All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Huntington North Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Bruin Invitational |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
Northrop Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
131 |
49 |
113 |
388 |
301 |
682 |
177 |
198 |
204 |
216 |
145 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
49 |
113 |
133 |
139 |
131 |
137 |
198 |
150 |
151 |
145 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Huntington North Invitational |
Marion Invitational |
Bruin Invitational |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
Northrop Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 5 |
Zoe Duffus |
9 |
18:23 |
17:56 |
18:08 |
18:31 |
|
|
17:58 |
19:20 |
|
|
19:24 |
| 34 |
Meagan Hathaway |
11 |
19:00 |
17:57 |
18:25 |
|
|
|
|
19:29 |
19:20 |
18:59 |
18:56 |
| 49 |
Leah Metzger |
12 |
19:16 |
18:59 |
19:14 |
|
19:00 |
|
19:26 |
19:32 |
19:25 |
19:21 |
19:12 |
| 52 |
Maggie Falater |
12 |
19:19 |
18:54 |
19:33 |
|
19:18 |
|
19:26 |
19:33 |
19:22 |
19:23 |
19:11 |
| 58 |
Mallory Clements |
10 |
19:21 |
19:22 |
19:07 |
|
19:46 |
|
19:22 |
19:29 |
19:22 |
19:45 |
19:13 |
| 98 |
Rayna Fruchey |
10 |
19:38 |
20:37 |
20:16 |
20:27 |
20:23 |
|
20:04 |
|
20:03 |
20:20 |
19:30 |
| 242 |
Kathleen Ellingson |
11 |
20:29 |
20:26 |
20:24 |
|
22:09 |
|
20:48 |
21:08 |
|
20:21 |
20:21 |
| 258 |
Ashlyn Minton |
9 |
20:34 |
20:30 |
20:28 |
20:21 |
21:07 |
22:31 |
20:25 |
20:20 |
20:13 |
21:03 |
|
| 299 |
Shelby Christman |
9 |
20:41 |
20:26 |
20:27 |
21:19 |
|
20:39 |
20:32 |
|
20:52 |
|
|
| 402 |
Hannah Loeffler |
11 |
21:04 |
20:55 |
20:49 |
20:48 |
21:47 |
|
21:12 |
|
|
|
|
| 505 |
Courtney Brown |
10 |
21:20 |
21:20 |
21:14 |
21:15 |
|
22:05 |
21:04 |
|
|
|
|
| 599 |
Elizabeth LaLonde |
10 |
21:36 |
21:49 |
22:22 |
21:26 |
|
21:25 |
21:30 |
|
|
|
|
| 624 |
Maya Wilkins |
10 |
21:41 |
21:16 |
21:53 |
21:47 |
|
21:25 |
22:01 |
|
|
|
|
| 715 |
Cobi Landwehr |
9 |
21:54 |
21:34 |
21:46 |
22:04 |
|
22:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 810 |
Kiana Thurber |
10 |
22:09 |
|
22:48 |
22:11 |
|
21:50 |
22:03 |
|
|
|
|
| 826 |
Ava Kreilach |
9 |
22:12 |
|
|
22:48 |
|
21:50 |
22:07 |
|
|
|
|
| 882 |
Rylee Shotts |
9 |
22:19 |
|
22:17 |
21:46 |
|
|
23:09 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,306 |
Jadynn Kable |
11 |
23:18 |
|
|
23:04 |
|
23:35 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,365 |
Molly Duffner |
11 |
23:23 |
23:11 |
23:28 |
23:05 |
|
23:14 |
24:22 |
|
|
|
|
|
Zoe Davis |
11 |
23:36 |
23:18 |
23:46 |
23:16 |
|
23:19 |
24:59 |
|
|
|
|
|
Caitlyn Fisher |
10 |
23:40 |
23:22 |
23:34 |
23:33 |
|
|
24:17 |
|
|
|
|
|
Abby Green |
11 |
|
17:36 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
2.2 |
134 |
46.9 |
24.4 |
12.6 |
7.3 |
4.0 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.0 |
41 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
32 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
19 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Zoe Duffus |
100% |
6.4 |
2.2 |
4.9 |
7.6 |
12.2 |
10.0 |
9.4 |
8.8 |
6.6 |
5.5 |
6.5 |
4.4 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Meagan Hathaway |
100% |
32.3 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
|
98.3% |
| Leah Metzger |
100% |
52.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
|
88.1% |
| Maggie Falater |
100% |
55.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
85.4% |
| Mallory Clements |
100% |
