Jasper
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #101
Brown County Semi-State Rank #15
Crawford County Regional Rank #4
Jasper Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 14th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Indiana-Kentucky Border Clash North Harrison Invitational Tri County Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Princeton Invitational Crawford County Invitational Big 8 Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/22 8/31 9/5 9/9 9/12 9/16 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 920 1,098 1,007 1,016 1,270 1,222 1,088 833 1,048 996 895
Team Adjusted Rating 950 980 942 1,001 986 967 833 1,027 913 895
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Indiana-Kentucky Border Clash North Harrison Invitational Tri County Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Princeton Invitational Crawford County Invitational Big 8 Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
577  Alyssa Skorge 11 21:34 21:12 21:46 21:14 21:47 21:15 22:02 21:55 21:19
703  Kelsea Skorge 9 21:53 22:32 22:52 22:35 23:27 22:54 22:13 21:59 21:47 21:31 21:49
762  Kate Weaver 12 22:03 22:13 22:04 22:01 21:59 22:13 22:16 21:48 22:05 21:59 21:59
861  Leah Schnell 11 22:16 22:02 21:29 23:45 22:11
1,367  Annie Brake 10 23:24 23:21 23:25
Kalen Jochum 9 23:39 23:56 23:24 23:18 23:17 24:23 23:09 23:53 23:41 24:02
Caitlin Knies 11 23:46 24:21 24:17 23:53 23:40 23:29 23:30 23:37 23:38 24:03
Amanda Schnell 9 24:23 25:21 23:51 23:29 24:44 24:09 24:54
Melissa Bielawa 10 25:08 24:44 24:49 24:44 25:02 24:57 25:20 25:17 25:14 25:57
Anna Kidwell 10 25:14 25:26 25:14 25:02 24:58 24:46 26:11
Paige Lofton 9 27:53 28:15 27:12 27:32 24:48 29:50 28:59




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 14.8 386 0.5 4.6 13.1 26.9 24.9 16.7 10.0 3.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.9 114 0.1 7.0 93.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 56 0.2 99.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa Skorge 100% 82.7 99.3%
Kelsea Skorge 100% 95.0 91.8%
Kate Weaver 100% 102.2 80.3%
Leah Schnell 100% 111.6 55.0%
Annie Brake 100% 143.2 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa Skorge 100% 18.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 3.2 10.6 31.4 19.6 12.1 8.2 5.6 3.8 2.2 1.1 100.0%
Kelsea Skorge 100% 21.8 0.1 0.4 2.0 4.4 10.8 11.8 12.3 10.8 9.7 9.0 7.9 100.0%
Kate Weaver 100% 24.5 0.3 0.9 3.2 6.2 7.1 8.0 10.2 9.4 10.4 100.0%
Leah Schnell 100% 28.1 0.2 1.0 2.5 3.1 4.0 4.6 6.4 100.0%
Annie Brake 100% 42.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa Skorge 5.7 0.2 1.3 7.0 56.0 22.4 8.0 3.9 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1
Kelsea Skorge 7.7 0.1 0.8 8.1 22.7 24.8 19.2 12.4 6.1 3.7 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
Kate Weaver 9.3 0.1 1.7 8.2 15.5 19.1 20.9 15.4 10.1 5.1 2.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1
Leah Schnell 11.2 0.2 1.9 3.4 6.9 14.4 20.0 18.9 17.5 9.9 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
Annie Brake 19.7 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.4 5.2 11.2 17.2 19.7 16.1 11.2 7.3 4.5 2.5