Penn
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #18
New Haven Semi-State Rank #2
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Riley Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 16th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 4.1%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Manchester Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC/NLC Conferences Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 301 348 383 293 821 357 305 385 380 382 331 301 298
Team Adjusted Rating 348 383 293 301 357 305 335 350 296 331 301 298
State RankRunnerSeason Rating NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Manchester Invitational Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC/NLC Conferences Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
62  Dani Spring 12 19:23 20:16 20:38 19:49 19:30 19:55 20:03 19:41 19:14 19:34 19:15
65  Lauren Frank 12 19:24 19:15 19:28 19:23 19:58 19:29 19:16 19:29 19:35 19:47 19:10 19:28
172  Brooke Neal 10 20:06 20:27 20:47 20:06 20:33 19:56 20:41 19:40 20:12 20:06 20:03
232  Ellie Jankowski 11 20:27 20:43 20:44 20:29 20:53 20:18 20:16 20:34 20:17 20:35 20:19
259  Riley Keppler 10 20:34 20:19 20:06 19:58 20:22 20:26 21:11 20:49 21:06 20:30 20:42
384  Reagan Hoke 9 20:59 21:10 21:45 20:57 20:56 21:05 20:39 20:56 21:01
406  Aislynn Alkire 10 21:04 20:48 20:49 20:48 21:27 21:10 21:10 20:52 21:10 21:19
424  Kayla Edgerly 9 21:07 21:18 20:49 21:21 21:05 20:57 21:04 21:11 21:15 21:12
426  Haley Makowski 9 21:07 20:58 21:07 21:12 21:17 21:20 21:02 20:57
603  Bre Enyeart 12 21:37 21:53 21:30 21:39 22:15 21:18 21:29
613  Sybil Kurian 12 21:39 21:37 21:32 22:09 21:29
615  Stella Dimarzio 11 21:40 21:54 21:28 21:39 21:41
843  Nicole Marshall 9 22:13 21:59 22:08 22:52 22:03
858  Katie Cassbon 9 22:15 22:23 22:30 22:32 22:28 21:38
876  Anne Loughran 11 22:18 22:34 22:11 22:20 22:02 22:49 22:10
982  Hannah Cussen 9 22:36 22:01 22:08 22:29 22:55 23:01
995  Adriana Juarez 10 22:37 23:13 22:24 22:59 22:27 22:27
1,249  Cassidy Cripe 10 23:10 22:54 22:37 25:09 23:49 22:29
1,300  Ashlyn Johnson 10 23:17 23:12 23:03 23:36 23:20
1,366  Megan Ungerecht 9 23:23 23:21 23:41 23:38 23:31 23:02
Carly Sergeant 9 23:40 24:33 23:15
Paige Barnes 10 23:48 23:59 23:39 23:57 24:41 23:16
Payton Holland 12 24:02 24:39 24:46 24:02 23:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 16.9 404 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.1 2.9 4.4 6.4 8.1 9.2 12.0 10.5 9.2 8.2 7.9 6.4 5.3 3.6 2.2
Semi-State 100% 3.4 142 35.6 25.9 18.3 9.5 6.4 3.3 1.0 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.1 39 85.2 14.9
Sectionals 100% 1.0 24 99.8 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dani Spring 100% 60.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 77.5%
Lauren Frank 100% 62.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 76.5%
Brooke Neal 100% 127.2 3.9%
Ellie Jankowski 100% 152.9 0.1%
Riley Keppler 100% 161.3 0.1%
Reagan Hoke 100% 185.3 0.0%
Aislynn Alkire 100% 188.2 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dani Spring 100% 14.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.1 7.8 8.7 8.0 8.7 7.8 8.9 7.4 5.8 4.5 4.5 3.4 2.2 2.3 0.8 1.0 100.0%
Lauren Frank 100% 14.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.9 4.3 6.0 6.8 8.2 8.9 8.0 8.9 7.6 7.2 6.6 5.3 4.3 3.1 2.1 2.3 1.6 1.6 100.0%
Brooke Neal 100% 33.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.2 100.0%
Ellie Jankowski 100% 50.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 100.0%
Riley Keppler 100% 56.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 99.8%
Reagan Hoke 100% 82.4 89.7%
Aislynn Alkire 100% 87.5 84.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dani Spring 100% 2.2 7.4 35.4 31.2 15.3 6.7 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Lauren Frank 100% 2.3 7.5 32.7 35.0 15.1 6.1 2.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Brooke Neal 100% 8.6 0.2 3.2 6.7 7.9 11.8 13.4 11.8 11.5 9.3 8.3 5.5 4.9 2.3 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ellie Jankowski 100% 14.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.3 2.4 3.6 5.2 7.4 7.3 8.6 11.4 12.2 11.7 9.3 6.6 4.1 2.7 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 100.0%
Riley Keppler 100% 15.6 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.0 2.4 4.2 6.1 6.8 9.3 11.3 11.4 12.6 9.2 6.9 4.3 3.4 3.0 2.1 1.1 1.2 100.0%
Reagan Hoke 100% 22.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.7 1.2 2.4 4.8 4.6 6.8 7.0 7.9 8.0 7.4 7.2 6.6 100.0%
Aislynn Alkire 100% 24.6 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.9 3.2 4.6 5.7 6.3 7.5 8.6 6.1 6.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dani Spring 1.0 50.1 40.7 7.1 1.8 0.4
Lauren Frank 1.1 43.6 46.1 7.4 2.5 0.5
Brooke Neal 4.5 0.5 16.1 21.0 27.6 25.0 7.1 2.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
Ellie Jankowski 6.7 1.0 2.3 7.2 16.6 33.1 22.4 10.7 3.9 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1
Riley Keppler 7.5 0.1 0.6 3.0 9.4 20.4 32.1 17.5 8.5 4.2 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
Reagan Hoke 11.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 3.3 11.8 16.5 15.8 11.7 11.9 8.7 5.5 4.6 3.2 2.8 1.5 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2
Aislynn Alkire 12.2 0.1 0.4 1.7 6.6 10.7 14.9 13.9 11.1 9.8 8.4 6.3 4.7 4.1 3.3 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.2