Bishop Dwenger
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #9
New Haven Semi-State Rank #4
West Noble Regional Rank #2
Northrop Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 6.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 66.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Summit Athletic Conf. Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/18 8/25 9/1 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27
Team Rating 224 218 267 304 278 248 300 345 263 245 205
Team Adjusted Rating 218 267 232 225 248 300 199 263 245 205
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Summit Athletic Conf. Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Erin Strzelecki 11 17:57 17:53 18:34 18:05 18:19 18:30 18:44 18:16 18:09 17:49
38  Katie Woods 9 19:02 18:55 19:15 19:07 19:39 19:00 19:18 19:05 18:54
64  Nora Steele 10 19:16 19:20 20:14 19:52 19:40 19:55 19:53 19:58 19:52 19:08
214  Katie Nix 11 20:24 20:14 20:17 19:49 20:44 20:18 20:33 20:10 21:00 20:29 20:20
271  Aileen Delaney 10 20:40 21:35 21:00 20:45 20:25 20:40 20:49 20:22 20:47 20:28 20:33
288  Susie Beeber 11 20:43 20:41 22:38 20:24 20:32 21:03 20:29 20:30 20:30 21:06
334  Anna Morris 11 20:51 20:53 20:32 20:55 20:14 21:12 20:56 20:50 20:34 21:06 21:07
393  Natalee Vogan 10 21:05 21:13 21:29 20:45 21:34 20:53 20:59
442  Megan Palmer 12 21:15 21:26 21:22 21:21 21:16 21:16 21:22 20:53
482  Mary Baumgartner 9 21:21 21:47 21:22 20:58 21:12 21:30
589  Isabel Knight 12 21:39 21:07 21:12 21:20 21:54 22:00 21:47
652  Ella Grashoff 9 21:48 22:06 21:51 21:46 21:41 21:48 21:47
760  Paige Aselage 9 22:03 24:38 22:29 21:50 22:31 21:32 21:38
955  Hannah Ewing 12 22:30 23:09 22:22 22:41 22:05
1,182  Alex Ebetino 12 22:57 22:23 23:25 22:55
Maria Cavacini 11 23:43 24:41 23:23 23:30 23:47
Jackie Miles 10 24:03 23:42 23:03 25:26 24:14 23:50
Grace McAlary 10 24:04 24:20 23:49 23:38 24:32 24:02




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 9.5 298 0.1 0.2 1.7 4.4 8.5 13.9 13.0 14.1 11.2 8.1 8.2 5.7 4.5 2.9 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2
Semi-State 100% 3.8 131 13.1 25.1 37.7 19.6 4.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.2 63 0.1 76.6 23.4
Sectionals 100% 2.2 57 77.6 22.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Strzelecki 100% 2.4 19.1 22.9 19.7 15.3 8.8 4.6 3.0 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Katie Woods 100% 39.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.2 1.9 1.7 98.8%
Nora Steele 100% 60.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.4 93.7%
Katie Nix 100% 147.7 1.0%
Aileen Delaney 100% 164.3 0.1%
Susie Beeber 100% 167.4 0.2%
Anna Morris 100% 175.7 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Strzelecki 100% 1.0 70.8 16.0 6.6 3.4 2.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 100.0%
Katie Woods 100% 11.9 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.5 2.4 3.7 6.8 8.3 8.6 9.3 9.0 8.3 6.2 7.0 4.7 3.9 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.1 1.4 2.1 1.4 0.8 100.0%
Nora Steele 100% 17.8 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.0 3.3 3.8 4.5 5.6 5.8 6.4 5.0 6.0 6.1 6.2 5.0 5.6 5.4 5.0 4.3 4.0 100.0%
Katie Nix 100% 53.1 0.1 99.8%
Aileen Delaney 100% 67.7 96.6%
Susie Beeber 100% 71.1 94.5%
Anna Morris 100% 79.4 87.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Strzelecki 100% 1.0 73.2 16.4 6.1 2.8 1.4 0.3 100.0%
Katie Woods 100% 6.7 0.2 1.3 1.9 6.4 24.4 22.5 14.1 11.0 8.4 4.8 4.0 1.1 0.3 100.0%
Nora Steele 100% 9.2 0.1 0.3 1.0 4.4 11.2 16.1 13.5 14.5 14.6 12.6 7.9 2.8 1.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Katie Nix 100% 20.5 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.6 4.4 6.0 8.7 6.7 8.4 8.6 10.7 8.9 8.9 7.4 5.2 100.0%
Aileen Delaney 100% 25.3 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.4 2.8 4.9 6.6 6.0 9.2 9.2 100.0%
Susie Beeber 100% 26.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5 1.7 3.0 3.7 4.8 5.6 6.6 7.3 100.0%
Anna Morris 100% 29.2 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.8 4.2 4.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Strzelecki 1.0 81.5 10.9 5.2 2.4 0.1
Katie Woods 5.7 1.3 1.9 5.0 24.0 24.6 14.8 11.1 8.3 5.1 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
Nora Steele 8.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 3.9 10.1 15.7 16.0 14.4 14.1 13.0 8.6 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1
Katie Nix 19.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.5 7.7 7.7 9.2 10.8 9.1 11.2 11.4 10.0 7.0 4.5 2.7
Aileen Delaney 22.6 0.3 0.4 0.5 2.2 2.7 3.9 5.4 7.0 8.8 11.9 11.1 11.5 10.9
Susie Beeber 23.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.1 2.3 3.6 5.0 7.7 9.4 11.2 12.6 12.7
Anna Morris 25.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.9 1.8 4.4 4.6 6.0 9.3 11.2