
152.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.6% |
| Rachel Ricketts |
100% |
164.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kelsey Tyler |
100% |
3.7 |
0.2 |
6.5 |
21.6 |
32.0 |
23.3 |
10.0 |
4.1 |
2.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mallory Hiatt |
100% |
10.0 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
3.1 |
7.4 |
10.4 |
13.3 |
15.7 |
15.0 |
11.7 |
8.8 |
5.3 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sarah Rohr |
100% |
10.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
3.0 |
4.4 |
7.8 |
12.7 |
14.6 |
14.9 |
12.7 |
10.1 |
7.3 |
4.4 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Lexi Kelly |
100% |
26.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
4.0 |
5.7 |
7.3 |
8.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Daphne Nolen |
100% |
30.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Ava Cannedy |
100% |
39.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Rachel Ricketts |
100% |
53.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kelsey Tyler |
1.6 |
0.4 |
77.8 |
14.8 |
4.8 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mallory Hiatt |
6.3 |
|
0.1 |
3.9 |
7.9 |
11.7 |
18.5 |
23.4 |
18.6 |
10.0 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sarah Rohr |
6.8 |
|
|
2.5 |
5.0 |
9.4 |
13.6 |
24.1 |
23.6 |
13.6 |
4.0 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Lexi Kelly |
15.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.2 |
3.9 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
7.4 |
17.7 |
17.4 |
15.3 |
10.2 |
6.7 |
3.9 |
3.1 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
| Daphne Nolen |
17.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
5.8 |
12.2 |
14.4 |
16.7 |
14.6 |
10.5 |
7.6 |
5.8 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
| Ava Cannedy |
21.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
4.3 |
7.4 |
9.3 |
13.7 |
13.5 |
12.0 |
10.7 |
9.5 |
| Rachel Ricketts |
30.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
|
