Western
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #88
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #24
Culver Academies Regional Rank #4
Logansport Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Logansport Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/19 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 831 903 1,013 883 816 1,041 861 776 783 1,083
Team Adjusted Rating 824 836 800 816 969 861 776 783 1,083
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Logansport Invitational Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
413  Olivia Lushin 10 21:05 21:23 20:57 21:08 20:45 21:29 20:50 21:01 20:50 21:59
641  Hannah Lushin 10 21:44 23:50 21:47 21:37 22:15 21:48 21:45 21:22 22:21
698  Natalie Nicholson 11 21:51 22:12 21:33 22:33 22:00 21:23 21:40 22:55
927  Megan Hampshire 11 22:25 21:42 21:38 21:50 22:14 22:45 22:20 22:51 23:44
961  Emma Marley 11 22:32 23:15 23:15 22:52 23:22 22:09 22:54
1,058  Alivia Ford 9 22:46 22:51 23:30 22:47 24:12 23:38 22:44 22:16 22:49 23:48
1,415  Logan Buck 12 23:29 22:44 22:45 22:59 24:44 23:26 24:04
Sarah Manuel 9 24:26 24:16 23:51 23:08 25:53 25:01 24:29
Bronwyn Getts 12 24:35 25:27 24:03 24:42 23:38 25:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 19.2 485 0.2 0.4 2.8 75.0 21.8
Regionals 100% 4.3 127 0.1 5.1 70.2 19.7 3.6 1.3 0.3
Sectionals 100% 1.9 64 8.5 91.4 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Lushin 100% 92.6 98.8%
Hannah Lushin 100% 130.6 53.5%
Natalie Nicholson 100% 135.9 37.0%
Megan Hampshire 100% 152.0 1.6%
Emma Marley 100% 154.0 0.9%
Alivia Ford 100% 158.0 0.0%
Logan Buck 100% 168.4 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Lushin 100% 14.3 0.3 0.4 1.6 1.4 3.4 6.5 9.4 11.6 11.3 12.3 11.0 8.4 5.8 4.5 4.3 2.6 1.8 1.4 1.3 0.5 100.0%
Hannah Lushin 100% 25.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 2.1 2.0 3.4 4.0 4.5 6.0 6.9 8.8 8.7 100.0%
Natalie Nicholson 100% 27.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.0 3.7 4.6 6.2 6.4 100.0%
Megan Hampshire 100% 38.9 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Emma Marley 100% 41.4 0.1 100.0%
Alivia Ford 100% 46.3 99.9%
Logan Buck 100% 59.7 80.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Lushin 5.4 0.3 16.3 22.7 24.6 19.8 11.6 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
Hannah Lushin 10.4 0.1 1.1 3.6 8.0 14.1 16.8 16.8 16.7 11.3 6.2 3.7 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1
Natalie Nicholson 11.5 0.3 1.2 3.5 8.0 11.6 16.9 17.8 16.4 10.6 7.4 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1
Megan Hampshire 17.0 0.3 0.4 1.2 3.1 7.9 9.5 12.7 14.8 17.0 14.7 10.4 5.1 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.2
Emma Marley 17.9 0.2 0.6 1.1 4.3 7.2 8.4 13.1 16.1 17.0 16.6 8.6 4.0 1.5 1.0 0.3
Alivia Ford 20.2 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.1 6.5 11.0 19.2 25.5 12.4 7.6 4.3 2.3
Logan Buck 28.0 0.1 0.9 3.6 4.6 6.7 8.2