Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #19
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #5
New Prairie Regional Rank #2
New Prairie Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 18th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 3.3%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/19 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 304 303 308 348 339 319 313 281 322 318
Team Adjusted Rating 303 308 348 339 319 313 281 322 318
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NIC Stomp Marion Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
21  Shelby Bullock 11 18:49 18:58 18:54 18:53 18:35 18:52 18:46 19:05 18:53 18:46
117  Kara Krol 11 19:46 19:46 19:36 20:14 20:35 19:56 19:57 19:26 20:09 19:43
153  Nalani Malackowski 9 20:03 20:14 20:10 20:21 20:09 19:49 20:14 20:05 20:17 19:55
253  Rachel Hoffman 12 20:32 21:31 20:54 20:34 22:29 20:56 21:05 20:23 20:17 20:40
280  Taylor Edwards 9 20:38 20:30 20:39 21:00 20:15 20:54 20:30 20:24 20:42 20:55
390  Elizabeth Canright 12 21:01 20:29 20:37 20:50 20:53 20:34 20:37 22:38 22:12 21:13
567  Rebecca White 11 21:32 21:18 21:36 21:41 21:45 21:02 21:28 21:30 21:56
658  Peyton Westphal 10 21:46 22:57 22:24 21:39 21:29 21:30 21:44
697  Frances Clancy 9 21:51 21:51 22:05 21:58 21:56 21:34
976  Libby Boster 10 22:35 22:39 22:35 22:34 23:15 22:10
1,027  Kirsten Wozniak 12 22:42 23:13 23:09 22:44 22:01
1,029  Kayla Kirchner 10 22:42 23:19 23:15 22:34 22:50 21:56
1,067  Sofia Raffin 9 22:48 23:26 22:15 23:10 22:51 22:35
1,135  Kaitlynn Leady 10 22:56 23:02 23:03 23:14 23:19 22:06
1,304  Kylie Mercier 12 23:18 23:05 23:45 23:15 22:56 23:26
Morgan Hull 10 23:39 23:19 23:03 23:46 24:07 23:46
Kaitlyn Van Kley 9 23:52 23:27 23:17 23:55 24:23 24:03
Nicole Bernth 11 23:53 24:27 24:16 23:58 23:46 23:25
Meghan Hull 10 24:22 23:16 22:19 24:53 25:03 24:41




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 17.1 408 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.4 3.0 3.0 5.5 8.2 8.8 10.5 10.8 11.3 9.8 8.5 6.9 5.0 3.5 2.2
Semi-State 100% 4.9 163 0.7 4.1 9.7 18.2 26.7 39.5 1.2 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.5 61 2.4 46.1 51.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.5 55 2.4 40.5 57.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Bullock 100% 22.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.9 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.9 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.1 2.4 3.6 3.6 2.5 3.0 100.0%
Kara Krol 100% 98.1 45.0%
Nalani Malackowski 100% 122.5 12.8%
Rachel Hoffman 100% 159.4 0.2%
Taylor Edwards 100% 166.2 0.2%
Elizabeth Canright 100% 186.0 0.0%
Rebecca White 100% 200.9 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Bullock 100% 4.6 7.0 10.7 13.2 12.0 12.4 12.3 8.9 8.7 4.6 4.8 2.2 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Kara Krol 100% 24.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.8 2.8 3.1 4.1 3.5 5.1 4.0 4.2 4.6 5.0 4.3 100.0%
Nalani Malackowski 100% 36.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 1.1 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.3 1.7 2.2 100.0%
Rachel Hoffman 100% 60.8 0.1 100.0%
Taylor Edwards 100% 67.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Elizabeth Canright 100% 88.9 98.0%
Rebecca White 100% 119.0 59.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Bullock 100% 1.9 31.0 20.4 29.4 12.5 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Kara Krol 100% 9.4 0.1 1.0 3.1 6.1 8.8 11.2 14.5 13.5 10.1 11.6 9.8 6.2 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Nalani Malackowski 100% 13.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.5 2.2 3.4 6.6 8.7 11.7 15.2 17.9 14.5 8.2 4.2 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Rachel Hoffman 100% 18.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 3.3 5.7 10.9 12.7 11.4 11.5 10.8 8.9 6.7 5.5 4.3 2.9 100.0%
Taylor Edwards 100% 20.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.8 5.4 9.5 9.7 9.6 10.0 10.2 9.6 9.0 6.9 6.1 100.0%
Elizabeth Canright 100% 25.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 2.9 3.2 5.1 7.1 8.8 10.7 100.0%
Rebecca White 100% 34.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Bullock 1.9 30.9 21.7 28.7 13.5 4.4 0.8 0.2 0.1
Kara Krol 7.7 0.1 1.7 5.3 13.4 17.5 17.4 11.2 12.2 11.4 6.3 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.2
Nalani Malackowski 11.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 3.6 6.2 9.6 12.4 15.2 19.0 18.8 6.5 3.8 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.2
Rachel Hoffman 15.4 0.3 0.4 1.9 3.2 7.3 14.3 16.4 15.2 14.0 11.2 8.6 4.7 1.8 0.6 0.3
Taylor Edwards 16.7 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 3.7 7.4 11.3 15.7 15.2 14.7 12.8 9.5 5.2 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.2
Elizabeth Canright 20.5 0.5 1.0 2.2 3.5 6.6 9.5 15.3 22.9 15.9 10.1 6.0 4.0
Rebecca White 25.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.6 5.9 8.6 11.3 13.7