All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Mike Kuharic Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
New Prairie Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
196 |
234 |
261 |
242 |
214 |
|
208 |
253 |
238 |
173 |
238 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
234 |
261 |
242 |
214 |
|
208 |
253 |
238 |
173 |
238 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Rudy Skorupa Invitational |
Mike Kuharic Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
New Prairie Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 15 |
Ava Gilliana |
10 |
18:46 |
18:55 |
19:30 |
18:55 |
18:53 |
|
18:48 |
18:53 |
18:47 |
18:33 |
19:19 |
| 17 |
Logan Ferngren |
12 |
18:47 |
19:01 |
19:10 |
19:26 |
18:54 |
|
18:50 |
19:13 |
19:12 |
18:49 |
18:39 |
| 118 |
Emily Worthington |
9 |
19:47 |
19:54 |
19:55 |
19:57 |
19:51 |
|
19:44 |
20:04 |
19:54 |
19:32 |
20:13 |
| 125 |
Hannah Fitzgerald |
9 |
19:50 |
20:23 |
20:40 |
19:58 |
20:02 |
|
20:44 |
21:14 |
20:34 |
19:51 |
19:41 |
| 144 |
Sarah Worthington |
9 |
19:57 |
19:54 |
19:56 |
20:10 |
19:57 |
|
19:47 |
20:05 |
20:00 |
19:43 |
20:37 |
| 229 |
Julia Arnold |
11 |
20:27 |
20:49 |
20:25 |
20:40 |
20:38 |
|
20:16 |
20:43 |
20:22 |
20:12 |
20:20 |
| 279 |
Elena Kipp |
12 |
20:38 |
20:34 |
20:33 |
20:31 |
20:36 |
|
20:45 |
20:26 |
20:48 |
20:51 |
20:42 |
| 511 |
Nicole Brandy |
10 |
21:21 |
20:57 |
21:06 |
21:17 |
21:34 |
21:33 |
21:24 |
|
|
|
|
| 583 |
Corinne Ritzi |
11 |
21:34 |
|
21:41 |
21:30 |
21:59 |
|
21:21 |
|
|
|
|
| 632 |
Hannah Shepherd |
10 |
21:42 |
|
21:37 |
22:09 |
21:32 |
|
21:40 |
|
|
|
|
| 644 |
Kristyn Hoffman |
10 |
21:44 |
|
21:33 |
21:29 |
21:58 |
|
21:55 |
|
|
|
|
| 769 |
Megan Dalton |
12 |
22:03 |
21:36 |
21:49 |
23:27 |
21:46 |
|
22:10 |
|
|
|
|
| 792 |
Adrianna McFadden |
11 |
22:07 |
|
21:47 |
22:32 |
22:29 |
|
21:51 |
|
|
|
|
| 819 |
Madelyn Whaling |
11 |
22:11 |
|
22:01 |
22:12 |
22:23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 830 |
Ruth Stamp |
10 |
22:12 |
|
22:39 |
22:13 |
22:07 |
22:09 |
22:03 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,030 |
Mary Warner |
12 |
22:42 |
|
22:38 |
22:52 |
23:00 |
|
22:23 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,081 |
Izzy Iussig |
12 |
22:50 |
|
22:07 |
23:27 |
22:20 |
|
23:18 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,086 |
Diane McGovern |
12 |
22:51 |
|
22:49 |
23:08 |
23:01 |
|
22:30 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,104 |
Sarah Bennett |
9 |
22:53 |
|
22:32 |
22:33 |
23:58 |
|
22:56 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,116 |
Valerie Massey |
12 |
22:54 |
|
22:57 |
22:48 |
22:42 |
|
23:07 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,118 |
Abby Steele |
11 |
22:54 |
|
22:52 |
23:36 |
22:41 |
|
22:42 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,160 |
Skyler Cummins |
9 |
22:59 |
|
22:48 |
22:55 |
23:42 |
|
22:47 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,244 |
Bridget McGrath |
12 |
23:09 |
|
23:19 |
22:46 |
23:18 |
|
23:15 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,375 |
Lucy Cobble |
12 |
23:24 |
|
23:31 |
23:22 |
23:42 |
|
23:09 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lilly O'Shea |
10 |
23:36 |
|
23:20 |
23:27 |
23:32 |
|
24:16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Maryn Lazar |
9 |
23:47 |
|
24:07 |
24:34 |
23:20 |
|
23:26 |
|
|
|
|
|
Emma Fitzgerald |
11 |
24:06 |
|
23:51 |
24:06 |
24:32 |
|
24:02 |
|
|
|
|
|
Hannah Lopez |
11 |
24:19 |
|
24:00 |
25:08 |
24:07 |
|
24:21 |
|
|
|
|
|
Kelsey Prewitt |
11 |
24:28 |
|
23:16 |
|
26:14 |
|
24:19 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
7.4 |
240 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
5.7 |
8.9 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
12.2 |
11.2 |
11.3 |
7.6 |
6.0 |
4.5 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.5 |
