All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Penn Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Culver Academies Sectional |
Culver Academies Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/25 |
9/1 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
| Team Rating |
564 |
516 |
515 |
561 |
492 |
504 |
551 |
613 |
629 |
784 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
516 |
483 |
561 |
492 |
504 |
551 |
607 |
629 |
582 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Penn Invitational |
Manchester Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Culver Academies Sectional |
Culver Academies Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| 51 |
Lexi Allen |
10 |
19:11 |
18:56 |
18:59 |
18:56 |
18:58 |
19:04 |
19:13 |
19:24 |
20:06 |
|
| 158 |
Marissa Rivera |
11 |
20:07 |
20:24 |
19:50 |
20:12 |
19:38 |
19:45 |
20:11 |
20:02 |
20:39 |
20:21 |
| 369 |
Julia Arnold |
11 |
21:00 |
20:45 |
20:17 |
21:10 |
20:32 |
21:01 |
20:58 |
21:29 |
21:09 |
21:12 |
| 620 |
Maggie Bialek |
10 |
21:44 |
21:56 |
21:18 |
21:36 |
21:55 |
21:31 |
21:55 |
21:51 |
21:50 |
21:40 |
| 1,007 |
Lily Gregorash |
12 |
22:37 |
|
|
22:37 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,041 |
Rachel Ricketts |
11 |
22:41 |
23:01 |
|
|
22:41 |
22:26 |
22:13 |
23:23 |
|
|
| 1,043 |
Jozie Gregg |
12 |
22:41 |
21:47 |
23:08 |
|
22:04 |
22:31 |
22:59 |
22:43 |
22:25 |
24:16 |
| 1,060 |
Erin Anderson |
12 |
22:43 |
22:51 |
23:32 |
22:34 |
22:54 |
22:23 |
22:46 |
22:52 |
22:28 |
22:38 |
| 1,082 |
Madison Rivera |
9 |
22:46 |
|
|
22:46 |
22:48 |
22:05 |
23:23 |
|
|
|
| 1,158 |
Emily Heim |
9 |
22:54 |
|
24:51 |
22:55 |
23:10 |
22:58 |
22:08 |
|
22:32 |
22:59 |
| 1,360 |
Caroline Perea |
11 |
23:20 |
22:57 |
|
23:32 |
23:21 |
22:45 |
24:09 |
|
|
|
|
Reese Roemer |
9 |
23:48 |
|
23:15 |
|
24:26 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
11.6 |
305 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.7 |
5.4 |
10.9 |
13.5 |
16.0 |
15.2 |
14.1 |
11.7 |
6.5 |
3.1 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.6 |
93 |
0.1 |
52.2 |
32.3 |
14.5 |
1.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.5 |
66 |
0.2 |
58.7 |
28.3 |
12.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lexi Allen |
99.5% |
51.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
99.5% |
99.5% |
| Marissa Rivera |
12.6% |
115.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.6% |
12.6% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lexi Allen |
100% |
12.9 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
6.6 |
6.9 |
6.8 |
9.1 |
9.0 |
7.4 |
7.2 |
6.6 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Marissa Rivera |
100% |
32.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Julia Arnold |
100% |
74.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.5% |
| Maggie Bialek |
100% |
123.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
34.1% |
| Rachel Ricketts |
100% |
160.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Jozie Gregg |
100% |
160.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Erin Anderson |
100% |
161.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lexi Allen |
100% |
1.6 |
30.3 |
33.0 |
34.0 |
2.4 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Marissa Rivera |
100% |
5.4 |
|
|
0.8 |
16.7 |
22.1 |
26.0 |
13.6 |
8.4 |
5.2 |
3.2 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Julia Arnold |
100% |
16.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
6.1 |
7.3 |
8.4 |
9.5 |
10.8 |
9.3 |
8.0 |
7.0 |
5.4 |
3.9 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Maggie Bialek |
100% |
30.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Rachel Ricketts |
100% |
54.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jozie Gregg |
100% |
54.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Erin Anderson |
100% |
55.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lexi Allen |
1.6 |
31.6 |
33.0 |
34.1 |
1.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Marissa Rivera |
4.6 |
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
28.2 |
36.4 |
18.1 |
9.1 |
4.9 |
1.8 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Julia Arnold |
11.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
4.0 |
8.4 |
11.5 |
16.5 |
21.8 |
12.8 |
9.3 |
6.5 |
3.5 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
| Maggie Bialek |
19.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
5.0 |
6.9 |
8.3 |
10.2 |
13.4 |
13.9 |
15.6 |
11.1 |
5.5 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
| Rachel Ricketts |
29.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
5.3 |
| Jozie Gregg |
29.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
2.2 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
| Erin Anderson |
29.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
3.7 |
4.9 |
|
