Wawasee
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #109
New Haven Semi-State Rank #31
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #11
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating NorthWood Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC/NLC Conferences Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/26 9/9 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 962 1,050 1,015 982 968 921 960
Team Adjusted Rating 955 1,015 911 968 921 960
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NorthWood Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC/NLC Conferences Elkhart Central Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
405  McKenzie Smith 11 21:04 21:39 20:56 20:51 21:10 21:10 20:50 21:09
750  Caitlin Wortinger 11 22:01 22:10 22:13 21:55 21:32 22:17
1,007  Aubrey Kuhn 12 22:38 23:06 22:30 22:42 22:29 22:37
1,206  Valeria Pizana 10 23:04 22:27 23:04 23:07 23:08 23:36 22:48
1,208  Autumn Turner 9 23:04 22:48 23:25 23:11 23:06 22:39 23:15
1,278  Reagan Atwood 12 23:14 23:23 22:30 23:03 23:30 23:35
Ella Beezley 9 23:39 24:27 23:41 23:36 23:20 23:38
Rileigh Atwood 9 24:19 25:53 24:10 24:00
Lila Gregory 10 24:24 24:55 24:05
Evelin Romo 12 25:41 25:46 25:39 25:40




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 9.5 224 0.1 1.7 9.9 26.4 62.0
Sectionals 100% 5.5 147 0.3 15.2 26.5 53.4 4.3 0.4 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
McKenzie Smith 88.0% 85.2 88.0% 88.0%
Caitlin Wortinger 0.9% 123.0 0.9% 0.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
McKenzie Smith 100% 24.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.5 2.0 4.3 5.6 5.0 6.7 6.4 6.9 7.2 7.5 100.0%
Caitlin Wortinger 100% 47.9 99.2%
Aubrey Kuhn 100% 61.2 62.1%
Valeria Pizana 100% 71.8 13.1%
Autumn Turner 100% 71.5 13.6%
Reagan Atwood 100% 75.8 5.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
McKenzie Smith 12.3 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.9 8.2 15.2 14.9 14.4 11.8 9.2 6.2 4.4 3.9 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.2
Caitlin Wortinger 23.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.6 6.3 9.0 11.9 15.5 15.7 13.5
Aubrey Kuhn 31.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.1 2.5
Valeria Pizana 39.7
Autumn Turner 39.7
Reagan Atwood 43.2