59.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
81.3% |
| Rayna Fruchey |
100% |
86.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
44.6% |
| Kathleen Ellingson |
100% |
156.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Zoe Duffus |
100% |
2.4 |
8.6 |
29.7 |
30.0 |
16.0 |
8.7 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Meagan Hathaway |
100% |
8.0 |
|
0.1 |
1.1 |
4.4 |
5.6 |
11.2 |
13.4 |
14.3 |
14.4 |
11.7 |
7.9 |
6.2 |
4.4 |
2.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Leah Metzger |
100% |
12.3 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
4.2 |
7.0 |
9.0 |
10.8 |
11.1 |
11.7 |
10.0 |
7.6 |
6.2 |
5.1 |
4.2 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Maggie Falater |
100% |
12.8 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
3.0 |
5.2 |
8.5 |
10.7 |
10.7 |
10.9 |
10.9 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
5.4 |
4.6 |
3.5 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Mallory Clements |
100% |
13.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
4.1 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
9.2 |
11.4 |
9.3 |
9.7 |
8.8 |
7.3 |
5.0 |
4.4 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Rayna Fruchey |
100% |
19.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
6.1 |
7.3 |
6.9 |
8.7 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
6.6 |
5.3 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Kathleen Ellingson |
100% |
52.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
98.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Zoe Duffus |
100% |
1.7 |
10.9 |
56.0 |
23.2 |
7.8 |
2.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Meagan Hathaway |
100% |
5.0 |
|
0.5 |
5.9 |
16.2 |
26.3 |
33.1 |
12.5 |
3.7 |
1.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Leah Metzger |
100% |
7.2 |
|
|
0.3 |
2.0 |
5.3 |
13.3 |
23.3 |
24.6 |
16.4 |
8.6 |
3.3 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Maggie Falater |
100% |
7.6 |
|
|
0.4 |
1.3 |
3.0 |
9.6 |
21.8 |
22.0 |
20.1 |
12.0 |
4.6 |
2.9 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mallory Clements |
100% |
8.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.3 |
6.4 |
14.9 |
22.4 |
23.6 |
13.2 |
8.4 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Rayna Fruchey |
100% |
10.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.6 |
3.3 |
9.6 |
21.7 |
18.9 |
15.5 |
9.9 |
7.2 |
4.6 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kathleen Ellingson |
100% |
24.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
7.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Zoe Duffus |
1.0 |
90.0 |
9.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Meagan Hathaway |
2.4 |
0.3 |
29.2 |
50.4 |
13.2 |
4.9 |
1.8 |
0.3 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Leah Metzger |
4.2 |
|
1.9 |
11.9 |
30.3 |
26.0 |
18.4 |
6.7 |
2.7 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Maggie Falater |
4.6 |
|
2.2 |
9.5 |
21.6 |
26.8 |
24.4 |
9.4 |
3.7 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mallory Clements |
4.9 |
|
1.2 |
6.2 |
19.3 |
25.3 |
25.5 |
12.0 |
5.7 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rayna Fruchey |
7.2 |
|
|
0.2 |
1.4 |
3.1 |
9.6 |
31.2 |
20.3 |
13.3 |
8.6 |
4.8 |
3.3 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
| Kathleen Ellingson |
18.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
4.0 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
8.6 |
6.5 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
4.9 |
6.0 |
|
