All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Pioneer Invitational |
Indiana-Kentucky Border Clash |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Mater Dei Invitational |
South Knox Invitational |
Pike Central Invitational |
Evansville City Meet |
Mater Dei Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/19 |
8/22 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
987 |
1,025 |
925 |
912 |
998 |
1,208 |
960 |
952 |
1,010 |
1,036 |
952 |
1,024 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
1,006 |
925 |
902 |
998 |
967 |
960 |
921 |
1,010 |
1,036 |
952 |
1,024 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Pioneer Invitational |
Indiana-Kentucky Border Clash |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Mater Dei Invitational |
South Knox Invitational |
Pike Central Invitational |
Evansville City Meet |
Mater Dei Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 80 |
Grace McDurmon |
12 |
19:33 |
20:05 |
19:23 |
20:00 |
19:29 |
|
19:14 |
19:42 |
19:33 |
19:18 |
19:26 |
19:27 |
19:46 |
| 767 |
Jenna Fehrenbacher |
11 |
22:03 |
21:55 |
21:54 |
21:23 |
22:09 |
21:46 |
22:01 |
22:00 |
22:32 |
21:42 |
22:36 |
22:23 |
|
| 1,294 |
Vanessa Vanbibber |
11 |
23:16 |
22:59 |
22:38 |
22:24 |
23:25 |
23:10 |
23:40 |
|
23:22 |
23:54 |
23:00 |
23:28 |
|
| 1,397 |
Kelsey Brown |
12 |
23:27 |
23:55 |
24:06 |
|
23:28 |
24:00 |
24:33 |
23:53 |
23:19 |
23:46 |
23:03 |
23:20 |
|
|
Lauren Rexing |
12 |
23:36 |
|
24:12 |
23:51 |
23:34 |
23:33 |
23:09 |
22:51 |
23:44 |
24:22 |
23:12 |
24:10 |
|
|
Kelsey Rexing |
12 |
23:47 |
24:31 |
24:14 |
23:38 |
|
23:36 |
23:44 |
23:04 |
23:34 |
24:01 |
24:14 |
|
|
|
Emily Herrmann |
11 |
23:56 |
24:00 |
23:24 |
23:25 |
24:31 |
23:52 |
23:19 |
23:48 |
24:05 |
|
24:45 |
23:54 |
|
|
Betsy Happe |
12 |
24:04 |
23:49 |
23:31 |
|
23:38 |
24:01 |
24:55 |
24:47 |
24:03 |
24:15 |
|
23:52 |
|
|
Emily Braun |
11 |
25:01 |
25:42 |
24:27 |
24:31 |
24:46 |
24:40 |
25:44 |
26:55 |
24:35 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sophie Lottes |
11 |
25:12 |
|
|
25:23 |
|
24:49 |
24:58 |
26:54 |
24:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jaylyn Sweeney |
12 |
25:43 |
24:38 |
25:40 |
24:40 |
25:43 |
26:07 |
26:01 |
27:05 |
25:37 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
15.6 |
399 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
2.3 |
6.5 |
16.4 |
21.4 |
23.4 |
19.6 |
9.8 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.0 |
140 |
|
|
20.0 |
59.9 |
17.6 |
2.2 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
98 |
|
99.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Grace McDurmon |
93.1% |
75.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
93.1% |
93.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Grace McDurmon |
100% |
13.7 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
5.3 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.9 |
4.4 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Jenna Fehrenbacher |
100% |
102.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
51.9% |
| Vanessa Vanbibber |
100% |
139.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Kelsey Brown |
100% |
144.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Grace McDurmon |
100% |
3.7 |
1.9 |
17.7 |
15.1 |
21.0 |
19.9 |
14.1 |
8.8 |
1.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jenna Fehrenbacher |
100% |
24.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
3.7 |
6.8 |
11.0 |
14.2 |
13.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Vanessa Vanbibber |
100% |
42.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.9% |
| Kelsey Brown |
100% |
47.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.7% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Grace McDurmon |
2.6 |
20.1 |
14.8 |
23.7 |
22.6 |
17.8 |
1.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jenna Fehrenbacher |
15.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
9.2 |
25.2 |
22.2 |
17.8 |
12.5 |
6.6 |
3.0 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
| Vanessa Vanbibber |
24.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
5.1 |
10.6 |
12.1 |
21.4 |
18.1 |
| Kelsey Brown |
25.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.2 |
3.6 |
5.5 |
11.7 |
15.6 |
|