88 |
68.0 |
21.9 |
6.8 |
2.3 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
35 |
95.6 |
3.8 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
33 |
94.4 |
5.0 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ava Gilliana |
100% |
19.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Logan Ferngren |
100% |
19.7 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
4.0 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Emily Worthington |
100% |
99.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
44.6% |
| Hannah Fitzgerald |
100% |
104.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
37.4% |
| Sarah Worthington |
100% |
115.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.2% |
| Julia Arnold |
100% |
153.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
| Elena Kipp |
100% |
166.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ava Gilliana |
100% |
3.9 |
8.1 |
13.9 |
14.4 |
15.1 |
14.2 |
10.1 |
8.9 |
5.8 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Logan Ferngren |
100% |
4.1 |
6.7 |
11.0 |
15.4 |
15.5 |
12.4 |
11.2 |
9.8 |
6.6 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emily Worthington |
100% |
25.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Hannah Fitzgerald |
100% |
27.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sarah Worthington |
100% |
32.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Julia Arnold |
100% |
55.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Elena Kipp |
100% |
67.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ava Gilliana |
100% |
1.5 |
32.4 |
33.2 |
20.2 |
9.1 |
3.7 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Logan Ferngren |
100% |
1.7 |
28.7 |
32.2 |
26.0 |
8.5 |
2.9 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emily Worthington |
100% |
9.6 |
|
|
|
0.9 |
3.5 |
6.1 |
8.0 |
10.3 |
12.8 |
13.8 |
13.3 |
11.4 |
9.7 |
5.2 |
3.0 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Hannah Fitzgerald |
100% |
10.3 |
|
|
|
0.8 |
1.3 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
8.7 |
11.9 |
13.6 |
15.3 |
13.0 |
11.2 |
7.8 |
4.0 |
1.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sarah Worthington |
100% |
12.0 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
4.3 |
5.5 |
9.0 |
12.5 |
14.5 |
16.7 |
14.1 |
10.5 |
4.6 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Julia Arnold |
100% |
17.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
6.1 |
11.5 |
15.8 |
13.4 |
11.5 |
8.6 |
8.4 |
6.9 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Elena Kipp |
100% |
19.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
6.6 |
9.8 |
10.3 |
10.3 |
9.1 |
9.9 |
8.9 |
7.9 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ava Gilliana |
1.5 |
31.6 |
33.5 |
22.4 |
9.6 |
2.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Logan Ferngren |
1.7 |
29.1 |
31.9 |
24.6 |
10.2 |
3.7 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emily Worthington |
8.0 |
|
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
5.3 |
12.0 |
15.3 |
16.8 |
15.6 |
12.9 |
10.2 |
6.8 |
2.6 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Hannah Fitzgerald |
8.6 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
4.0 |
8.6 |
11.6 |
14.8 |
17.5 |
15.0 |
13.0 |
8.6 |
4.1 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sarah Worthington |
10.0 |
|
|
|
0.4 |
1.6 |
3.2 |
5.8 |
9.0 |
12.9 |
16.7 |
17.2 |
16.0 |
10.3 |
4.5 |
1.8 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Julia Arnold |
14.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
6.2 |
12.5 |
19.0 |
16.7 |
13.2 |
10.2 |
8.0 |
5.2 |
3.5 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
| Elena Kipp |
16.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.4 |
1.4 |
4.0 |
9.0 |
11.9 |
12.4 |
13.0 |
14.0 |
12.5 |
9.8 |
6.7 |
2.6 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
|
