All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Edgewood 11th Hour Meet |
Dave Bannon Invitational |
Columbus North Classic |
BC Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Monroe County |
Bedford North Lawr. Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/18 |
8/25 |
9/1 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/22 |
9/26 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
271 |
NEI |
288 |
289 |
245 |
287 |
256 |
|
327 |
274 |
258 |
291 |
283 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
NEI |
288 |
289 |
245 |
287 |
256 |
|
327 |
274 |
258 |
291 |
283 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Edgewood 11th Hour Meet |
Dave Bannon Invitational |
Columbus North Classic |
BC Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Monroe County |
Bedford North Lawr. Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 15 |
Mya Hagerty |
11 |
18:43 |
NEI |
18:52 |
19:16 |
18:53 |
19:01 |
18:29 |
|
19:47 |
19:04 |
19:01 |
19:28 |
18:35 |
| 99 |
Abbey Armstrong |
11 |
19:38 |
NEI |
19:48 |
19:45 |
19:39 |
19:21 |
19:43 |
|
19:58 |
19:30 |
19:33 |
19:30 |
19:39 |
| 171 |
Olivia Kaiser |
10 |
20:11 |
NEI |
20:23 |
20:13 |
19:58 |
20:26 |
20:02 |
|
20:32 |
19:58 |
19:50 |
20:21 |
20:18 |
| 172 |
Mackenzie Carver |
11 |
20:12 |
NEI |
20:14 |
20:06 |
19:36 |
19:50 |
20:01 |
|
20:11 |
20:09 |
20:04 |
20:24 |
20:58 |
| 197 |
Bea Cakmak |
9 |
20:21 |
NEI |
20:14 |
20:20 |
20:22 |
20:47 |
20:21 |
|
20:09 |
20:31 |
20:22 |
20:06 |
20:16 |
| 252 |
Melissa Mahaffey |
9 |
20:34 |
|
22:36 |
21:44 |
21:06 |
20:58 |
|
|
|
|
20:33 |
20:19 |
20:31 |
| 567 |
Quinn Wilson |
11 |
21:36 |
|
|
|
|
|
22:33 |
|
22:06 |
22:14 |
21:21 |
21:20 |
21:42 |
| 611 |
Kayli Clark |
11 |
21:42 |
NEI |
21:27 |
21:59 |
21:13 |
21:57 |
21:39 |
|
22:34 |
21:39 |
|
|
|
| 693 |
Isabel Schneider |
9 |
21:53 |
NEI |
21:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 921 |
Avery Njau |
9 |
22:26 |
|
|
23:05 |
|
|
|
22:00 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,084 |
Jenna Popp |
12 |
22:47 |
|
22:34 |
22:52 |
|
22:53 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,415 |
Maia Fierst |
9 |
23:28 |
|
23:50 |
23:29 |
23:12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lauren Upholzer |
11 |
23:46 |
|
24:24 |
23:50 |
23:14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
14.6 |
372 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
3.3 |
5.3 |
6.9 |
8.1 |
9.6 |
8.7 |
9.7 |
10.5 |
9.4 |
7.4 |
6.6 |
4.2 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
2.1 |
100 |
33.5 |
35.4 |
20.2 |
8.1 |
2.6 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.3 |
42 |
72.3 |
27.2 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.3 |
33 |
73.8 |
25.3 |
1.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mya Hagerty |
100% |
19.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Abbey Armstrong |
100% |
94.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
84.7% |
| Olivia Kaiser |
100% |
133.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16.1% |
| Mackenzie Carver |
100% |
134.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16.7% |
| Bea Cakmak |
100% |
143.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.6% |
| Melissa Mahaffey |
100% |
159.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.1% |
| Quinn Wilson |
100% |
199.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mya Hagerty |
100% |
2.3 |
2.0 |
40.1 |
27.6 |
13.6 |
9.3 |
4.2 |
2.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Abbey Armstrong |
100% |
12.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.7 |
4.2 |
5.8 |
7.1 |
8.5 |
8.9 |
6.8 |
6.5 |
7.3 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
4.0 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Olivia Kaiser |
100% |
30.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Carver |
100% |
30.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Bea Cakmak |
100% |
36.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Melissa Mahaffey |
100% |
46.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Quinn Wilson |
100% |
93.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
54.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mya Hagerty |
100% |
1.6 |
2.6 |
85.1 |
12.1 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Abbey Armstrong |
100% |
3.9 |
|
|
8.0 |
49.4 |
21.4 |
9.1 |
5.7 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Olivia Kaiser |
100% |
10.3 |
|
|
|
0.5 |
5.2 |
7.4 |
7.9 |
9.0 |
8.8 |
9.0 |
9.1 |
6.9 |
6.5 |
5.9 |
5.5 |
5.3 |
3.7 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Mackenzie Carver |
100% |
10.3 |
|
|
|
0.8 |
4.7 |
6.1 |
8.8 |
8.2 |
9.1 |
10.3 |
7.7 |
9.0 |
6.9 |
7.3 |
5.2 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Bea Cakmak |
100% |
13.4 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.1 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
7.8 |
6.7 |
8.8 |
8.3 |
6.8 |
7.1 |
5.8 |
6.1 |
5.6 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Melissa Mahaffey |
100% |
18.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
6.2 |
7.1 |
7.8 |
8.1 |
9.1 |
8.4 |
9.7 |
8.4 |
8.3 |
4.9 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Quinn Wilson |
100% |
31.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Mya Hagerty |
1.6 |
2.9 |
84.6 |
12.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Abbey Armstrong |
3.7 |
|
|
8.4 |
63.6 |
18.1 |
5.4 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Olivia Kaiser |
7.6 |
|
|
|
0.9 |
11.1 |
14.7 |
14.1 |
14.4 |
11.8 |
9.4 |
8.1 |
6.6 |
4.6 |
2.9 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mackenzie Carver |
7.8 |
|
|
|
0.9 |
9.4 |
15.2 |
14.0 |
13.1 |
12.6 |
10.1 |
8.2 |
6.6 |
4.5 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bea Cakmak |
9.8 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
3.4 |
5.9 |
9.2 |
11.0 |
11.7 |
11.0 |
10.9 |
10.2 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
5.7 |
3.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Melissa Mahaffey |
12.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
4.4 |
7.9 |
10.2 |
9.9 |
13.6 |
15.3 |
13.7 |
16.9 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Quinn Wilson |
20.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
10.2 |
10.0 |
11.5 |
11.6 |
12.1 |
12.4 |
12.6 |
8.8 |
5.5 |
|
