Lapel
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #154
New Haven Semi-State Rank #44
Delta Regional Rank #8
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Aaron Stephenson Memorial Invitational Southwestern Small School Invitational Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Landes Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Tipton Invitational Madison County Championship Delta Eagle Invitational Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/15 8/19 8/23 8/31 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/19 9/23 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 1,213 1,269 1,244 1,233 1,320 1,305 1,299 1,317 1,262 1,364 1,240 1,227
Team Adjusted Rating 1,056 1,244 1,233 1,320 1,305 1,299 1,274 1,262 1,266 1,240 1,227
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Aaron Stephenson Memorial Invitational Southwestern Small School Invitational Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Landes Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational Tipton Invitational Madison County Championship Delta Eagle Invitational Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
622  Kara Lutz 11 21:41 21:14 22:37 21:36 21:53 21:53 22:03 22:33 22:05 22:08 21:56 21:41 21:25
660  Lauren Smith 11 21:47 22:19 22:58 23:14 22:57 22:46 22:11 22:35 21:38 22:05 21:25 22:02
881  Noelle Loller 11 22:19 22:14 21:56 22:37 22:26 22:28 22:03 22:23 21:59 22:52 22:12 22:35
Keara Shelton 12 25:38 24:44 25:44 25:01 25:47 25:37 26:21 26:05 25:30 25:30
Baylee Everitt 12 26:53 26:39 27:29 27:19 27:09 26:53 26:49 26:13 26:16 26:55 27:40
Paige Rich 11 27:35 23:47 25:36 25:15 26:41 26:57 27:04 28:21 28:47 28:18 31:00 31:35
Sydney Rusche 11 27:44 27:35 27:30 27:00 28:13 27:03 27:54 27:28 27:55 29:32




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 7.5 172 0.8 7.7 36.1 54.7 0.7 0.1
Sectionals 100% 4.1 124 21.7 47.0 28.9 2.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kara Lutz 89.8% 121.2 89.8% 89.8%
Lauren Smith 82.4% 124.9 82.4% 82.4%
Noelle Loller 10.7% 138.4 10.7% 10.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kara Lutz 100% 15.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 2.0 2.7 5.3 8.9 11.8 11.6 12.6 10.4 7.4 5.9 5.2 3.1 2.8 2.2 2.2 1.6 100.0%
Lauren Smith 100% 16.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.9 4.5 7.8 11.7 11.3 11.5 9.7 7.9 6.1 5.3 4.7 3.3 3.0 2.0 100.0%
Noelle Loller 100% 28.5 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.2 2.1 2.5 2.2 3.6 4.5 5.1 4.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kara Lutz 9.6 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.2 3.5 7.5 25.2 19.7 14.7 9.4 6.8 4.4 3.4 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
Lauren Smith 10.5 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.8 4.2 13.9 20.5 15.5 12.2 9.0 7.1 5.9 3.5 2.6 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
Noelle Loller 17.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.4 4.2 5.7 6.9 9.8 11.3 12.3 14.2 11.6 8.2 4.6 3.0 2.1 0.8