Riley
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #94
New Haven Semi-State Rank #26
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #9
Riley Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational NIC Stomp South Bend City Meet Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC/NLC Conferences Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/13 8/19 8/31 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 877 906 936 1,014 1,189 904 946 947 987 978
Team Adjusted Rating 787 848 927 912 831 852 867 890 874
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational NIC Stomp South Bend City Meet Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic NIC/NLC Conferences Riley Sectional Elkhart Central Regional New Haven Semi-State
607  Rose Coman 10 21:38 20:38 21:04 21:47 22:13 21:28 21:42 21:47
610  Maria Coman 10 21:39 22:29 21:17 22:37
620  Nicole Hipskind 12 21:41 21:40 21:24 22:04 21:40 21:44 21:25 21:33 22:01
992  Sophia Croyts 9 22:37 22:54 23:05 22:30 22:20 22:28 22:08 23:26
1,087  Citlali Alcaraz 11 22:51 23:24 22:40 22:35 23:29 22:35
1,192  Gina Waweru 12 23:02 22:21 23:06 23:04 23:27 22:21 23:12 22:59 23:07 23:22
1,286  Kaylee Kenney 12 23:15 23:20 23:06 23:47 23:42 23:45 23:41 23:13 22:58 22:51
1,320  Sarah Thompson 12 23:19 23:03 22:55 23:22 22:53 22:51 24:53 22:56 25:05
1,331  Hannah Grant 12 23:20 23:22 23:22 23:21 23:03 23:11 23:52
1,389  Abby Crothers 12 23:26 23:12 23:31 23:32 23:46 23:02 23:26 23:32
Sarah Cimoch 9 25:21 25:43 26:55 25:23 23:49




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 8.4 204 0.1 1.1 17.3 34.9 31.8 14.9
Sectionals 100% 4.8 127 23.9 75.4 0.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rose Coman 16.4% 112.4 16.4% 16.4%
Maria Coman 13.5% 110.9 13.5% 13.5%
Nicole Hipskind 11.2% 113.7 11.2% 11.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rose Coman 100% 39.9 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.9 100.0%
Maria Coman 100% 40.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.7 100.0%
Nicole Hipskind 100% 40.9 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 100.0%
Sophia Croyts 100% 60.7 100.0%
Citlali Alcaraz 100% 66.3 99.5%
Gina Waweru 100% 71.5 97.3%
Kaylee Kenney 100% 76.4 90.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rose Coman 20.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.0 2.0 2.3 4.2 6.3 6.1 10.2 9.7 14.0 12.6 9.8 8.4 5.6
Maria Coman 20.8 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.5 2.9 4.2 4.1 6.3 8.9 10.9 11.8 12.4 11.9 8.8 6.4
Nicole Hipskind 21.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.6 1.9 2.8 4.3 5.6 8.1 9.7 11.5 12.2 12.3 9.9 8.0
Sophia Croyts 30.4 0.1 0.9
Citlali Alcaraz 32.7 0.1
Gina Waweru 34.8
Kaylee Kenney 37.3